Prediction: Etehad Al Reef vs Umm Al Hassam
Team pages: Etehad Al Reef · Umm Al Hassam
- Umm Al Hassam0-1Etehad Al Reef
- Etehad Al Reef0-1Umm Al Hassam
- Umm Al Hassam2-1Etehad Al Reef
- Umm Al Hassam0-1Etehad Al Reef
- Etehad Al Reef0-2Umm Al Hassam
- Umm Al Hassam0-2Etehad Al Reef
| Etehad Al Reef | Draw | Umm Al Hassam | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 10% | 20% | 70% |
| Market | 11% | 19% | 70% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Umm Al Hassam (rating 1409 vs 1464).
- Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Etehad Al Reef | Umm Al Hassam | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 2.2 | 1.3 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 1.1 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 2.8 | 2.5 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.2 | 4.9 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Etehad Al Reef 3–0–3 Umm Al Hassam
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/02/26 Bahrain Division 2 | Umm Al Hassam | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Etehad Al Reef |
| 03/11/25 Bahrain Division 2 | Etehad Al Reef | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Umm Al Hassam |
| 12/03/25 Bahrain Division 2 | Umm Al Hassam | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Etehad Al Reef |
| 25/01/25 Bahrain Kings Cup | Umm Al Hassam | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Etehad Al Reef |
| 08/11/24 Bahrain Division 2 | Etehad Al Reef | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Umm Al Hassam |
| 22/02/24 Bahrain Division 2 | Umm Al Hassam | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Etehad Al Reef |
Standings · Bahrain Division 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Shabab Manama | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 11 |
| 2 | Al Hala | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 10 |
| 3 | Al Tadamun Buri | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Umm Al Hassam | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 9 |
| 5 | Bahrain SC | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 9 |
| 6 | Buri Cultural SC | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
| 7 | Al Ittihad | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7 |
| 8 | Al Budaiya | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 6 |
| 9 | Isa Town | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 6 |
| 10 | Qalali | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 4 |
| 11 | Busaiteen | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 4 |
| 12 | Etehad Al Reef | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 1 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Etehad Al Reef | Umm Al Hassam |
|---|---|---|
| Buri Cultural SC | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Bahrain SC | 0-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Busaiteen | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Al Budaiya | 1-3 L | 3-1 W |
| Al Ittihad | 0-5 L | 1-2 L |
| Isa Town | 1-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 5 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Umm Al Hassam (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Etehad Al Reef
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Buri Cultural SC Bahrain Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 25/10 | Bahrain SC Bahrain Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 19/10 | Busaiteen Bahrain Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 19/09 | Al Budaiya Bahrain Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 13/09 | Al Tadamun Buri Bahrain Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 13/05 | Manama Bahrain Division 2 |
1-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 08/05 | Al Ittihad Bahrain Division 2 |
0-4 | 0-5 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 01/05 | Buri Cultural SC Bahrain Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | D |
| 25/04 | Isa Town Bahrain Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 19/04 | Busaiteen Bahrain Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
Umm Al Hassam
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Bahrain SC Bahrain Division 2 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 26/10 | Al Budaiya Bahrain Division 2 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 20/10 | Isa Town Bahrain Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 20/09 | Al Ittihad Bahrain Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 14/09 | Qalali Bahrain Division 2 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 13/05 | Al Ittihad Bahrain Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 07/05 | Buri Cultural SC Bahrain Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 01/05 | Isa Town Bahrain Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 26/04 | Busaiteen Bahrain Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 19/04 | Al Hala Bahrain Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Etehad Al Reef vs Umm Al Hassam?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Umm Al Hassam win (70%). Probabilities: Etehad Al Reef 10%, draw 20%, Umm Al Hassam 70%.
How many goals are expected in Etehad Al Reef vs Umm Al Hassam?
The model expects 2.83 goals (Etehad Al Reef 0.7 · Umm Al Hassam 2.13), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Etehad Al Reef vs Umm Al Hassam?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.