Football · Costa Rica Primera Division · 24/10, 02:00

Prediction: Puntarenas vs Inter San Carlos

Team pages: Puntarenas · Inter San Carlos

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.57Total

Puntarenas1.33

Inter San Carlos1.24

1X2

38% 28% 33%

Puntarenas Draw Inter San Carlos

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Puntarenas 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLWWLDWDLW

Inter San Carlos 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Puntarenas 0–1–0 Inter San Carlos (1 last)

Inter San Carlos1-1Puntarenas

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Puntarenas 1497 · Inter San Carlos 1517

	Puntarenas	Draw	Inter San Carlos
Our model	38%	29%	33%
Market	38%	28%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 2.57 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Puntarenas	Inter San Carlos
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.4	1.2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.6	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	40/10/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5	2.2 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.2 / 0.4	5.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.38

X3.25

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.80

2 (0)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.38 → 2.38	Bet365 2.38
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.9%

Time*	1	X	2
07:03 +3’	2.38	3.25	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Puntarenas 0–1–0 Inter San Carlos

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/09/26 Costa Rica Primera Division	Inter San Carlos	1-1 HT 0-1	Puntarenas

Standings · Costa Rica Primera Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Deportivo Saprissa	12	8	0	4	26	12	24
2	Cartagines	12	8	0	4	23	14	24
3	Sporting San Jose	12	6	3	3	22	18	21
4	Alajuelense	12	5	4	3	20	14	19
5	AD San Carlos	12	6	1	5	13	14	19
6	Inter San Carlos	12	5	3	4	14	17	18
7	Puntarenas	12	4	3	5	12	18	15
8	Herediano	12	3	2	7	12	16	11
9	Escorpiones de Belen FC	12	3	1	8	12	18	10
10	Municipal Perez Zeledon	12	2	3	7	9	22	9

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Puntarenas	Inter San Carlos
Escorpiones de Belen FC	2-1 W	2-0 W
Alajuelense	1-1 D	2-3 L
AD San Carlos	2-1 W	2-1 W
Municipal Perez Zeledon	1-0 W	1-1 D
Deportivo Saprissa	0-2 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Puntarenas

LLWWLDWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/10	Escorpiones de Belen FC Costa Rica Primera Division	1-1	2-1	11	6	W
14/10	Cartagines Costa Rica Primera Division	1-1	1-3	4	4	L
11/10	Alajuelense Costa Rica Primera Division	0-1	1-1	2	2	D
20/09	Escorpiones de Belen FC Costa Rica Primera Division	1-0	1-0	3	2	W
13/09	Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division	1-0	1-1	0	6	D
07/09	Cartagines Costa Rica Primera Division	1-1	1-3	4	8	L
31/08	AD San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division	1-0	2-1	5	6	W
22/08	Municipal Perez Zeledon Costa Rica Primera Division	0-0	1-0	8	12	W
16/08	Alajuelense Costa Rica Primera Division	1-1	1-2	8	5	L
09/08	Deportivo Saprissa Costa Rica Primera Division	0-1	0-2	–	–	L

Inter San Carlos

WWWLWDLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Alajuelense Costa Rica Primera Division	1-2	2-3	6	3	L
14/10	AD San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division	1-0	2-1	1	11	W
10/10	Municipal Perez Zeledon Costa Rica Primera Division	0-1	1-1	3	3	D
21/09	Alajuelense Costa Rica Primera Division	0-2	0-5	4	4	L
13/09	Puntarenas Costa Rica Primera Division	0-1	1-1	12	6	D
05/09	Escorpiones de Belen FC Costa Rica Primera Division	1-0	2-0	4	1	W
29/08	Sporting San Jose Costa Rica Primera Division	0-1	0-2	9	10	L
23/08	Deportivo Saprissa Costa Rica Primera Division	0-0	1-0	3	8	W
17/08	Municipal Perez Zeledon Costa Rica Primera Division	1-0	1-0	6	6	W
09/08	AD San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division	1-0	2-0	0	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Puntarenas vs Inter San Carlos?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Puntarenas win (38%). Probabilities: Puntarenas 38%, draw 28%, Inter San Carlos 33%.

How many goals are expected in Puntarenas vs Inter San Carlos?

The model expects 2.57 goals (Puntarenas 1.33 · Inter San Carlos 1.24), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Puntarenas vs Inter San Carlos?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.