Football · Saudi Arabia Pro League · 23/10, 20:00

Prediction: Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Khaleej Saihat

Team pages: Al Ahli Jeddah · Al Khaleej Saihat

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.37Total

Al Ahli Jeddah2.41

Al Khaleej Saihat0.96

1X2

69% 18% 13%

Al Ahli Jeddah Draw Al Khaleej Saihat

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

2-0 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Al Ahli Jeddah 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWWLLWLWWW

Al Khaleej Saihat 2-6-2 (W-D-L)

DDDLLDDDWW

Head-to-head

Al Ahli Jeddah 5–1–0 Al Khaleej Saihat (6 last)

Al Khaleej Saihat1-4Al Ahli Jeddah
Al Ahli Jeddah4-1Al Khaleej Saihat
Al Ahli Jeddah2-2Al Khaleej Saihat
Al Khaleej Saihat0-3Al Ahli Jeddah
Al Ahli Jeddah1-0Al Khaleej Saihat
Al Khaleej Saihat1-3Al Ahli Jeddah

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Al Ahli Jeddah 1573 · Al Khaleej Saihat 1468

	Al Ahli Jeddah	Draw	Al Khaleej Saihat
Our model	69%	19%	12%
Market	69%	18%	13%

Estimated total (ours) 3.37 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Ahli Jeddah (rating 1573 vs 1468).
H2H favours Al Ahli Jeddah: 5-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Al Ahli Jeddah	Al Khaleej Saihat
Goals for / against (FT)	2.7 / 1.3	0.9 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.9	0.3 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/10/30%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 3.7	2.6 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.1	3.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.30

X5.00

27.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.90

2 (+1.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:29

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.33 → 1.33	Pinn 1.33
X	5.21 → 5.21	Pinn 5.21
2	6.83 → 6.83	Pinn 6.83

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 8.9%

Time*	1	X	2
20:25 +4’	1.33	5.21	6.83

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Ahli Jeddah 5–1–0 Al Khaleej Saihat

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/05/26 Saudi Arabia Pro League	Al Khaleej Saihat	1-4 HT 1-2	Al Ahli Jeddah
20/01/26 Saudi Arabia Pro League	Al Ahli Jeddah	4-1 HT 0-1	Al Khaleej Saihat
07/03/25 Saudi Arabia Pro League	Al Ahli Jeddah	2-2 HT 1-2	Al Khaleej Saihat
18/10/24 Saudi Arabia Pro League	Al Khaleej Saihat	0-3 HT 0-0	Al Ahli Jeddah
29/12/23 Saudi Arabia Pro League	Al Ahli Jeddah	1-0 HT 0-0	Al Khaleej Saihat
17/08/23 Saudi Arabia Pro League	Al Khaleej Saihat	1-3 HT 0-2	Al Ahli Jeddah

Standings · Saudi Arabia Pro League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Al Qadisiya Al Khubar	10	8	1	1	24	9	25
2	Al Hilal Riyadh	9	8	0	1	27	7	24
3	Al-Nassr Riyadh	9	7	1	1	20	7	22
4	Al Ittihad Jeddah	9	6	2	1	18	10	20
5	Al Ahli Jeddah	9	6	0	3	23	12	18
6	Neom SC	10	5	1	4	14	9	16
7	Al Draih	10	4	3	3	9	9	15
8	Al Ittifaq Dammam	10	4	3	3	14	16	15
9	Al Kholood	9	3	3	3	14	18	12
10	Al Khaleej Saihat	10	2	6	2	9	13	12
11	Al Hazm	10	2	3	5	10	14	9
12	Al Riyadh	9	2	3	4	9	18	9
13	Al Shabab Riyadh	9	1	5	3	11	13	8
14	Al Faisaly Harmah	9	1	4	4	10	17	7
14	Al Fayha	10	1	4	5	10	17	7
16	Al Fateh SC	10	1	3	6	9	20	6
17	Al Taawon Buraidah	10	0	4	6	4	17	4
18	Abha	8	0	2	6	6	15	2

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Al Ahli Jeddah	Al Khaleej Saihat
Al Fayha	3-2 W	2-0 W
Al Fateh SC	4-0 W	3-2 W
Al Riyadh	5-0 W	0-0 D
Al Hilal Riyadh	0-3 L	1-5 L
Abha	4-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Al Ahli Jeddah (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Al Ahli Jeddah

WWWLLWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/10	Al Fayha Saudi Arabia Pro League	1-1	3-2	1	1	W
09/10	Al Fateh SC Saudi Arabia Pro League	1-0	4-0	4	5	W
11/09	Al Hazm Saudi Arabia Pro League	3-1	3-1	5	1	W
08/09	Al Qadisiya Al Khubar Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-3	2-3	5	6	L
04/09	Al Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League	3-0	5-0	4	4	W
01/09	Al Hilal Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-2	0-3	4	7	L
29/08	Al Kholood Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-1	1-3	4	3	L
22/08	Abha Saudi Arabia Pro League	2-0	4-0	2	4	W
13/08	Al Draih Saudi Arabia Pro League	1-0	1-0	4	6	W
20/05	Al Khaleej Saihat Saudi Arabia Pro League	2-1	4-1	4	2	W

Al Khaleej Saihat

DDDLLDDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Al Fateh SC Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-1	3-2	10	4	W
15/10	Al Fayha Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-0	2-0	6	2	W
10/10	Al Ittifaq Dammam Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-0	1-1	3	5	D
12/09	Al-Nassr Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League	1-0	1-1	5	6	D
07/09	Al Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-0	0-0	6	2	D
03/09	Neom SC Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-3	0-3	2	4	L
28/08	Al Hilal Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League	1-5	1-5	3	2	L
25/08	Abha Saudi Arabia Pro League	1-1	1-1	2	2	D
22/08	Al Shabab Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
15/08	Al Taawon Buraidah Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-0	0-0	4	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Khaleej Saihat?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Al Ahli Jeddah win (69%). Probabilities: Al Ahli Jeddah 69%, draw 18%, Al Khaleej Saihat 13%.

How many goals are expected in Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Khaleej Saihat?

The model expects 3.37 goals (Al Ahli Jeddah 2.41 · Al Khaleej Saihat 0.96), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Khaleej Saihat?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.