Football · Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga · 18/10, 17:30
Prediction: Velez Mostar vs Borac Banja Luka
Team pages: Velez Mostar · Borac Banja Luka
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.12Total
Velez Mostar0.74
Borac Banja Luka1.38
1X2
Velez Mostar
Draw
Borac Banja Luka
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 64%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Velez Mostar
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Borac Banja Luka
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Velez Mostar
0–3–3
Borac Banja Luka
(6 last)
- Borac Banja Luka3-1Velez Mostar
- Borac Banja Luka2-2Velez Mostar
- Velez Mostar0-0Borac Banja Luka
- Borac Banja Luka1-0Velez Mostar
- Velez Mostar1-1Borac Banja Luka
- Borac Banja Luka1-0Velez Mostar
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Velez Mostar 1435 · Borac Banja Luka 1596
| Velez Mostar | Draw | Borac Banja Luka | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 19% | 30% | 51% |
| Market | 21% | 27% | 52% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.12 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Borac Banja Luka (rating 1435 vs 1596).
- H2H favours Borac Banja Luka: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Velez Mostar | Borac Banja Luka | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.7 | 1.9 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 1 | 0.8 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.5 | 3.2 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.3 | 3.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Velez Mostar 0–3–3 Borac Banja Luka
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/26 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | Borac Banja Luka | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Velez Mostar |
| 18/04/26 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | Borac Banja Luka | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Velez Mostar |
| 07/02/26 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | Velez Mostar | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Borac Banja Luka |
| 19/10/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | Borac Banja Luka | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Velez Mostar |
| 03/08/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | Velez Mostar | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Borac Banja Luka |
| 10/05/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | Borac Banja Luka | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Velez Mostar |
Standings · Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zrinjski Mostar | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 7 | 24 |
| 2 | Borac Banja Luka | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 22 |
| 3 | FK Sarajevo | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | Zeljeznicar | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 12 |
| 5 | Siroki Brijeg | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 10 |
| 6 | NK Celik Zenica | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 9 |
| 7 | FK Sloga Doboj | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 9 |
| 8 | BSK Banja Luka | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 8 |
| 9 | Velez Mostar | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 8 |
| 10 | Radnik Bijeljina | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 20 | 7 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Velez Mostar | Borac Banja Luka |
|---|---|---|
| Siroki Brijeg | 0-0 D | 3-2 W |
| Zrinjski Mostar | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| FK Sarajevo | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Zeljeznicar | 1-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Radnik Bijeljina | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| NK Celik Zenica | 0-3 L | 2-0 W |
| FK Sloga Doboj | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| BSK Banja Luka | 0-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 4 L | 6 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Borac Banja Luka (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Velez Mostar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Siroki Brijeg Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 19/09 | Zrinjski Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | FK Sarajevo Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 06/09 | Zeljeznicar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 02/09 | Radnik Bijeljina Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 28/08 | NK Celik Zenica Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | FK Sloga Doboj Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 16/08 | BSK Banja Luka Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 09/08 | Borac Banja Luka Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 26/05 | Zrinjski Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
Borac Banja Luka
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | BSK Banja Luka Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 20/09 | Siroki Brijeg Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 16/09 | FK Sloga Doboj Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | Zrinjski Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 10 | W |
| 06/09 | FK Sarajevo Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 02/09 | Zeljeznicar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 30/08 | Radnik Bijeljina Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 23/08 | NK Celik Zenica Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 09/08 | Velez Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 26/05 | HSK Posusje Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Velez Mostar vs Borac Banja Luka?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Borac Banja Luka win (52%). Probabilities: Velez Mostar 20%, draw 28%, Borac Banja Luka 52%.
How many goals are expected in Velez Mostar vs Borac Banja Luka?
The model expects 2.12 goals (Velez Mostar 0.74 · Borac Banja Luka 1.38), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Velez Mostar vs Borac Banja Luka?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.