Football · Japan L2 League Women · 25/10, 05:00

Prediction: Speranza Takatsuki (W) vs Nankatsu SC (W)

Team pages: Nankatsu SC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.09Total

Speranza Takatsuki (W)2.21

Nankatsu SC (W)0.88

1X2

67% 19% 13%

Speranza Takatsuki (W) Draw Nankatsu SC (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

2-0 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Speranza Takatsuki (W) 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WWDLWDLDWW

Nankatsu SC (W) 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DWLLWDLWDL

Head-to-head

Speranza Takatsuki (W) 1–0 Nankatsu SC (W) (1 last)

Nankatsu SC (W)1-2Speranza Takatsuki (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Speranza Takatsuki (W) 1546 · Nankatsu SC (W) 1462

	Speranza Takatsuki (W)	Draw	Nankatsu SC (W)
Our model	67%	21%	13%
Market	68%	18%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 3.09 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Speranza Takatsuki (W) (rating 1546 vs 1462).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Speranza Takatsuki (W)	Nankatsu SC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1	1.2 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.2 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.3	1.3 / 2.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.6 / 0	0.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.33

X5.00

26.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.85

2 (+1.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 09:50

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.28 → 1.33▲	Pinn 1.41 ★
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	7.50 → 6.50▼	Bet365 6.50

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.4% Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
07:41 +8’	1.28	5.00	7.50
09:41 +9’	1.33▲	5.00	6.50▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
09:09 +41’	1.41	4.30	5.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Speranza Takatsuki (W) 1–0–0 Nankatsu SC (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
15/03/26 Japan L2 League Women	Nankatsu SC (W)	1-2 HT 0-1	Speranza Takatsuki (W)

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Speranza Takatsuki (W)	Nankatsu SC (W)
Renofa Yamaguchi (W)	2-2 D	0-2 L
FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W)	1-3 L	0-4 L
Diosa Izumo (W)	1-1 D	2-0 W
FC Yamato Sylphid (W)	1-0 W	0-0 D
Kibi University (W)	2-3 L	2-8 L
Veertien Mie (W)	0-0 D	1-0 W
Gunma FC White Star (W)	2-0 W	1-2 L
SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W)	2-0 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Speranza Takatsuki (W) (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Speranza Takatsuki (W)

WWDLWDLDWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	JFA Academy (W) Japan L2 League Women	1-0	4-1	3	0	W
03/10	Diavorosso Hiroshima (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	1-0	3	0	W
27/09	Renofa Yamaguchi (W) Japan L2 League Women	1-0	2-2	5	1	D
05/09	FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-2	1-3	5	1	L
30/08	Diosa Izumo (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-1	1-1	5	0	D
27/06	FC Yamato Sylphid (W) Japan L2 League Women	1-0	1-0	8	0	W
21/06	Kibi University (W) Japan L2 League Women	1-1	2-3	3	1	L
14/06	Veertien Mie (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	0-0	6	0	D
06/06	Gunma FC White Star (W) Japan L2 League Women	2-0	2-0	4	2	W
31/05	SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	2-0	1	1	W

Nankatsu SC (W)

DWLLWDLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Kibi University (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-3	2-8	4	0	L
03/10	SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	0-0	1	1	D
26/09	Veertien Mie (W) Japan L2 League Women	1-0	1-0	4	0	W
06/09	Gunma FC White Star (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-1	1-2	3	0	L
30/08	FC Yamato Sylphid (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	0-0	3	0	D
16/08	Diosa Izumo (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	2-0	2	0	W
13/06	FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-3	0-4	2	0	L
30/05	Renofa Yamaguchi (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-2	0-2	2	0	L
23/05	SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W) Japan L2 League Women	1-0	4-1	4	2	W
17/05	Veertien Mie (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-1	2-2	2	1	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Speranza Takatsuki (W) vs Nankatsu SC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Speranza Takatsuki (W) win (67%). Probabilities: Speranza Takatsuki (W) 67%, draw 19%, Nankatsu SC (W) 13%.

How many goals are expected in Speranza Takatsuki (W) vs Nankatsu SC (W)?

The model expects 3.09 goals (Speranza Takatsuki (W) 2.21 · Nankatsu SC (W) 0.88), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Speranza Takatsuki (W) vs Nankatsu SC (W)?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.