Football · Argentina Torneo A · 25/10, 20:00

Prediction: Boca Unidos vs Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy

Team pages: Boca Unidos · Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.25Total
Boca Unidos1.27
Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy0.97
1X2
42% 30% 27%
Boca Unidos Draw Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Boca Unidos 6-3-1 (W-D-L)
WDWWDWLDWW
Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
DWWWWDLLDD
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Boca Unidos 1561 · Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy 1521
Boca UnidosDrawGimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy
Our model42%31%27%
Market43%30%28%
Estimated total (ours) 2.25 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Boca Unidos (rating 1561 vs 1521).
  • Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Boca UnidosGimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 0.71.2 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.30.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/40/10%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 4.33.6 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4 / 0.44.4 / 0.3

Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Relegation round, Group A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Boca Unidos 8431 14715
2 Gimnasia y Esgrima 8422 9214
3 Club Atlético El Linqueño 8341 8413
4 Sportivo Las Parejas 8332 8312
5 Defensores Puerto Vilelas 8332 141112
6 Independiente Chivilcoy 8332 8512
7 Escobar FC 8323 71211
8 Sarmiento de Resistencia 8206 5166
9 Tucuman Central 8026 8212

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBoca UnidosGimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy
CA Bartolome Mitre 1-0 W 1-0 W
Defensores Puerto Vilelas 3-3 D 3-3 D
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 0 L 1 W 1 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Boca Unidos

WDWWDWLDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/10 CA Bartolome Mitre
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 1-0 44 W
11/10 CA Bartolome Mitre
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 1-0 73 W
19/09 Defensores Puerto Vilelas
Argentina Torneo A
3-1 3-3 53 D
13/09 Club Atlético El Linqueño
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 0-1 14 L
06/09 Gimnasia y Esgrima
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 1-0 13 W
29/08 Tucuman Central
Argentina Torneo A
2-1 2-2 –– D
23/08 Sportivo Las Parejas
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 1-0 67 W
16/08 Sarmiento de Resistencia
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 3-0 63 W
08/08 Independiente Chivilcoy
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 1-1 48 D
01/08 Escobar FC
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 3-0 –– W

Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy

DWWWWDLLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/10 Defensores Puerto Vilelas
Argentina Torneo A
0-2 3-3 56 D
10/10 Defensores Puerto Vilelas
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 1-1 64 D
04/10 Olimpo B Blanca
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 1-2 45 L
27/09 Olimpo B Blanca
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 1-2 32 L
20/09 CA Douglas Haig
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-0 54 D
12/09 Sol de America de Formosa
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 2-0 103 W
06/09 CA Bartolome Mitre
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 1-0 94 W
30/08 CA Sarmiento de la Banda
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 1-0 76 W
23/08 Defensores de Belgrano VR
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 1-0 25 W
16/08 San Martin Formosa
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 1-1 108 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Boca Unidos vs Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Boca Unidos win (42%). Probabilities: Boca Unidos 42%, draw 30%, Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy 27%.

How many goals are expected in Boca Unidos vs Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy?

The model expects 2.25 goals (Boca Unidos 1.27 · Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy 0.97), with a 53% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Boca Unidos vs Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.