Football · Japan L2 League Women · 25/10, 05:00

Prediction: FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W) vs FC Yamato Sylphid (W)

Team pages: FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W) · FC Yamato Sylphid (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.63Total

FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W)2.01

FC Yamato Sylphid (W)0.62

1X2

71% 19% 11%

FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W) Draw FC Yamato Sylphid (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

2-0 15%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W) 9-1-0 (W-D-L)

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FC Yamato Sylphid (W) 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W) 3–2–0 FC Yamato Sylphid (W) (5 last)

FC Yamato Sylphid (W)0-0FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W)
FC Yamato Sylphid (W)1-3FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W)
FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W)5-1FC Yamato Sylphid (W)
FC Yamato Sylphid (W)1-1FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W)
FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W)3-0FC Yamato Sylphid (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W) 1618 · FC Yamato Sylphid (W) 1435

	FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W)	Draw	FC Yamato Sylphid (W)
Our model	69%	21%	9%
Market	72%	16%	12%

Estimated total (ours) 2.63 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W) (rating 1618 vs 1435).
H2H favours FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W): 3-2-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W)	FC Yamato Sylphid (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 0.6	0.5 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.8 / 0.1	0.1 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	90/10/0%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 4.6	1.8 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.5 / 0	0.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.25

X5.50

27.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.95

2 (+1.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 09:50

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.25 → 1.25	Pinn 1.36 ★
X	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50
2	7.50 → 8.00▲	Bet365 8.00

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.7% Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
07:42 +7’	1.25	5.50	7.50
09:35 +15’	1.25	5.50	8.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
09:21 +29’	1.36	4.34	6.18

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W) 3–2–0 FC Yamato Sylphid (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/03/26 Japan L2 League Women	FC Yamato Sylphid (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W)
28/09/25 Japan L2 League Women	FC Yamato Sylphid (W)	1-3 HT 1-2	FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W)
11/05/25 Japan L2 League Women	FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W)	5-1 HT 2-0	FC Yamato Sylphid (W)
26/05/24 Japan L2 League Women	FC Yamato Sylphid (W)	1-1 HT 1-1	FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W)
31/03/24 Japan L2 League Women	FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W)	3-0 HT 2-0	FC Yamato Sylphid (W)

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W)	FC Yamato Sylphid (W)
SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W)	1-0 W	0-1 L
JFA Academy (W)	2-2 D	1-0 W
Speranza Takatsuki (W)	3-1 W	0-1 L
Diavorosso Hiroshima (W)	2-1 W	1-0 W
Nankatsu SC (W)	4-0 W	0-0 D
Veertien Mie (W)	3-1 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 0 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	1-0	4	0	W
04/10	JFA Academy (W) Japan L2 League Women	1-0	2-2	7	0	D
05/09	Speranza Takatsuki (W) Japan L2 League Women	2-0	3-1	4	1	W
30/08	Diavorosso Hiroshima (W) Japan L2 League Women	1-0	2-1	5	0	W
28/06	Renofa Yamaguchi (W) Japan L2 League Women	1-0	2-1	1	1	W
13/06	Nankatsu SC (W) Japan L2 League Women	3-0	4-0	5	0	W
07/06	Diosa Izumo (W) Japan L2 League Women	2-0	3-0	3	0	W
31/05	Veertien Mie (W) Japan L2 League Women	3-1	3-1	4	1	W
23/05	JFA Academy (W) Japan L2 League Women	3-0	4-0	7	1	W
02/05	Diavorosso Hiroshima (W) Japan L2 League Women	2-0	2-0	6	1	W

FC Yamato Sylphid (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Gunma FC White Star (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	0-1	1	0	L
27/09	Diavorosso Hiroshima (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	1-0	5	0	W
30/08	Nankatsu SC (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	0-0	5	0	D
27/06	Speranza Takatsuki (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-1	0-1	7	0	L
14/06	SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-1	0-1	2	0	L
06/06	Veertien Mie (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	0-1	2	0	L
24/05	Kibi University (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-3	0-5	1	0	L
17/05	Diavorosso Hiroshima (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-2	1-2	2	0	L
10/05	JFA Academy (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	1-0	5	0	W
03/05	Nankatsu SC (W) Japan L2 League Women	1-2	2-2	6	1	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W) vs FC Yamato Sylphid (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W) win (71%). Probabilities: FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W) 71%, draw 19%, FC Yamato Sylphid (W) 11%.

How many goals are expected in FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W) vs FC Yamato Sylphid (W)?

The model expects 2.63 goals (FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W) 2.01 · FC Yamato Sylphid (W) 0.62), with a 58% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W) vs FC Yamato Sylphid (W)?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.