Football · Tunisia League 1 · 01/11, 14:30

Prediction: Esperance de Tunis vs US Monastir

Team pages: Esperance de Tunis · US Monastir

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.06Total
Esperance de Tunis1.66
US Monastir0.4
1X2
69% 23% 8%
Esperance de Tunis Draw US Monastir
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 66% Not both to score 57%
Most likely score
1-0 20%
Recent form · 10 last
Esperance de Tunis 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
DDWLWWLWWW
US Monastir 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
WLLWDWDWDW
Head-to-head
Esperance de Tunis 2–3–1 US Monastir (6 last)
  • US Monastir2-1Esperance de Tunis
  • Esperance de Tunis1-1US Monastir
  • Esperance de Tunis0-0US Monastir
  • US Monastir0-2Esperance de Tunis
  • Esperance de Tunis2-0US Monastir
  • US Monastir1-1Esperance de Tunis
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Esperance de Tunis 1582 · US Monastir 1543
Esperance de TunisDrawUS Monastir
Our model68%24%8%
Market69%22%9%
Estimated total (ours) 2.06 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Esperance de Tunis: 2-3-1.
  • High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Esperance de TunisUS Monastir
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 0.91.3 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.20.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/60/10%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)3.3 / 6.32.6 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.2 / 0.45.1 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Esperance de Tunis 2–3–1 US Monastir

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DateHomeScoreAway
19/01/26
Tunisia League 1
US Monastir2-1
HT 1-1
Esperance de Tunis
15/08/25
Tunisia League 1
Esperance de Tunis1-1
HT 1-0
US Monastir
15/05/25
Tunisia League 1
Esperance de Tunis0-0
HT 0-0
US Monastir
26/01/25
Tunisia League 1
US Monastir0-2
HT 0-0
Esperance de Tunis
15/06/24
Tunisia League 1
Esperance de Tunis2-0
HT 1-0
US Monastir
14/04/24
Tunisia League 1
US Monastir1-1
HT 0-1
Esperance de Tunis

Standings · Tunisia League 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 US Ben Guerdane 7520 12617
2 Esperance de Tunis 5401 10712
3 US Monastir 6330 8512
4 Progres Sakiet Eddaier 6321 5211
5 Bizertin 6321 6411
6 JS Omrane 7241 6510
7 Club Africain 4301 429
8 CS Sfaxien 5221 648
9 Stade Tunisien 5212 767
10 Etoile Sportive Sahel 5212 777
11 Avenir de La Marsa 6132 546
12 ES Zarzis 5203 556
13 CS Hammam Lif 7124 365
14 Olympique de Beja 7034 5103
15 ES Metlaoui 6105 393
16 ES Hammam Sousse 7016 2121

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentEsperance de TunisUS Monastir
US Ben Guerdane 1-0 W 3-3 D
Bizertin 1-1 D 0-0 D
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 0 L 0 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Esperance de Tunis (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Esperance de Tunis

DDWLWWLWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/10 Olympique de Beja
Tunisia League 1
2-0 3-1 23 W
13/09 CS Hammam Lif
Tunisia League 1
0-0 1-0 65 W
06/09 Avenir de La Marsa
Tunisia League 1
1-1 2-1 64 W
30/08 JS Omrane
Tunisia League 1
0-1 1-3 78 L
23/08 Etoile Sportive Sahel
Tunisia League 1
1-0 3-2 115 W
14/05 US Ben Guerdane
Tunisia League 1
1-0 1-0 62 W
10/05 Club Africain
Tunisia League 1
0-0 0-1 15 L
04/05 JS Omrane
Tunisia League 1
0-0 1-0 96 W
30/04 CS Sfaxien
Tunisia League 1
0-0 0-0 64 D
26/04 Bizertin
Tunisia League 1
0-0 1-1 94 D

US Monastir

WLLWDWDWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/10 Progres Sakiet Eddaier
Tunisia League 1
0-0 1-0 36 W
10/10 Bizertin
Tunisia League 1
0-0 0-0 48 D
16/09 ES Zarzis
Tunisia League 1
1-1 2-1 46 W
12/09 US Ben Guerdane
Tunisia League 1
1-2 3-3 85 D
29/08 Stade Tunisien
Tunisia League 1
2-1 2-1 14 W
22/08 ES Hammam Sousse
Tunisia League 1
0-0 0-0 32 D
14/05 AS Soliman
Tunisia League 1
1-0 3-0 –– W
08/05 JS Kairouanaise
Tunisia League 1
0-0 0-1 –– L
04/05 ES Metlaoui
Tunisia League 1
0-1 0-1 126 L
29/04 AS Gabes
Tunisia League 1
1-0 2-0 65 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Esperance de Tunis vs US Monastir?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Esperance de Tunis win (69%). Probabilities: Esperance de Tunis 69%, draw 23%, US Monastir 8%.

How many goals are expected in Esperance de Tunis vs US Monastir?

The model expects 2.06 goals (Esperance de Tunis 1.66 · US Monastir 0.4), with a 56% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Esperance de Tunis vs US Monastir?

The model gives a 57% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.