Football · Bahrain Division 2 · 06/11, 17:30

Prediction: Al Ittihad vs Al Tadamun Buri

Team pages: Al Ittihad · Al Tadamun Buri

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.09Total

Al Ittihad2.22

Al Tadamun Buri0.87

1X2

67% 20% 13%

Al Ittihad Draw Al Tadamun Buri

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

2-0 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Al Ittihad 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWWWWWLL

Al Tadamun Buri 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LDLWLLWWLW

Head-to-head

Al Ittihad 6–0 Al Tadamun Buri (6 last)

Al Tadamun Buri0-2Al Ittihad
Al Ittihad1-0Al Tadamun Buri
Al Ittihad6-0Al Tadamun Buri
Al Tadamun Buri1-5Al Ittihad
Al Tadamun Buri1-2Al Ittihad
Al Ittihad2-1Al Tadamun Buri

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Al Ittihad 1510 · Al Tadamun Buri 1467

	Al Ittihad	Draw	Al Tadamun Buri
Our model	67%	20%	13%
Market	67%	20%	13%

Estimated total (ours) 3.09 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Ittihad (rating 1510 vs 1467).
H2H favours Al Ittihad: 6-0-0.
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Al Ittihad	Al Tadamun Buri
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 1	1.2 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.2	0.2 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	67/22/11%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.4	3.1 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.2	4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.33

X4.50

27.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.88

2 (+1.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.33 → 1.33	Bet365 1.33
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
00:59 +6’	1.33	4.50	7.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Ittihad 6–0–0 Al Tadamun Buri

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/02/26 Bahrain Division 2	Al Tadamun Buri	0-2 HT 0-0	Al Ittihad
16/10/25 Bahrain Division 2	Al Ittihad	1-0 HT 0-0	Al Tadamun Buri
21/02/25 Bahrain Division 2	Al Ittihad	6-0 HT 1-0	Al Tadamun Buri
17/10/24 Bahrain Division 2	Al Tadamun Buri	1-5 HT 0-2	Al Ittihad
19/04/24 Bahrain Division 2	Al Tadamun Buri	1-2 HT 0-1	Al Ittihad
14/12/23 Bahrain Division 2	Al Ittihad	2-1 HT 1-1	Al Tadamun Buri

Standings · Bahrain Division 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Al Hala	4	3	1	0	12	2	10
2	Al Tadamun Buri	4	3	0	1	8	2	9
3	Bahrain SC	4	3	0	1	10	5	9
4	Al Shabab Manama	4	2	2	0	4	0	8
5	Buri Cultural SC	4	2	1	1	5	3	7
6	Umm Al Hassam	4	2	0	2	8	6	6
7	Al Ittihad	4	2	0	2	3	4	6
8	Al Budaiya	4	2	0	2	8	8	6
9	Busaiteen	4	1	1	2	6	8	4
10	Isa Town	4	1	0	3	4	8	3
11	Qalali	4	0	1	3	0	14	1
12	Etehad Al Reef	4	0	0	4	3	11	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Al Ittihad	Al Tadamun Buri
Al Hala	0-1 L	2-3 L
Etehad Al Reef	5-0 W	3-1 W
Qalali	5-0 W	4-0 W
East Riffa	0-2 L	0-4 L
Buri Cultural SC	4-1 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Al Ittihad (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Al Ittihad

WLWWWWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Al Hala Bahrain Division 2	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
20/10	Al Shabab Manama Bahrain Division 2	–	0-2	–	–	L
20/09	Umm Al Hassam Bahrain Division 2	0-0	2-1	4	5	W
13/09	Bahrain SC Bahrain Division 2	1-0	1-0	5	5	W
13/05	Umm Al Hassam Bahrain Division 2	1-0	3-0	5	7	W
08/05	Etehad Al Reef Bahrain Division 2	4-0	5-0	10	8	W
02/05	Qalali Bahrain Division 2	1-0	5-0	6	2	W
26/04	Manama Bahrain Division 2	2-1	4-3	2	6	W
20/04	East Riffa Bahrain Division 2	0-1	0-2	6	3	L
14/04	Buri Cultural SC Bahrain Division 2	4-0	4-1	5	5	W

Al Tadamun Buri

LDLWLLWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Qalali Bahrain Division 2	1-0	4-0	9	5	W
19/10	Buri Cultural SC Bahrain Division 2	0-1	0-1	5	6	L
19/09	Busaiteen Bahrain Division 2	0-0	1-0	4	9	W
13/09	Etehad Al Reef Bahrain Division 2	1-0	3-1	4	7	W
14/05	Buri Cultural SC Bahrain Division 2	0-1	0-3	6	4	L
07/05	Isa Town Bahrain Division 2	0-2	0-3	6	1	L
01/05	Busaiteen Bahrain Division 2	0-0	2-1	6	3	W
25/04	Al Hala Bahrain Division 2	0-1	2-3	6	2	L
20/04	Al Ittifaq Maqaba Bahrain Division 2	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
13/04	East Riffa Bahrain Division 2	0-2	0-4	0	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Al Ittihad vs Al Tadamun Buri?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Al Ittihad win (67%). Probabilities: Al Ittihad 67%, draw 20%, Al Tadamun Buri 13%.

How many goals are expected in Al Ittihad vs Al Tadamun Buri?

The model expects 3.09 goals (Al Ittihad 2.22 · Al Tadamun Buri 0.87), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Al Ittihad vs Al Tadamun Buri?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.