Football · Bahrain Division 2 · 06/11, 16:00

Prediction: Qalali vs Busaiteen

Team pages: Qalali · Busaiteen

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.58Total

Qalali0.79

Busaiteen2.79

1X2

7% 13% 79%

Qalali Draw Busaiteen

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

0-2 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Qalali 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LWLLLLLDLL

Busaiteen 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

WDDLLDDLWL

Head-to-head

Qalali 0–3–3 Busaiteen (6 last)

Busaiteen1-1Qalali
Qalali0-4Busaiteen
Busaiteen2-1Qalali
Busaiteen1-1Qalali
Qalali0-4Busaiteen
Qalali0-0Busaiteen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Qalali 1379 · Busaiteen 1470

	Qalali	Draw	Busaiteen
Our model	7%	15%	78%
Market	8%	12%	80%

Estimated total (ours) 3.58 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Busaiteen (rating 1379 vs 1470).
H2H favours Busaiteen: 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Qalali	Busaiteen
Goals for / against (FT)	0.4 / 3.7	1.5 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 1.6	0.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/10/80%	10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.2 / 2.5	2.9 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.1	4.3 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

112.00

X7.50

21.14

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2.5)1.82

2 (-2.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.82

Under 3.51.98

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	12.00 → 12.00	Bet365 12.00
X	7.50 → 7.50	Bet365 7.50
2	1.14 → 1.14	Bet365 1.14

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
00:54 +11’	12.00	7.50	1.14

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Qalali 0–3–3 Busaiteen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/10/26 Bahrain Kings Cup	Busaiteen	1-1 HT 0-1	Qalali
13/04/26 Bahrain Division 2	Qalali	0-4 HT 0-2	Busaiteen
06/12/25 Bahrain Division 2	Busaiteen	2-1 HT 2-1	Qalali
11/02/25 Bahrain Division 2	Busaiteen	1-1 HT 1-1	Qalali
29/09/24 Bahrain Division 2	Qalali	0-4 HT 0-1	Busaiteen
17/04/23 Bahrain Division 2	Qalali	0-0 HT 0-0	Busaiteen

Standings · Bahrain Division 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Al Hala	4	3	1	0	12	2	10
2	Al Tadamun Buri	4	3	0	1	8	2	9
3	Bahrain SC	4	3	0	1	10	5	9
4	Al Shabab Manama	4	2	2	0	4	0	8
5	Buri Cultural SC	4	2	1	1	5	3	7
6	Umm Al Hassam	4	2	0	2	8	6	6
7	Al Ittihad	4	2	0	2	3	4	6
8	Al Budaiya	4	2	0	2	8	8	6
9	Busaiteen	4	1	1	2	6	8	4
10	Isa Town	4	1	0	3	4	8	3
11	Qalali	4	0	1	3	0	14	1
12	Etehad Al Reef	4	0	0	4	3	11	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Qalali	Busaiteen
Al Tadamun Buri	0-4 L	0-1 L
Al Hala	0-7 L	2-2 D
Umm Al Hassam	0-3 L	1-1 D
Buri Cultural SC	1-4 L	1-4 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 4 L	0 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Busaiteen (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Qalali

LWLLLLLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Al Tadamun Buri Bahrain Division 2	0-1	0-4	2	5	L
19/10	Al Hala Bahrain Division 2	0-3	0-7	0	2	L
20/09	Al Shabab Manama Bahrain Division 2	0-0	0-0	4	6	D
14/09	Umm Al Hassam Bahrain Division 2	0-2	0-3	2	5	L
14/05	East Riffa Bahrain Division 2	0-1	0-4	2	5	L
07/05	Manama Bahrain Division 2	0-3	2-6	1	5	L
02/05	Al Ittihad Bahrain Division 2	0-1	0-5	2	2	L
26/04	Buri Cultural SC Bahrain Division 2	0-3	1-4	5	2	L
19/04	Isa Town Bahrain Division 2	1-0	1-0	4	5	W
13/04	Busaiteen Bahrain Division 2	0-2	0-4	3	4	L

Busaiteen

WDDLLDDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/10	Buri Cultural SC Bahrain Division 2	0-0	1-4	6	3	L
19/10	Etehad Al Reef Bahrain Division 2	0-0	3-1	5	3	W
19/09	Al Tadamun Buri Bahrain Division 2	0-0	0-1	3	9	L
13/09	Al Hala Bahrain Division 2	1-1	2-2	3	4	D
13/05	Al Hala Bahrain Division 2	1-2	2-2	11	3	D
08/05	Al Ittifaq Maqaba Bahrain Division 2	0-0	1-2	2	8	L
01/05	Al Tadamun Buri Bahrain Division 2	0-0	1-2	7	3	L
26/04	Umm Al Hassam Bahrain Division 2	0-1	1-1	12	7	D
19/04	Etehad Al Reef Bahrain Division 2	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
13/04	Qalali Bahrain Division 2	2-0	4-0	4	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Qalali vs Busaiteen?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Busaiteen win (79%). Probabilities: Qalali 7%, draw 13%, Busaiteen 79%.

How many goals are expected in Qalali vs Busaiteen?

The model expects 3.58 goals (Qalali 0.79 · Busaiteen 2.79), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Qalali vs Busaiteen?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.