Football · Mexico Liga TDP · 16/10, 20:30

Prediction: Atlético Pachuca vs Mineros Zacatecas CDMX

Team pages: Atlético Pachuca · Mineros Zacatecas CDMX

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.56Total
Atlético Pachuca1.66
Mineros Zacatecas CDMX1.91
1X2
33% 24% 43%
Atlético Pachuca Draw Mineros Zacatecas CDMX
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Atlético Pachuca 0-1-9 (W-D-L)
LDLLLLLLLL
Mineros Zacatecas CDMX 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
DLDLWLWLWD
Head-to-head
Atlético Pachuca 0–1 Mineros Zacatecas CDMX (1 last)
  • Mineros Zacatecas CDMX2-1Atlético Pachuca
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Atlético Pachuca 1368 · Mineros Zacatecas CDMX 1469
Atlético PachucaDrawMineros Zacatecas CDMX
Our model33%24%43%
Market33%25%43%
Estimated total (ours) 3.56 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mineros Zacatecas CDMX (rating 1368 vs 1469).
  • Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Atlético PachucaMineros Zacatecas CDMX
Goals for / against (FT)0.7 / 41.6 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 1.31.1 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)25/0/75%33/33/33%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 42 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.8 / 0.42.2 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Atlético Pachuca 0–0–1 Mineros Zacatecas CDMX

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DateHomeScoreAway
13/09/26
Mexico Liga TDP
Mineros Zacatecas CDMX2-1
HT 0-1
Atlético Pachuca

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Atlético Pachuca

LDLLLLLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/09 Mineros Zacatecas CDMX
Mexico Liga TDP
1-0 1-2 83 L
01/03 FC San José del Arenal
Mexico Liga TDP
0-3 2-6 52 L
22/02 Azucareros de Tezonapa
Mexico Liga TDP
– 0-4 –– L
01/02 FC Politecnico
Mexico Liga TDP
0-2 1-5 44 L
23/01 Arietes FC
Mexico Liga TDP
1-0 1-4 33 L
18/01 CD Halcones de Rayón
Mexico Liga TDP
0-1 1-4 68 L
07/12 Ciervos FC II
Mexico Liga TDP
0-1 0-6 10 L
02/12 Arietes FC
Mexico Liga TDP
0-1 0-3 32 L
23/11 Valle de Xico FC
Mexico Liga TDP
– 0-0 –– D
16/11 Atletico Inter Capital
Mexico Liga TDP
1-2 1-6 23 L

Mineros Zacatecas CDMX

DLDLWLWLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/09 Santa Ana del Conde
Mexico Liga TDP
1-1 1-1 83 D
13/09 Atlético Pachuca
Mexico Liga TDP
0-1 2-1 43 W
27/03 Atlético Leonés
Mexico Liga TDP
0-0 0-3 65 L
13/03 León GEN
Mexico Liga TDP
3-0 4-0 82 W
08/03 Cantera Coka
Mexico Liga TDP
1-1 1-2 22 L
07/03 Pabellón FC
Mexico Liga TDP
2-1 2-1 24 W
22/02 Zapata
Mexico Liga TDP
1-3 2-4 50 L
18/02 Lobos ITECA
Mexico Liga TDP
– 0-0 00 D
08/02 Oaxaca II
Mexico Liga TDP
0-1 0-2 71 L
30/01 Santa Ana del Conde
Mexico Liga TDP
2-1 4-4 75 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Atlético Pachuca vs Mineros Zacatecas CDMX?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Mineros Zacatecas CDMX win (43%). Probabilities: Atlético Pachuca 33%, draw 24%, Mineros Zacatecas CDMX 43%.

How many goals are expected in Atlético Pachuca vs Mineros Zacatecas CDMX?

The model expects 3.56 goals (Atlético Pachuca 1.66 · Mineros Zacatecas CDMX 1.91), with a 56% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Atlético Pachuca vs Mineros Zacatecas CDMX?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.