Football · Mexico Liga TDP · 16/10, 21:30

Prediction: Ciervos FC II vs Arietes FC

Team pages: Arietes FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.31Total
Ciervos FC II1.45
Arietes FC1.86
1X2
29% 24% 46%
Ciervos FC II Draw Arietes FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Ciervos FC II 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
WLWWDWLLLL
Arietes FC 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
LLWLLLLWWD
Head-to-head
Ciervos FC II 1–0 Arietes FC (1 last)
  • Arietes FC1-4Ciervos FC II
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ciervos FC II 1496 · Arietes FC 1475
Ciervos FC IIDrawArietes FC
Our model29%24%46%
Market30%24%47%
Estimated total (ours) 3.31 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Ciervos FC IIArietes FC
Goals for / against (FT)2.2 / 1.80.9 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.80.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)33/33/33%20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 4.92.1 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.9 / 0.12.5 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ciervos FC II 1–0–0 Arietes FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
21/11/25
Mexico Liga TDP
Arietes FC1-4
HT 1-1
Ciervos FC II

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCiervos FC IIArietes FC
Club Union Magdalena Contreras 0-2 L 0-0 D
CDC Dominguez Osos 1-2 L 1-0 W
FC Politecnico 0-0 D 0-3 L
Atletico Inter Capital 2-0 W 0-1 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 2 L 1 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ciervos FC II

WLWWDWLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/10 Club Union Magdalena Contreras
Mexico Liga TDP
0-0 0-2 32 L
20/02 CDC Dominguez Osos
Mexico Liga TDP
0-0 1-2 33 L
01/02 Azucareros de Tezonapa
Mexico Liga TDP
1-0 1-2 43 L
16/01 Héroes de Zaci Hidalgo
Mexico Liga TDP
0-4 2-4 112 L
07/12 Atlético Pachuca
Mexico Liga TDP
1-0 6-0 40 W
29/11 FC Politecnico
Mexico Liga TDP
– 0-0 –– D
21/11 Arietes FC
Mexico Liga TDP
1-1 4-1 41 W
11/11 Cilesi FC
Mexico Liga TDP
0-1 4-3 84 W
07/11 CD Novillos Neza
Mexico Liga TDP
0-1 2-4 52 L
26/10 Atletico Inter Capital
Mexico Liga TDP
1-0 2-0 21 W

Arietes FC

LLWLLLLWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/10 Club Union Magdalena Contreras
Mexico Liga TDP
0-0 0-0 61 D
04/10 Canoneros Futbol Club II
Mexico Liga TDP
1-0 1-0 126 W
20/09 Guardianes de Oriente FC
Mexico Liga TDP
3-0 5-1 21 W
06/09 Ecatepec FC
Mexico Liga TDP
0-1 0-1 62 L
27/03 Irapuato Olimpo
Mexico Liga TDP
0-0 0-1 52 L
20/03 Valle de Xico FC
Mexico Liga TDP
1-1 2-4 23 L
13/03 Atletico Inter Capital
Mexico Liga TDP
0-1 0-1 02 L
06/03 CDC Dominguez Osos
Mexico Liga TDP
0-0 1-0 34 W
17/02 FC San José del Arenal
Mexico Liga TDP
0-1 0-3 43 L
10/02 FC Politecnico
Mexico Liga TDP
0-1 0-3 33 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ciervos FC II vs Arietes FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Arietes FC win (46%). Probabilities: Ciervos FC II 29%, draw 24%, Arietes FC 46%.

How many goals are expected in Ciervos FC II vs Arietes FC?

The model expects 3.31 goals (Ciervos FC II 1.45 · Arietes FC 1.86), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Ciervos FC II vs Arietes FC?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.