Football · Bahrain Division 2 · 14/11, 16:00

Prediction: Buri Cultural SC vs Qalali

Team pages: Buri Cultural SC · Qalali

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.18Total

Buri Cultural SC2.43

Qalali0.75

1X2

74% 16% 9%

Buri Cultural SC Draw Qalali

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

2-0 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Buri Cultural SC 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LWDWWDLWWD

Qalali 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

WLLLLLDLLW

Head-to-head

Buri Cultural SC 4–1–1 Qalali (6 last)

Qalali1-4Buri Cultural SC
Buri Cultural SC4-1Qalali
Buri Cultural SC2-0Qalali
Qalali1-1Buri Cultural SC
Qalali2-1Buri Cultural SC
Buri Cultural SC1-0Qalali

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Buri Cultural SC 1531 · Qalali 1396

	Buri Cultural SC	Draw	Qalali
Our model	74%	17%	9%
Market	75%	15%	10%

Estimated total (ours) 3.18 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Buri Cultural SC (rating 1531 vs 1396).
H2H favours Buri Cultural SC: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Buri Cultural SC	Qalali
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 0.8	0.5 / 3.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.1 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	10/20/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.2	1.2 / 2.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.1	3.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.20

X6.00

29.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2)1.98

2 (+2)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.20 → 1.20	Bet365 1.20
X	6.00 → 6.00	Bet365 6.00
2	9.00 → 9.00	Bet365 9.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
13:04 +4’	1.20	6.00	9.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Buri Cultural SC 4–1–1 Qalali

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Bahrain Division 2	Qalali	1-4 HT 0-3	Buri Cultural SC
31/12/25 Bahrain Division 2	Buri Cultural SC	4-1 HT 2-0	Qalali
06/04/25 Bahrain Division 2	Buri Cultural SC	2-0 HT 1-0	Qalali
29/11/24 Bahrain Division 2	Qalali	1-1 HT 1-1	Buri Cultural SC
19/04/24 Bahrain Division 2	Qalali	2-1 HT 1-0	Buri Cultural SC
14/12/23 Bahrain Division 2	Buri Cultural SC	1-0 HT 0-0	Qalali

Standings · Bahrain Division 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Al Shabab Manama	5	3	2	0	6	0	11
2	Al Hala	5	3	1	1	15	6	10
3	Al Tadamun Buri	5	3	1	1	9	3	10
4	Umm Al Hassam	5	3	0	2	11	7	9
5	Bahrain SC	5	3	0	2	11	8	9
6	Buri Cultural SC	5	2	2	1	6	4	8
7	Al Ittihad	5	2	1	2	4	5	7
8	Al Budaiya	5	2	0	3	8	10	6
9	Isa Town	5	2	0	3	8	11	6
10	Qalali	5	1	1	3	1	14	4
11	Busaiteen	5	1	1	3	6	9	4
12	Etehad Al Reef	5	0	1	4	4	12	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Buri Cultural SC	Qalali
Busaiteen	4-1 W	1-0 W
Al Tadamun Buri	1-0 W	0-4 L
Al Hala	0-2 L	0-7 L
Al Shabab Manama	0-0 D	0-0 D
Umm Al Hassam	2-1 W	0-3 L
Manama	0-2 L	2-6 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Buri Cultural SC (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Buri Cultural SC

LWDWWDLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/11	Etehad Al Reef Bahrain Division 2	0-1	1-1	14	7	D
26/10	Busaiteen Bahrain Division 2	0-0	4-1	5	3	W
19/10	Al Tadamun Buri Bahrain Division 2	1-0	1-0	2	6	W
19/09	Al Hala Bahrain Division 2	0-1	0-2	1	4	L
14/09	Al Shabab Manama Bahrain Division 2	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
14/05	Al Tadamun Buri Bahrain Division 2	1-0	3-0	2	4	W
07/05	Umm Al Hassam Bahrain Division 2	1-1	2-1	4	4	W
01/05	Etehad Al Reef Bahrain Division 2	0-0	0-0	7	6	D
26/04	Qalali Bahrain Division 2	3-0	4-1	7	2	W
20/04	Manama Bahrain Division 2	0-1	0-2	6	4	L

Qalali

WLLLLLDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/11	Busaiteen Bahrain Division 2	0-0	1-0	1	3	W
25/10	Al Tadamun Buri Bahrain Division 2	0-1	0-4	2	5	L
19/10	Al Hala Bahrain Division 2	0-3	0-7	0	2	L
20/09	Al Shabab Manama Bahrain Division 2	0-0	0-0	4	6	D
14/09	Umm Al Hassam Bahrain Division 2	0-2	0-3	2	5	L
14/05	East Riffa Bahrain Division 2	0-1	0-4	2	5	L
07/05	Manama Bahrain Division 2	0-3	2-6	1	5	L
02/05	Al Ittihad Bahrain Division 2	0-1	0-5	2	2	L
26/04	Buri Cultural SC Bahrain Division 2	0-3	1-4	5	2	L
19/04	Isa Town Bahrain Division 2	1-0	1-0	4	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Buri Cultural SC vs Qalali?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Buri Cultural SC win (74%). Probabilities: Buri Cultural SC 74%, draw 16%, Qalali 9%.

How many goals are expected in Buri Cultural SC vs Qalali?

The model expects 3.18 goals (Buri Cultural SC 2.43 · Qalali 0.75), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Buri Cultural SC vs Qalali?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.