Football · El Salvador Apertura · 12/10, 01:30

Prediction: Municipal Limeno vs CD Luis Angel Firpo

Team pages: Municipal Limeno · CD Luis Angel Firpo

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Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.48Total

Municipal Limeno1.17

CD Luis Angel Firpo1.32

1X2

32% 28% 39%

Municipal Limeno Draw CD Luis Angel Firpo

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Municipal Limeno 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWWWDWLLLL

CD Luis Angel Firpo 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WDWLWWDWWD

Head-to-head

Municipal Limeno 1–2–3 CD Luis Angel Firpo (6 last)

CD Luis Angel Firpo2-0Municipal Limeno
Municipal Limeno2-1CD Luis Angel Firpo
CD Luis Angel Firpo2-0Municipal Limeno
CD Luis Angel Firpo1-1Municipal Limeno
Municipal Limeno1-3CD Luis Angel Firpo
CD Luis Angel Firpo2-2Municipal Limeno

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Municipal Limeno 1482 · CD Luis Angel Firpo 1558

	Municipal Limeno	Draw	CD Luis Angel Firpo
Our model	32%	30%	39%
Market	33%	28%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 2.48 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Luis Angel Firpo (rating 1482 vs 1558).
H2H favours CD Luis Angel Firpo: 3-2-1.
High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Municipal Limeno	CD Luis Angel Firpo
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.3	1.7 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	0.9 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.7	2.9 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.6	4.9 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

12.75

X3.25

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.77

2 (-0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.95

Under 2.51.85

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 11:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.75 → 2.90▲	Pinn 3.22 ★
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	2.25 → 2.15▼	Pinn 2.23

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.8% Pinnacle margin 7.7%

Time*	1	X	2
23:30 +11’	2.75	3.25	2.25
11:07 +7’	2.90▲	3.25	2.15▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
21:25 +685’	3.17	3.10	2.21
01:03 +39’	3.22▲	3.14▲	2.23▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Municipal Limeno 1–2–3 CD Luis Angel Firpo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/08/26 El Salvador Apertura	CD Luis Angel Firpo	2-0 HT 1-0	Municipal Limeno
15/03/26 El Salvador Clausura	Municipal Limeno	2-1 HT 2-0	CD Luis Angel Firpo
18/01/26 El Salvador Clausura	CD Luis Angel Firpo	2-0 HT 1-0	Municipal Limeno
22/09/25 El Salvador Clausura	CD Luis Angel Firpo	1-1 HT 0-0	Municipal Limeno
20/07/25 El Salvador Apertura	Municipal Limeno	1-3 HT 0-1	CD Luis Angel Firpo
27/04/25 El Salvador Clausura	CD Luis Angel Firpo	2-2 HT 2-0	Municipal Limeno

Standings · El Salvador Apertura

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD Luis Angel Firpo	14	8	4	2	26	11	28
2	CD FAS	13	8	3	2	24	12	27
3	AD Isidro Metapan	13	8	2	3	20	12	26
4	Internacional Santa Tecla	14	5	7	2	19	12	22
5	CD Aguila	14	5	5	4	22	18	20
6	CD Platense Zacatecoluca	15	5	4	6	19	20	19
7	Alianza FC	13	4	6	3	20	19	18
8	Municipal Limeno	15	5	2	8	21	22	17
9	CD INCA Aruba	15	4	4	7	13	27	16
10	Atlético Balboa	14	3	4	7	15	22	13
11	Fuerte San Francisco	15	2	6	7	11	24	12
12	CD Cacahuatique	15	2	5	8	15	26	11

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Municipal Limeno	CD Luis Angel Firpo
CD Platense Zacatecoluca	1-2 L	1-0 W
CD INCA Aruba	1-2 L	0-0 D
CD FAS	1-3 L	1-3 L
Alianza FC	2-3 L	2-2 D
Fuerte San Francisco	2-0 W	3-0 W
CD Aguila	0-0 D	2-0 W
Atlético Balboa	2-0 W	3-1 W
CD Cacahuatique	3-1 W	0-0 D
Internacional Santa Tecla	0-1 L	3-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 5 L	5 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: CD Luis Angel Firpo (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Municipal Limeno

LWWWDWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Apertura	0-1	1-2	5	5	L
02/10	CD INCA Aruba El Salvador Apertura	1-2	1-2	8	6	L
28/09	CD FAS El Salvador Apertura	0-0	1-3	–	–	L
20/09	Alianza FC El Salvador Apertura	1-1	2-3	7	2	L
13/09	Fuerte San Francisco El Salvador Apertura	1-0	2-0	5	3	W
10/09	CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	6	10	D
06/09	Atlético Balboa El Salvador Apertura	0-0	2-0	8	8	W
29/08	AD Isidro Metapan El Salvador Apertura	1-0	3-1	3	3	W
22/08	CD Cacahuatique El Salvador Apertura	2-1	3-1	4	3	W
15/08	Internacional Santa Tecla El Salvador Apertura	0-1	0-1	5	7	L

CD Luis Angel Firpo

WDWLWWDWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Alianza FC El Salvador Apertura	1-1	2-2	5	5	D
01/10	Fuerte San Francisco El Salvador Apertura	1-0	3-0	6	4	W
27/09	CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura	1-0	2-0	3	12	W
24/09	CD Cacahuatique El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	8	6	D
21/09	Atlético Balboa El Salvador Apertura	1-1	3-1	4	5	W
07/09	Internacional Santa Tecla El Salvador Apertura	3-0	3-0	6	5	W
31/08	CD FAS El Salvador Apertura	0-3	1-3	12	5	L
24/08	CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Apertura	1-0	1-0	0	1	W
17/08	CD INCA Aruba El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	8	7	D
09/08	Municipal Limeno El Salvador Apertura	1-0	2-0	4	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Municipal Limeno vs CD Luis Angel Firpo?

According to our model, the most likely result is an CD Luis Angel Firpo win (39%). Probabilities: Municipal Limeno 32%, draw 28%, CD Luis Angel Firpo 39%.

How many goals are expected in Municipal Limeno vs CD Luis Angel Firpo?

The model expects 2.48 goals (Municipal Limeno 1.17 · CD Luis Angel Firpo 1.32), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Municipal Limeno vs CD Luis Angel Firpo?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.