Football · Spain Tercera Group 6 · 04/11, 18:00

Prediction: CD Roda vs Athletic Torrellano

Team pages: CD Roda · Athletic Torrellano

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.09Total

CD Roda1.11

Athletic Torrellano0.98

1X2

38% 31% 31%

CD Roda Draw Athletic Torrellano

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

CD Roda 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LLWLDDWDLW

Athletic Torrellano 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLDWWD

Head-to-head

CD Roda 2–2–2 Athletic Torrellano (6 last)

Athletic Torrellano0-2CD Roda
CD Roda0-0Athletic Torrellano
CD Roda2-0Athletic Torrellano
Athletic Torrellano3-2CD Roda
CD Roda0-0Athletic Torrellano
Athletic Torrellano1-0CD Roda

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Roda 1513 · Athletic Torrellano 1448

	CD Roda	Draw	Athletic Torrellano
Our model	37%	33%	30%
Market	39%	30%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 2.09 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Roda (rating 1513 vs 1448).
Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Roda	Athletic Torrellano
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.1	0.8 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.6	0.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	13/38/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 4.1	2.6 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.1	5.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.00

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.05

2 (+0.25)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 21.77

Under 22.02

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
13:35 +31’	2.30	3.00	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Roda 2–2–2 Athletic Torrellano

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/03/26 Spain Tercera Group 6	Athletic Torrellano	0-2 HT 0-2	CD Roda
25/10/25 Spain Tercera Group 6	CD Roda	0-0 HT 0-0	Athletic Torrellano
05/04/25 Spain Tercera Group 6	CD Roda	2-0 HT 2-0	Athletic Torrellano
24/11/24 Spain Tercera Group 6	Athletic Torrellano	3-2 HT 2-0	CD Roda
23/03/24 Spain Tercera Group 6	CD Roda	0-0 HT 0-0	Athletic Torrellano
05/11/23 Spain Tercera Group 6	Athletic Torrellano	1-0 HT 0-0	CD Roda

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 6

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Villarreal C	9	8	0	1	15	6	24
2	Levante B	9	5	3	1	15	4	18
3	Hercules II	8	3	4	1	10	7	13
4	UD Vall De Uxo	8	3	4	1	9	5	13
5	Torrent C.F.	8	4	1	3	12	8	13
6	CD Roda	8	3	3	2	10	8	12
7	Acero	9	2	6	1	9	7	12
8	CD Bunol	8	3	2	3	7	9	11
9	Atletico Saguntino	8	3	2	3	13	12	11
10	Crevillente	9	2	5	2	10	10	11
11	Eldense B	9	2	4	3	8	8	10
12	Ontinyent	8	2	2	4	10	11	8
13	SC Torrevieja CF	9	2	2	5	8	15	8
14	Atzeneta	8	1	5	2	8	10	8
15	Athletic Torrellano	8	2	2	4	8	12	8
16	Jove Espanol	8	1	4	3	9	15	7
17	Soneja	8	2	1	5	8	15	7
18	Utiel	8	0	4	4	5	12	4

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Roda	Athletic Torrellano
Eldense B	1-0 W	0-1 L
Villarreal C	1-2 L	0-2 L
Soneja	0-1 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: CD Roda (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Roda

LLWLDDWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Eldense B Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	1-0	2	4	W
24/10	Atzeneta Spain Tercera Group 6	1-1	1-2	6	6	L
10/10	Jove Espanol Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	1-1	12	7	D
03/10	SC Torrevieja CF Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	2-0	3	5	W
27/09	Utiel Spain Tercera Group 6	1-1	1-1	2	1	D
19/09	Crevillente Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	1-1	7	7	D
13/09	Villarreal C Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	1-2	2	6	L
06/09	Ontinyent Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	2-1	3	8	W
09/05	Crevillente Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	0-2	2	1	L
02/05	Soneja Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	0-1	2	5	L

Athletic Torrellano

LLLLLLDWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Levante B Spain Tercera Group 6	1-1	1-1	5	6	D
25/10	Atletico Saguntino Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	2-1	9	9	W
11/10	Soneja Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	2-0	1	5	W
03/10	Acero Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	1-1	4	9	D
27/09	UD Vall De Uxo Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	0-3	3	3	L
19/09	Hercules II Spain Tercera Group 6	1-2	1-3	5	4	L
13/09	Torrent C.F. Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	1-2	7	3	L
06/09	Eldense B Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
09/05	Villarreal C Spain Tercera Group 6	–	0-2	–	–	L
02/05	La Nucia Spain Tercera Group 6	–	0-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Roda vs Athletic Torrellano?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Roda win (38%). Probabilities: CD Roda 38%, draw 31%, Athletic Torrellano 31%.

How many goals are expected in CD Roda vs Athletic Torrellano?

The model expects 2.09 goals (CD Roda 1.11 · Athletic Torrellano 0.98), with a 51% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Roda vs Athletic Torrellano?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.