Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 03/11, 20:45

Prediction: Worcester City vs Bishop's Stortford

Team pages: Worcester City · Bishop's Stortford

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.94Total

Worcester City1.8

Bishop's Stortford1.13

1X2

52% 24% 23%

Worcester City Draw Bishop's Stortford

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Worcester City 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

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Bishop's Stortford 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Worcester City 2–0 Bishop's Stortford (2 last)

Bishop's Stortford1-2Worcester City
Worcester City2-0Bishop's Stortford

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Worcester City 1520 · Bishop's Stortford 1448

	Worcester City	Draw	Bishop's Stortford
Our model	52%	25%	23%
Market	53%	24%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 2.94 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Worcester City (rating 1520 vs 1448).
H2H favours Worcester City: 2-0-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Worcester City	Bishop's Stortford
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.1	1.7 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.7	0 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	29/14/57%	0/0/100%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 3.6	1.5 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.3	1.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.70

X3.80

23.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.93

2 (+0.75)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.70 → 1.70	Bet365 1.70
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
12:41 +12’	1.70	3.80	3.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Worcester City 2–0–0 Bishop's Stortford

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/03/26 England Southern Premier League Central	Bishop's Stortford	1-2	Worcester City
18/10/25 England Southern Premier League Central	Worcester City	2-0	Bishop's Stortford

Standings · England Southern Premier League Central

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Bedford	15	10	2	3	38	21	32
2	Bury Town	15	10	2	3	26	22	32
3	Bromsgrove	14	9	4	1	28	14	31
4	Rushall Olympic	16	9	0	7	32	25	27
5	Alvechurch	14	7	5	2	27	13	26
6	Peterborough Sports	15	7	5	3	31	25	26
7	Kettering	14	7	4	3	26	15	25
8	Needham Market	15	7	4	4	32	23	25
9	Anstey Nomads	13	6	5	2	26	19	23
10	Halesowen	13	7	2	4	20	18	23
11	Stourbridge	14	6	4	4	19	17	22
12	Racing Club Warwick	15	5	5	5	22	19	20
13	Redditch	13	4	6	3	22	20	18
14	Stratford Town	15	3	7	5	21	27	16
15	Leiston	13	4	3	6	23	26	15
16	Banbury	15	3	5	7	18	28	14
17	Worcester City	13	3	4	6	15	17	13
18	Hitchin	15	3	4	8	17	23	13
19	Bishop's Stortford	15	4	1	10	18	28	13
20	Leamington	15	2	4	9	21	30	10
21	Leighton Town	14	1	3	10	15	32	6
22	Stamford	15	1	1	13	4	39	4

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Worcester City	Bishop's Stortford
Real Bedford	4-1 W	3-1 W
Racing Club Warwick	2-2 D	2-4 L
Needham Market	0-2 L	1-2 L
Leamington	1-1 D	3-1 W
Stamford	1-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Worcester City (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Worcester City

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central	–	4-1	–	–	W
27/10	Banbury England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	3-0	5	1	W
13/10	Stourbridge England Southern Premier League Central	0-2	1-3	6	5	L
10/10	Rushall Olympic England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
29/09	Racing Club Warwick England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	2-2	4	1	D
22/09	Banbury England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	0-0	1	3	D
12/09	Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	0-2	2	3	L
31/08	Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	0-1	3	4	L
29/08	Leamington England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-1	–	–	D
22/08	Stamford England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-0	–	–	W

Bishop's Stortford

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Anstey Nomads England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-4	–	–	L
27/10	Stamford England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-1	–	–	L
24/10	Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central	–	3-1	–	–	W
20/10	Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central	0-2	1-2	6	0	L
17/10	Racing Club Warwick England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-4	–	–	L
10/10	Redditch England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-3	–	–	L
29/09	Bury Town England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	1-2	1	3	L
19/09	Stamford England Southern Premier League Central	–	3-0	–	–	W
12/09	Leamington England Southern Premier League Central	–	3-1	–	–	W
31/08	Hitchin England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Worcester City vs Bishop's Stortford?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Worcester City win (52%). Probabilities: Worcester City 52%, draw 24%, Bishop's Stortford 23%.

How many goals are expected in Worcester City vs Bishop's Stortford?

The model expects 2.94 goals (Worcester City 1.8 · Bishop's Stortford 1.13), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Worcester City vs Bishop's Stortford?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.