Football · Panama Liga Prom · 09/10, 01:00
Prediction: San Martin FC vs Alianza FC Reserves
Team pages: San Martin FC · Alianza FC Reserves
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.79Total
San Martin FC1.51
Alianza FC Reserves1.28
1X2
San Martin FC
Draw
Alianza FC Reserves
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
San Martin FC
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
Alianza FC Reserves
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
San Martin FC
5–1
Alianza FC Reserves
(6 last)
- Alianza FC Reserves1-4San Martin FC
- Alianza FC Reserves0-1San Martin FC
- San Martin FC3-0Alianza FC Reserves
- Alianza FC Reserves1-0San Martin FC
- San Martin FC1-0Alianza FC Reserves
- San Martin FC2-1Alianza FC Reserves
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · San Martin FC 1443 · Alianza FC Reserves 1437
| San Martin FC | Draw | Alianza FC Reserves | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 28% | 31% |
| Market | 43% | 26% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.79 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours San Martin FC: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| San Martin FC | Alianza FC Reserves | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2.7 | 0.7 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.9 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 25/13/63% | 22/56/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4 | 2.4 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.5 | 5.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · San Martin FC 5–0–1 Alianza FC Reserves
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07/26 Panama Liga Prom | Alianza FC Reserves | 1-4 | San Martin FC |
| 01/04/26 Panama Liga Prom | Alianza FC Reserves | 0-1 HT 0-1 | San Martin FC |
| 10/02/26 Panama Liga Prom | San Martin FC | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Alianza FC Reserves |
| 31/10/25 Panama Liga Prom | Alianza FC Reserves | 1-0 HT 1-0 | San Martin FC |
| 11/08/25 Panama Liga Prom | San Martin FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Alianza FC Reserves |
| 03/05/25 Panama Liga Prom | San Martin FC | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Alianza FC Reserves |
Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, East-South
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tauro FC Reserves | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 13 | 22 |
| 2 | Chorrillo | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Plaza Amador Reserves | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 18 | 19 |
| 4 | Potros Del Este | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 11 |
| 5 | Alianza FC Reserves | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 9 |
| 6 | San Martin FC | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 16 | 28 | 7 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | San Martin FC | Alianza FC Reserves |
|---|---|---|
| CD Arabe Unido Reserves | 0-7 L | 1-2 L |
| Panama City FC | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| UMECIT Reserves | 4-2 W | 0-0 D |
| Champions FC Academy | 2-2 D | 1-3 L |
| Academia Costa Del Este | 2-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Sporting San Miguelito Reserves | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Plaza Amador Reserves | 2-3 L | 1-4 L |
| Tauro FC Reserves | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Potros Del Este | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Chorrillo | 1-4 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 8 L | 2 W 3 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Alianza FC Reserves (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
San Martin FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-2 | 0-7 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 27/09 | Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 20/09 | UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
3-0 | 4-2 | 1 | 10 | W |
| 13/09 | Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom |
2-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 10 | D |
| 06/09 | Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 28/08 | Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 22/08 | Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 16/08 | Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 06/08 | Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 30/07 | Chorrillo Panama Liga Prom |
– | 1-4 | – | – | L |
Alianza FC Reserves
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 25/09 | Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom |
0-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 18/09 | Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 11/09 | Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 29/08 | Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 23/08 | Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 10 | D |
| 15/08 | Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 06/08 | Chorrillo Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 31/07 | Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
1-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in San Martin FC vs Alianza FC Reserves?
According to our model, the most likely result is a San Martin FC win (42%). Probabilities: San Martin FC 42%, draw 26%, Alianza FC Reserves 31%.
How many goals are expected in San Martin FC vs Alianza FC Reserves?
The model expects 2.79 goals (San Martin FC 1.51 · Alianza FC Reserves 1.28), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in San Martin FC vs Alianza FC Reserves?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.