Football · Jordan League Women · 23/10, 18:00

Prediction: Al Istiqlal (W) vs Amman (W)

Team pages: Al Istiqlal (W) · Amman (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.87Total
Al Istiqlal (W)0.94
Amman (W)2.94
1X2
5% 10% 85%
Al Istiqlal (W) Draw Amman (W)
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
0-2 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Al Istiqlal (W) 1-3-6 (W-D-L)
LDDWLDLLLL
Amman (W) 8-1-1 (W-D-L)
WWDWWLWWWW
Head-to-head
Al Istiqlal (W) 0–2–4 Amman (W) (6 last)
  • Al Istiqlal (W)1-2Amman (W)
  • Amman (W)2-2Al Istiqlal (W)
  • Al Istiqlal (W)2-2Amman (W)
  • Al Istiqlal (W)1-6Amman (W)
  • Al Istiqlal (W)0-2Amman (W)
  • Amman (W)1-0Al Istiqlal (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Al Istiqlal (W) 1393 · Amman (W) 1569
Al Istiqlal (W)DrawAmman (W)
Our model8%14%77%
Market2%7%91%
Estimated total (ours) 3.87 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Amman (W) (rating 1393 vs 1569).
  • H2H favours Amman (W): 4-2-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Al Istiqlal (W)Amman (W)
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 2.52.3 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 1.41.1 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/20/70%60/10/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.2 / 2.81.8 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.5 / 0.12.6 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Istiqlal (W) 0–2–4 Amman (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
26/01/26
Jordan League Women
Al Istiqlal (W)1-2
HT 0-1
Amman (W)
17/12/25
Jordan League Women
Amman (W)2-2
HT 2-1
Al Istiqlal (W)
17/10/25
Jordan League Women
Al Istiqlal (W)2-2
HT 0-0
Amman (W)
25/09/24
Jordan Cup Women
Al Istiqlal (W)1-6
HT 0-2
Amman (W)
04/07/24
Jordan League Women
Al Istiqlal (W)0-2
HT 0-0
Amman (W)
24/05/24
Jordan League Women
Amman (W)1-0
HT 0-0
Al Istiqlal (W)

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAl Istiqlal (W)Amman (W)
Al Orthodoxi (W) 0-1 L 2-1 W
Al Naser (W) 0-3 L 2-0 W
Etihad Club (W) 0-5 L 0-3 L
Nashama Al-Mustaqbal (W) 3-2 W 2-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 3 L 3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Amman (W) (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Al Istiqlal (W)

LDDWLDLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/10 Al Orthodoxi (W)
Jordan League Women
0-1 0-1 28 L
26/09 Al Naser (W)
Jordan League Women
0-1 0-3 04 L
11/09 Etihad Club (W)
Jordan League Women
0-2 0-5 41 L
26/01 Amman (W)
Jordan League Women
0-1 1-2 32 L
16/01 Al Orthodoxi (W)
Jordan League Women
1-1 1-1 44 D
11/01 Etihad Club (W)
Jordan League Women
0-2 1-4 13 L
26/12 Nashama Al-Mustaqbal (W)
Jordan League Women
2-1 3-2 33 W
17/12 Amman (W)
Jordan League Women
1-2 2-2 44 D
13/12 Al Orthodoxi (W)
Jordan League Women
0-0 0-0 44 D
07/12 Etihad Club (W)
Jordan League Women
1-3 1-5 33 L

Amman (W)

WWDWWLWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/10 Al Naser (W)
Jordan League Women
1-0 2-0 64 W
18/09 Al Orthodoxi (W)
Jordan League Women
0-1 2-1 31 W
12/09 Nashama Al-Mustaqbal (W)
Jordan League Women
1-0 2-0 64 W
26/01 Al Istiqlal (W)
Jordan League Women
1-0 2-1 42 W
17/01 Etihad Club (W)
Jordan League Women
0-1 0-3 11 L
10/01 Nashama Al-Mustaqbal (W)
Jordan League Women
1-1 4-2 42 W
02/01 Al Orthodoxi (W)
Jordan League Women
0-1 2-1 131 W
17/12 Al Istiqlal (W)
Jordan League Women
2-1 2-2 64 D
12/12 Etihad Club (W)
Jordan League Women
2-1 3-2 15 W
06/12 Nashama Al-Mustaqbal (W)
Jordan League Women
3-2 4-2 33 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Al Istiqlal (W) vs Amman (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Amman (W) win (85%). Probabilities: Al Istiqlal (W) 5%, draw 10%, Amman (W) 85%.

How many goals are expected in Al Istiqlal (W) vs Amman (W)?

The model expects 3.87 goals (Al Istiqlal (W) 0.94 · Amman (W) 2.94), with a 54% chance of under 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Al Istiqlal (W) vs Amman (W)?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.