Football · South Africa National Div 2 · 16/10, 16:00

Prediction: NB La Masia FC vs University of Johannesburg FC

Team pages: University of Johannesburg FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.07Total

NB La Masia FC1.41

University of Johannesburg FC0.66

1X2

54% 30% 16%

NB La Masia FC Draw University of Johannesburg FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 66% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

1-0 17%

Recent form · 10 last

NB La Masia FC 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

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University of Johannesburg FC 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

NB La Masia FC 1–1–1 University of Johannesburg FC (3 last)

University of Johannesburg FC2-1NB La Masia FC
NB La Masia FC1-1University of Johannesburg FC
NB La Masia FC2-0University of Johannesburg FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NB La Masia FC 1559 · University of Johannesburg FC 1512

	NB La Masia FC	Draw	University of Johannesburg FC
Our model	54%	30%	16%
Market	54%	30%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 2.07 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours NB La Masia FC (rating 1559 vs 1512).
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NB La Masia FC	University of Johannesburg FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 0.4	1.5 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.1	0.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5.4	3 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.7 / 0	3.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.67

X3.00

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.93

2 (+0.75)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 21.82

Under 21.98

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
08:54 +9’	1.67	3.00	5.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · NB La Masia FC 1–1–1 University of Johannesburg FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/01/26 South Africa National Div 2	University of Johannesburg FC	2-1 HT 0-1	NB La Masia FC
25/11/25 South Africa National Div 2	NB La Masia FC	1-1 HT 1-1	University of Johannesburg FC
07/03/25 South Africa National Div 2	NB La Masia FC	2-0 HT 2-0	University of Johannesburg FC

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NB La Masia FC	University of Johannesburg FC
TUT FC	2-0 W	1-1 D
Wits University	1-0 W	1-0 W
Tshwane South College FC	1-0 W	3-2 W
Dube Continental FC	0-2 L	0-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: NB La Masia FC (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NB La Masia FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/04	TUT FC South Africa National Div 2	0-0	2-0	5	0	W
27/03	Eersterust Rams FC South Africa National Div 2	1-0	2-0	1	0	W
17/03	Wits University South Africa National Div 2	0-0	1-0	6	2	W
07/03	Jomo Cosmos South Africa National Div 2	1-0	1-0	8	3	W
20/02	Orlando Pirates B FC South Africa National Div 2	0-0	1-0	5	6	W
06/02	Tshwane South College FC South Africa National Div 2	0-0	1-0	5	0	W
31/01	University of Johannesburg FC South Africa National Div 2	1-0	1-2	7	3	L
23/01	Dube Continental FC South Africa National Div 2	0-1	0-2	10	1	L
16/01	JBM FC South Africa National Div 2	0-0	1-0	6	1	W
09/01	Dinoko City FC South Africa National Div 2	0-0	0-0	1	1	D

University of Johannesburg FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Tshwane South College FC South Africa National Div 2	2-0	3-2	6	4	W
25/04	Young Pirates FC South Africa National Div 2	0-2	1-2	4	4	L
11/04	Tembisa Hollywood Thunder FC South Africa National Div 2	1-1	1-2	3	1	L
08/04	TUT FC South Africa National Div 2	1-1	1-1	7	1	D
28/03	Wits University South Africa National Div 2	0-0	1-0	3	1	W
24/03	Free Agents FC South Africa National Div 2	0-0	0-0	7	6	D
17/03	Leruma United South Africa National Div 2	1-0	3-0	6	4	W
14/03	Mike-1-Stars FC South Africa National Div 2	2-0	3-1	2	1	W
28/02	Tshwane South College FC South Africa National Div 2	0-1	2-3	5	5	L
14/02	Dube Continental FC South Africa National Div 2	0-3	0-3	8	9	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NB La Masia FC vs University of Johannesburg FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a NB La Masia FC win (54%). Probabilities: NB La Masia FC 54%, draw 30%, University of Johannesburg FC 16%.

How many goals are expected in NB La Masia FC vs University of Johannesburg FC?

The model expects 2.07 goals (NB La Masia FC 1.41 · University of Johannesburg FC 0.66), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in NB La Masia FC vs University of Johannesburg FC?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.