Football · Japan L2 League Women · 25/10, 05:00

Prediction: Veertien Mie (W) vs Diavorosso Hiroshima (W)

Team pages: Veertien Mie (W) · Diavorosso Hiroshima (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.51Total

Veertien Mie (W)0.96

Diavorosso Hiroshima (W)1.55

1X2

23% 26% 51%

Veertien Mie (W) Draw Diavorosso Hiroshima (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Veertien Mie (W) 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Diavorosso Hiroshima (W) 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Veertien Mie (W) 1–3–0 Diavorosso Hiroshima (W) (4 last)

Diavorosso Hiroshima (W)0-0Veertien Mie (W)
Diavorosso Hiroshima (W)1-1Veertien Mie (W)
Veertien Mie (W)2-0Diavorosso Hiroshima (W)
Veertien Mie (W)1-1Diavorosso Hiroshima (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Veertien Mie (W) 1484 · Diavorosso Hiroshima (W) 1479

	Veertien Mie (W)	Draw	Diavorosso Hiroshima (W)
Our model	22%	28%	50%
Market	24%	24%	52%

Estimated total (ours) 2.51 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Veertien Mie (W)	Diavorosso Hiroshima (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.6	1.1 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1.2	0.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.2 / 3.7	2.5 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.2 / 0	0.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.70

X3.70

21.73

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)2.00

2 (-0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.70 → 3.70	Pinn 4.36 ★
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12% Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
07:28 +21’	3.70	3.70	1.73

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
07:31 +18’	4.32	3.58	1.63
09:21 +28’	4.31▼	3.68▲	1.61▼
13:53 +197’	4.36▲	3.49▼	1.64▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Veertien Mie (W) 1–3–0 Diavorosso Hiroshima (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/03/26 Japan L2 League Women	Diavorosso Hiroshima (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Veertien Mie (W)
08/06/25 Japan L2 League Women	Diavorosso Hiroshima (W)	1-1 HT 1-1	Veertien Mie (W)
13/04/25 Japan L2 League Women	Veertien Mie (W)	2-0 HT 1-0	Diavorosso Hiroshima (W)
06/10/24 Japan L2 League Women	Veertien Mie (W)	1-1 HT 1-0	Diavorosso Hiroshima (W)

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Veertien Mie (W)	Diavorosso Hiroshima (W)
Renofa Yamaguchi (W)	2-4 L	1-2 L
Gunma FC White Star (W)	2-1 W	1-0 W
SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W)	1-0 W	2-4 L
Kibi University (W)	0-4 L	1-1 D
JFA Academy (W)	0-2 L	1-0 W
Diosa Izumo (W)	2-1 W	3-0 W
Speranza Takatsuki (W)	0-0 D	0-1 L
FC Yamato Sylphid (W)	1-0 W	0-1 L
FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W)	1-3 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 4 L	3 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Diavorosso Hiroshima (W) (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Veertien Mie (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Renofa Yamaguchi (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-2	2-4	0	0	L
04/10	Gunma FC White Star (W) Japan L2 League Women	1-0	2-1	3	0	W
26/09	Nankatsu SC (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-1	0-1	9	0	L
06/09	SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W) Japan L2 League Women	1-0	1-0	5	1	W
30/08	Kibi University (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-4	0-4	2	0	L
28/06	JFA Academy (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-2	0-2	2	0	L
20/06	Diosa Izumo (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
14/06	Speranza Takatsuki (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	0-0	2	0	D
06/06	FC Yamato Sylphid (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	1-0	6	0	W
31/05	FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W) Japan L2 League Women	1-3	1-3	4	1	L

Diavorosso Hiroshima (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Diosa Izumo (W) Japan L2 League Women	2-0	3-0	9	0	W
03/10	Speranza Takatsuki (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	0-1	5	0	L
27/09	FC Yamato Sylphid (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	0-1	3	0	L
06/09	Renofa Yamaguchi (W) Japan L2 League Women	1-0	1-2	4	1	L
30/08	FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-1	1-2	5	0	L
28/06	SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W) Japan L2 League Women	2-3	2-4	6	1	L
14/06	JFA Academy (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	1-0	3	0	W
07/06	Kibi University (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	1-1	9	0	D
30/05	Gunma FC White Star (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	1-0	6	1	W
23/05	Speranza Takatsuki (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	1-0	3	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Veertien Mie (W) vs Diavorosso Hiroshima (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Diavorosso Hiroshima (W) win (51%). Probabilities: Veertien Mie (W) 23%, draw 26%, Diavorosso Hiroshima (W) 51%.

How many goals are expected in Veertien Mie (W) vs Diavorosso Hiroshima (W)?

The model expects 2.51 goals (Veertien Mie (W) 0.96 · Diavorosso Hiroshima (W) 1.55), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Veertien Mie (W) vs Diavorosso Hiroshima (W)?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.