Football · Bahrain Division 2 · 14/11, 17:30

Prediction: Busaiteen vs Al Ittihad

Team pages: Busaiteen · Al Ittihad

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.71Total

Busaiteen1.24

Al Ittihad1.47

1X2

31% 27% 42%

Busaiteen Draw Al Ittihad

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Busaiteen 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

DDLLDDLWLL

Al Ittihad 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LWWWWWWLLD

Head-to-head

Busaiteen 0–4–2 Al Ittihad (6 last)

Al Ittihad2-2Busaiteen
Busaiteen1-1Al Ittihad
Al Ittihad2-1Busaiteen
Busaiteen1-2Al Ittihad
Al Ittihad3-3Busaiteen
Busaiteen1-1Al Ittihad

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Busaiteen 1438 · Al Ittihad 1485

	Busaiteen	Draw	Al Ittihad
Our model	31%	28%	41%
Market	32%	26%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 2.71 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Ittihad (rating 1438 vs 1485).
H2H favours Al Ittihad: 2-4-0.
High corners: 12 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Busaiteen	Al Ittihad
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.6	2.1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.4	1.1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/80/20%	56/33/11%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 6.2	3 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.5	4.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.80

X3.50

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.90

2 (-0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.88

Under 2.51.93

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 14:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.88 → 2.80▼	Bet365 2.80
X	3.40 → 3.50▲	Bet365 3.50
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
13:05 +4’	2.88	3.40	2.10
14:04 +4’	2.80▼	3.50▲	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.5

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Busaiteen 0–4–2 Al Ittihad

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/03/26 Bahrain Division 2	Al Ittihad	2-2 HT 2-1	Busaiteen
21/11/25 Bahrain Division 2	Busaiteen	1-1 HT 0-1	Al Ittihad
06/04/25 Bahrain Division 2	Al Ittihad	2-1 HT 1-0	Busaiteen
30/11/24 Bahrain Division 2	Busaiteen	1-2 HT 0-0	Al Ittihad
16/03/23 Bahrain Division 2	Al Ittihad	3-3 HT 2-0	Busaiteen
25/01/23 Bahrain Division 2	Busaiteen	1-1 HT 0-0	Al Ittihad

Standings · Bahrain Division 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Al Shabab Manama	5	3	2	0	6	0	11
2	Al Hala	5	3	1	1	15	6	10
3	Al Tadamun Buri	5	3	1	1	9	3	10
4	Umm Al Hassam	5	3	0	2	11	7	9
5	Bahrain SC	5	3	0	2	11	8	9
6	Buri Cultural SC	5	2	2	1	6	4	8
7	Al Ittihad	5	2	1	2	4	5	7
8	Al Budaiya	5	2	0	3	8	10	6
9	Isa Town	5	2	0	3	8	11	6
10	Qalali	5	1	1	3	1	14	4
11	Busaiteen	5	1	1	3	6	9	4
12	Etehad Al Reef	5	0	1	4	4	12	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Busaiteen	Al Ittihad
Qalali	0-1 L	5-0 W
Etehad Al Reef	3-1 W	5-0 W
Al Tadamun Buri	0-1 L	1-1 D
Al Hala	2-2 D	0-1 L
Umm Al Hassam	1-1 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Al Ittihad (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Busaiteen

DDLLDDLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/11	Qalali Bahrain Division 2	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
26/10	Buri Cultural SC Bahrain Division 2	0-0	1-4	6	3	L
19/10	Etehad Al Reef Bahrain Division 2	0-0	3-1	5	3	W
19/09	Al Tadamun Buri Bahrain Division 2	0-0	0-1	3	9	L
13/09	Al Hala Bahrain Division 2	1-1	2-2	3	4	D
13/05	Al Hala Bahrain Division 2	1-2	2-2	11	3	D
08/05	Al Ittifaq Maqaba Bahrain Division 2	0-0	1-2	2	8	L
01/05	Al Tadamun Buri Bahrain Division 2	0-0	1-2	7	3	L
26/04	Umm Al Hassam Bahrain Division 2	0-1	1-1	12	7	D
19/04	Etehad Al Reef Bahrain Division 2	0-0	0-0	7	4	D

Al Ittihad

LWWWWWWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/11	Al Tadamun Buri Bahrain Division 2	1-1	1-1	8	5	D
25/10	Al Hala Bahrain Division 2	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
20/10	Al Shabab Manama Bahrain Division 2	–	0-2	–	–	L
20/09	Umm Al Hassam Bahrain Division 2	0-0	2-1	4	5	W
13/09	Bahrain SC Bahrain Division 2	1-0	1-0	5	5	W
13/05	Umm Al Hassam Bahrain Division 2	1-0	3-0	5	7	W
08/05	Etehad Al Reef Bahrain Division 2	4-0	5-0	10	8	W
02/05	Qalali Bahrain Division 2	1-0	5-0	6	2	W
26/04	Manama Bahrain Division 2	2-1	4-3	2	6	W
20/04	East Riffa Bahrain Division 2	0-1	0-2	6	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Busaiteen vs Al Ittihad?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Al Ittihad win (42%). Probabilities: Busaiteen 31%, draw 27%, Al Ittihad 42%.

How many goals are expected in Busaiteen vs Al Ittihad?

The model expects 2.71 goals (Busaiteen 1.24 · Al Ittihad 1.47), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Busaiteen vs Al Ittihad?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.