Football · Ethiopia Premier League Women · 25/10, 14:00
Prediction: Mechal FC (W) vs Bole Sub City (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.28Total
Mechal FC (W)1.64
Bole Sub City (W)0.64
1X2
Mechal FC (W)
Draw
Bole Sub City (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
Mechal FC (W)
7-3-0 (W-D-L)
Bole Sub City (W)
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Mechal FC (W)
3–2–1
Bole Sub City (W)
(6 last)
- Mechal FC (W)1-0Bole Sub City (W)
- Bole Sub City (W)1-0Mechal FC (W)
- Mechal FC (W)1-1Bole Sub City (W)
- Bole Sub City (W)0-1Mechal FC (W)
- Mechal FC (W)0-0Bole Sub City (W)
- Mechal FC (W)2-1Bole Sub City (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mechal FC (W) 1578 · Bole Sub City (W) 1553
| Mechal FC (W) | Draw | Bole Sub City (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 26% | 13% |
| Market | 62% | 24% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.28 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Mechal FC (W): 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Mechal FC (W) | Bole Sub City (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 0.6 | 1.7 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.1 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/30/0% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 3.7 | 1.3 / 3.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.1 | 2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mechal FC (W) 3–2–1 Bole Sub City (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 Ethiopia Premier League Women | Mechal FC (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Bole Sub City (W) |
| 19/11/25 Ethiopia Premier League Women | Bole Sub City (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Mechal FC (W) |
| 18/03/25 Ethiopia Premier League Women | Mechal FC (W) | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Bole Sub City (W) |
| 12/11/24 Ethiopia Premier League Women | Bole Sub City (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Mechal FC (W) |
| 23/05/24 Ethiopia Premier League Women | Mechal FC (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Bole Sub City (W) |
| 07/04/23 Ethiopia Premier League Women | Mechal FC (W) | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Bole Sub City (W) |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Mechal FC (W) | Bole Sub City (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Addis Ababa Ketema (W) | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Dire Dawa (W) | 0-0 D | 5-1 W |
| Bahir Dar Kenema FC (W) | 3-2 W | 2-0 W |
| Lideta Sub City (W) | 2-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Ethiopia Nigd Bank (W) | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Yirga Chefe Bunna (W) | 4-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Arba Minch (W) | 5-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 3 D 0 L | 5 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Mechal FC (W) (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mechal FC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05 | Addis Ababa Ketema (W) Ethiopia Premier League Women |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 11/05 | Dire Dawa (W) Ethiopia Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 03/05 | Bahir Dar Kenema FC (W) Ethiopia Premier League Women |
2-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 28/04 | Lideta Sub City (W) Ethiopia Premier League Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 24/04 | Adama Ketema (W) Ethiopia Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 25/03 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank (W) Ethiopia Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 21/03 | Bole Sub City (W) Ethiopia Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 17/03 | Yirga Chefe Bunna (W) Ethiopia Premier League Women |
3-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 12/03 | Arba Minch (W) Ethiopia Premier League Women |
3-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 08/03 | Sidama Bunna (W) Ethiopia Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
Bole Sub City (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/05 | Hawassa City FC (W) Ethiopia Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 11/05 | Sheger Ketema (W) Ethiopia Premier League Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 30/04 | Dire Dawa (W) Ethiopia Premier League Women |
2-1 | 5-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 26/04 | Addis Ababa Ketema (W) Ethiopia Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 26/03 | Bahir Dar Kenema FC (W) Ethiopia Premier League Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 21/03 | Mechal FC (W) Ethiopia Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 10/03 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank (W) Ethiopia Premier League Women |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 06/03 | Lideta Sub City (W) Ethiopia Premier League Women |
0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 01/03 | Yirga Chefe Bunna (W) Ethiopia Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 25/02 | Arba Minch (W) Ethiopia Premier League Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mechal FC (W) vs Bole Sub City (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Mechal FC (W) win (61%). Probabilities: Mechal FC (W) 61%, draw 25%, Bole Sub City (W) 14%.
How many goals are expected in Mechal FC (W) vs Bole Sub City (W)?
The model expects 2.28 goals (Mechal FC (W) 1.64 · Bole Sub City (W) 0.64), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Mechal FC (W) vs Bole Sub City (W)?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.