Football · Spain Primera Federacion Women · 18/10, 12:00

Prediction: CFF Caceres Women vs Atletico Madrid (W) B

Team pages: CFF Caceres Women · Atletico Madrid (W) B

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.95Total

CFF Caceres Women1.79

Atletico Madrid (W) B1.16

1X2

51% 26% 23%

CFF Caceres Women Draw Atletico Madrid (W) B

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

CFF Caceres Women 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Atletico Madrid (W) B 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

CFF Caceres Women 1–1 Atletico Madrid (W) B (2 last)

Atletico Madrid (W) B0-2CFF Caceres Women
CFF Caceres Women0-1Atletico Madrid (W) B

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CFF Caceres Women 1508 · Atletico Madrid (W) B 1515

	CFF Caceres Women	Draw	Atletico Madrid (W) B
Our model	51%	25%	24%
Market	50%	27%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 2.95 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CFF Caceres Women	Atletico Madrid (W) B
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.5	1.9 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.6	1.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.9	2.1 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.4 / 0.2	4.6 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.80

X3.30

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.85

2 (+0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.9 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 07:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.80▼	Bet365 1.80
X	3.25 → 3.30▲	Pinn 3.36
2	3.40 → 4.00▲	Pinn 4.30 ★

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 10.9% Pinnacle margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
19:39 +9’	1.91	3.25	3.40
03:01 +4’	2.10▲	3.20▼	3.10▼
06:54 +9’	1.80▼	3.30▲	4.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:12 +352’	1.70	3.31	4.22
10:02 +1’	1.71▲	3.36▲	4.30▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CFF Caceres Women 1–0–1 Atletico Madrid (W) B

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Spain Primera Federacion Women	Atletico Madrid (W) B	0-2 HT 0-1	CFF Caceres Women
16/11/25 Spain Primera Federacion Women	CFF Caceres Women	0-1 HT 0-0	Atletico Madrid (W) B

Standings · Spain Primera Federacion Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Levante UD (W)	4	3	0	1	13	9	9
2	Alhama CF (W)	4	3	0	1	7	3	9
3	Atletico Madrid (W) B	4	3	0	1	13	12	9
4	Osasuna (W)	4	2	2	0	12	5	8
5	Fundacion Albacete (W)	4	2	0	2	8	4	6
6	CFF Caceres Women	4	2	0	2	5	6	6
7	Athletic Bilbao B (W)	5	1	3	1	2	7	6
8	Sport Extremadura (W)	4	1	2	1	4	4	5
8	Villarreal (W)	4	1	2	1	4	4	5
10	Barcelona II (W)	4	1	1	2	6	7	4
11	UD Tacuense (W)	4	1	1	2	3	5	4
12	Tenerife B (W)	4	1	1	2	4	7	4
13	Real Sociedad II (W)	5	1	1	3	3	7	4
14	Real Madrid (W) B	4	0	1	3	4	8	1

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CFF Caceres Women	Atletico Madrid (W) B
Levante UD (W)	0-3 L	4-8 L
Real Sociedad II (W)	2-3 L	2-0 W
Barcelona II (W)	1-5 L	5-3 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Atletico Madrid (W) B (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CFF Caceres Women

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Real Madrid (W) B Spain Primera Federacion Women	1-0	1-0	1	5	W
27/09	UD Tacuense (W) Spain Primera Federacion Women	1-0	2-0	4	7	W
20/09	Levante UD (W) Spain Primera Federacion Women	0-1	0-3	3	1	L
13/09	Real Sociedad II (W) Spain Primera Federacion Women	0-1	2-3	5	5	L
02/05	Real Oviedo (W) Spain Primera Federacion Women	0-0	1-0	6	5	W
25/04	Atletico Madrid (W) B Spain Primera Federacion Women	1-0	2-0	6	5	W
05/04	Villarreal (W) Spain Primera Federacion Women	0-0	0-0	5	8	D
29/03	CD Alaves (W) Spain Primera Federacion Women	1-1	1-1	4	6	D
22/03	Barcelona II (W) Spain Primera Federacion Women	1-1	1-5	7	9	L
14/03	Real Betis (W) Spain Primera Federacion Women	0-2	1-3	8	5	L

Atletico Madrid (W) B

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Levante UD (W) Spain Primera Federacion Women	3-2	4-8	4	6	L
26/09	Real Sociedad II (W) Spain Primera Federacion Women	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
20/09	Barcelona II (W) Spain Primera Federacion Women	5-0	5-3	7	3	W
12/09	Fundacion Albacete (W) Spain Primera Federacion Women	1-1	2-1	6	10	W
02/05	Tenerife B (W) Spain Primera Federacion Women	1-1	2-1	6	5	W
25/04	CFF Caceres Women Spain Primera Federacion Women	0-1	0-2	2	5	L
05/04	Valencia (W) Spain Primera Federacion Women	1-3	1-4	3	1	L
28/03	CE Europa (W) Spain Primera Federacion Women	1-0	1-1	1	6	D
22/03	SE AEM (W) Spain Primera Federacion Women	1-0	2-1	2	6	W
14/03	Barcelona II (W) Spain Primera Federacion Women	0-0	0-2	5	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CFF Caceres Women vs Atletico Madrid (W) B?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CFF Caceres Women win (51%). Probabilities: CFF Caceres Women 51%, draw 26%, Atletico Madrid (W) B 23%.

How many goals are expected in CFF Caceres Women vs Atletico Madrid (W) B?

The model expects 2.95 goals (CFF Caceres Women 1.79 · Atletico Madrid (W) B 1.16), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in CFF Caceres Women vs Atletico Madrid (W) B?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.