Football · Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League · 29/10, 14:00

Prediction: CAPS United vs Scottland FC Mabvuku

Team pages: CAPS United · Scottland FC Mabvuku

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.71Total

CAPS United0.6

Scottland FC Mabvuku1.11

1X2

20% 33% 48%

CAPS United Draw Scottland FC Mabvuku

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 52% Not both to score 56%

Most likely score

0-0 19%

Recent form · 10 last

CAPS United 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DWLLWDDWDW

Scottland FC Mabvuku 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWDDWDWL

Head-to-head

CAPS United 1–2 Scottland FC Mabvuku (3 last)

Scottland FC Mabvuku2-0CAPS United
Scottland FC Mabvuku0-1CAPS United
CAPS United0-2Scottland FC Mabvuku

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CAPS United 1532 · Scottland FC Mabvuku 1531

	CAPS United	Draw	Scottland FC Mabvuku
Our model	19%	35%	47%
Market	21%	31%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 1.71 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Scottland FC Mabvuku: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CAPS United	Scottland FC Mabvuku
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 0.5	1.3 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 0.3	0.2 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/67/33%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 2.6	3.5 / 7.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0	3.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

14.33

X2.88

21.83

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.88

2 (-0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.77

Under 1.752.02

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 1.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 23:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
X	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
2	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
22:36 +29’	4.33	2.88	1.83

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CAPS United 1–0–2 Scottland FC Mabvuku

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/05/26 Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	Scottland FC Mabvuku	2-0 HT 2-0	CAPS United
06/07/25 Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	Scottland FC Mabvuku	0-1	CAPS United
09/03/25 Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	CAPS United	0-2	Scottland FC Mabvuku

Standings · Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hardrock FC	32	21	6	5	57	21	69
2	Scottland FC Mabvuku	30	17	10	3	45	11	61
3	Ngezi Platinum FC	32	14	14	4	39	26	56
4	Dynamos FC	32	12	16	4	41	24	52
5	CAPS United	31	13	12	6	36	25	51
6	Herentals FC	32	14	6	12	32	33	48
7	MWOS FC	32	11	12	9	34	25	45
8	Highlanders FC	32	9	17	6	27	23	44
9	FC Platinum	32	9	16	7	22	22	43
10	Chicken Inn FC	31	11	10	10	23	24	43
11	Simba Bhora	32	9	12	11	31	33	39
12	FC Hunters	32	8	14	10	28	37	38
13	Bulawayo Chiefs FC	32	8	10	14	26	37	34
14	ZPC Kariba FC	32	6	15	11	18	27	33
15	Agama FC	32	8	7	17	22	42	31
16	Triangle United	32	6	8	18	23	39	26
17	Telone FC	32	4	10	18	24	48	22
18	Manica Diamonds FC	32	4	9	19	14	45	21

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CAPS United	Scottland FC Mabvuku
FC Platinum	2-0 W	0-0 D
Simba Bhora	0-0 D	2-1 W
MWOS FC	1-0 W	0-0 D
Dynamos FC	1-1 D	1-1 D
Bulawayo Chiefs FC	0-0 D	2-1 W
Highlanders FC	4-2 W	0-1 L
Telone FC	0-1 L	2-0 W
FC Hunters	0-1 L	3-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 2 L	4 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Scottland FC Mabvuku (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CAPS United

DWLLWDDWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	FC Platinum Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	–	2-0	–	–	W
11/10	Simba Bhora Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	–	0-0	5	4	D
19/09	MWOS FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	–	1-0	–	–	W
05/09	Dynamos FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	0-0	1-1	1	7	D
22/08	Bulawayo Chiefs FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	0-0	0-0	1	2	D
02/08	Highlanders FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	–	4-2	1	6	W
26/07	Telone FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	–	0-1	–	–	L
23/07	FC Hunters Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	0-1	0-1	5	1	L
18/07	Manica Diamonds FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	–	2-0	–	–	W
11/07	Ngezi Platinum FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	–	0-0	–	–	D

Scottland FC Mabvuku

WWLWDDWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	ZPC Kariba FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	–	0-1	–	–	L
19/09	Agama FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	–	3-0	–	–	W
02/09	FC Platinum Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	0-0	0-0	11	2	D
22/08	Simba Bhora Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	–	2-1	–	–	W
19/08	Dynamos FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	–	1-1	–	–	D
01/08	MWOS FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	0-0	0-0	9	1	D
22/07	Bulawayo Chiefs FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
19/07	Highlanders FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	0-1	0-1	7	9	L
10/07	Telone FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	–	2-0	–	–	W
04/07	FC Hunters Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	1-0	3-0	2	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CAPS United vs Scottland FC Mabvuku?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Scottland FC Mabvuku win (48%). Probabilities: CAPS United 20%, draw 33%, Scottland FC Mabvuku 48%.

How many goals are expected in CAPS United vs Scottland FC Mabvuku?

The model expects 1.71 goals (CAPS United 0.6 · Scottland FC Mabvuku 1.11), with a 51% chance of under 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in CAPS United vs Scottland FC Mabvuku?

The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.