Football · Israel Division 1 Women · 29/10, 17:00
Prediction: Maccabi Tel Aviv (W) vs Maccabi Holon (W)
Team pages: Maccabi Tel Aviv (W) · Maccabi Holon (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.18Total
Maccabi Tel Aviv (W)2.16
Maccabi Holon (W)1.02
1X2
Maccabi Tel Aviv (W)
Draw
Maccabi Holon (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Maccabi Tel Aviv (W)
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Maccabi Holon (W)
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Maccabi Tel Aviv (W)
3–1–2
Maccabi Holon (W)
(6 last)
- Maccabi Tel Aviv (W)2-1Maccabi Holon (W)
- Maccabi Holon (W)1-1Maccabi Tel Aviv (W)
- Maccabi Holon (W)4-0Maccabi Tel Aviv (W)
- Maccabi Tel Aviv (W)0-2Maccabi Holon (W)
- Maccabi Holon (W)1-2Maccabi Tel Aviv (W)
- Maccabi Tel Aviv (W)6-1Maccabi Holon (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maccabi Tel Aviv (W) 1485 · Maccabi Holon (W) 1438
| Maccabi Tel Aviv (W) | Draw | Maccabi Holon (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 22% | 16% |
| Market | 62% | 22% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.18 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maccabi Tel Aviv (W) (rating 1485 vs 1438).
- H2H favours Maccabi Tel Aviv (W): 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Maccabi Tel Aviv (W) | Maccabi Holon (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.9 | 0.8 / 2.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 1.4 | 0.1 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/25/75% | 13/25/63% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.9 / 3 | 2 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0 | 3.9 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maccabi Tel Aviv (W) 3–1–2 Maccabi Holon (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/05/26 Israel Division 1 Women | Maccabi Tel Aviv (W) | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Maccabi Holon (W) |
| 27/04/26 Israel Division 1 Women | Maccabi Holon (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Maccabi Tel Aviv (W) |
| 05/02/26 Israel Division 1 Women | Maccabi Holon (W) | 4-0 HT 0-0 | Maccabi Tel Aviv (W) |
| 23/12/25 Israel Division 1 Women | Maccabi Tel Aviv (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Maccabi Holon (W) |
| 25/09/25 Israel Division 1 Women | Maccabi Holon (W) | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Maccabi Tel Aviv (W) |
| 16/01/20 Israel Division 1 Women | Maccabi Tel Aviv (W) | 6-1 HT 1-0 | Maccabi Holon (W) |
Standings · Israel Division 1 Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem (W) | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | Maccabi Kishronot Hadera (W) | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Kiryat Gat SC (W) | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | Maccabi Tel Aviv (W) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 7 |
| 5 | Maccabi Holon (W) | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 6 |
| 6 | Hapoel Raanana (W) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
| 7 | Hapoel Tel Aviv (W) | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 1 |
| 8 | Bnot Netanya (W) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Maccabi Tel Aviv (W) | Maccabi Holon (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Kiryat Gat SC (W) | 1-4 L | 1-3 L |
| Maccabi Kishronot Hadera (W) | 2-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Hapoel Tel Aviv (W) | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem (W) | 1-4 L | 0-5 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maccabi Tel Aviv (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Kiryat Gat SC (W) Israel Division 1 Women |
0-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 24/09 | Bnot Netanya Women Israel Division 1 Women |
– | 7-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/09 | Maccabi Kishronot Hadera (W) Israel Division 1 Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 10/09 | Hapoel Tel Aviv (W) Israel Division 1 Women |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 25/05 | Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem (W) Israel Division 1 Women |
1-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 20/05 | Maccabi Holon (W) Israel Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 14/05 | Kiryat Gat SC (W) Israel Division 1 Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 07/05 | Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem (W) Israel Division 1 Women |
0-2 | 0-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 27/04 | Maccabi Holon (W) Israel Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 23/04 | Kiryat Gat SC (W) Israel Division 1 Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
Maccabi Holon (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Bnot Netanya (W) Israel Division 1 Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 24/09 | Maccabi Kishronot Hadera (W) Israel Division 1 Women |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 16/09 | Hapoel Tel Aviv (W) Israel Division 1 Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 10/09 | Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem (W) Israel Division 1 Women |
– | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 25/05 | Kiryat Gat SC (W) Israel Division 1 Women |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 20/05 | Maccabi Tel Aviv (W) Israel Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 14/05 | Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem (W) Israel Division 1 Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 07/05 | Kiryat Gat SC (W) Israel Division 1 Women |
0-3 | 0-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 27/04 | Maccabi Tel Aviv (W) Israel Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 23/04 | Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem (W) Israel Division 1 Women |
0-1 | 0-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maccabi Tel Aviv (W) vs Maccabi Holon (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Maccabi Tel Aviv (W) win (62%). Probabilities: Maccabi Tel Aviv (W) 62%, draw 22%, Maccabi Holon (W) 16%.
How many goals are expected in Maccabi Tel Aviv (W) vs Maccabi Holon (W)?
The model expects 3.18 goals (Maccabi Tel Aviv (W) 2.16 · Maccabi Holon (W) 1.02), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Maccabi Tel Aviv (W) vs Maccabi Holon (W)?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.