Football · England National League Division 1 Women · 18/10, 15:00
Prediction: Blackburn (W) vs Chester Le Street (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.26Total
Blackburn (W)1.37
Chester Le Street (W)1.89
1X2
Blackburn (W)
Draw
Chester Le Street (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Blackburn (W)
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Chester Le Street (W)
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Blackburn (W)
1–1
Chester Le Street (W)
(2 last)
- Chester Le Street (W)2-3Blackburn (W)
- Blackburn (W)1-2Chester Le Street (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Blackburn (W) 1411 · Chester Le Street (W) 1446
| Blackburn (W) | Draw | Chester Le Street (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 24% | 49% |
| Market | 28% | 22% | 50% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.26 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Blackburn (W) | Chester Le Street (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 2.5 | 1.5 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1.2 | 1.1 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.8 | 1.7 / 3.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0.1 | 1.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Blackburn (W) 1–0–1 Chester Le Street (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/26 England National League Division 1 Women | Chester Le Street (W) | 2-3 HT 2-3 | Blackburn (W) |
| 12/10/25 England National League Division 1 Women | Blackburn (W) | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Chester Le Street (W) |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Blackburn (W) | Chester Le Street (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds (W) | 1-3 L | 2-3 L |
| Chorley (W) | 1-5 L | 1-2 L |
| Stockport (W) | 0-4 L | 3-3 D |
| Cheadle Town Stingers (W) | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Huddersfield (W) | 2-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Wythenshawe FC (W) | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 5 L | 0 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Chester Le Street (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Blackburn (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | AFC Fylde Women England National League Division 1 Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 26/04 | York (W) England National League Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 08/03 | Leeds (W) England National League Division 1 Women |
1-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 22/02 | Chester Le Street (W) England National League Division 1 Women |
3-2 | 3-2 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 18/02 | Chorley (W) England National League Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 1-5 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 25/01 | Stockport (W) England National League Division 1 Women |
0-3 | 0-4 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 14/12 | Cheadle Town Stingers (W) England National League Division 1 Women |
1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 07/12 | Huddersfield (W) England National League Division 1 Women |
1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 16/11 | Wythenshawe FC (W) England National League Division 1 Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 02/11 | Norton & Stockton Ancients (W) England National League Division 1 Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
Chester Le Street (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Bradford (W) England National League Division 1 Women |
3-0 | 5-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Chorley (W) England National League Division 1 Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 19/04 | Doncaster (W) England National League Division 1 Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 16/04 | Durham Cestria (W) England National League Division 1 Women |
0-3 | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 12/04 | Stockport (W) England National League Division 1 Women |
3-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 05/04 | Cheadle Town Stingers (W) England National League Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 29/03 | Wythenshawe FC (W) England National League Division 1 Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 22/03 | Huddersfield (W) England National League Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 01/03 | Leeds (W) England National League Division 1 Women |
1-2 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 22/02 | Blackburn (W) England National League Division 1 Women |
2-3 | 2-3 | 9 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Blackburn (W) vs Chester Le Street (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Chester Le Street (W) win (49%). Probabilities: Blackburn (W) 27%, draw 23%, Chester Le Street (W) 49%.
How many goals are expected in Blackburn (W) vs Chester Le Street (W)?
The model expects 3.26 goals (Blackburn (W) 1.37 · Chester Le Street (W) 1.89), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Blackburn (W) vs Chester Le Street (W)?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.