Football · Morocco GNF 2 · 17/10, 17:00

Prediction: Stade Marocain Du Rabat vs Chabab Atlas Khénifra

Team pages: Stade Marocain Du Rabat · Chabab Atlas Khénifra

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.66Total

Stade Marocain Du Rabat0.96

Chabab Atlas Khénifra0.7

1X2

40% 35% 25%

Stade Marocain Du Rabat Draw Chabab Atlas Khénifra

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 51% Not both to score 55%

Most likely score

0-0 20%

Recent form · 10 last

Stade Marocain Du Rabat 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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Chabab Atlas Khénifra 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Stade Marocain Du Rabat 2–3–1 Chabab Atlas Khénifra (6 last)

Chabab Atlas Khénifra1-0Stade Marocain Du Rabat
Stade Marocain Du Rabat0-0Chabab Atlas Khénifra
Stade Marocain Du Rabat1-1Chabab Atlas Khénifra
Chabab Atlas Khénifra0-1Stade Marocain Du Rabat
Chabab Atlas Khénifra1-3Stade Marocain Du Rabat
Stade Marocain Du Rabat0-0Chabab Atlas Khénifra

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Stade Marocain Du Rabat 1514 · Chabab Atlas Khénifra 1512

	Stade Marocain Du Rabat	Draw	Chabab Atlas Khénifra
Our model	39%	37%	24%
Market	41%	33%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 1.66 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Stade Marocain Du Rabat: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 11.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Stade Marocain Du Rabat	Chabab Atlas Khénifra
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 0.5	1.2 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0	0.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	38/63/0%	50/38/13%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 3.4	1.6 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0.3	6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.20

X2.70

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.95

Under 1.751.85

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 1.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:29

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
11:23 +6’	2.20	2.70	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Stade Marocain Du Rabat 2–3–1 Chabab Atlas Khénifra

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/03/26 Morocco GNF 2	Chabab Atlas Khénifra	1-0 HT 1-0	Stade Marocain Du Rabat
04/10/25 Morocco GNF 2	Stade Marocain Du Rabat	0-0 HT 0-0	Chabab Atlas Khénifra
22/02/25 Morocco GNF 2	Stade Marocain Du Rabat	1-1 HT 1-1	Chabab Atlas Khénifra
20/10/24 Morocco GNF 2	Chabab Atlas Khénifra	0-1 HT 0-0	Stade Marocain Du Rabat
08/06/24 Morocco GNF 2	Chabab Atlas Khénifra	1-3	Stade Marocain Du Rabat
09/12/23 Morocco GNF 2	Stade Marocain Du Rabat	0-0	Chabab Atlas Khénifra

Standings · Morocco GNF 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	US Yacoub El Mansour	3	3	0	0	4	0	9
2	Ittihad Khemisset	3	3	0	0	5	2	9
3	USM Oujda	3	2	1	0	4	2	7
4	Olympique Dcheira	3	2	0	1	4	2	6
5	WAF Widad Fes	3	2	0	1	4	2	6
6	JS Massira	3	1	2	0	4	3	5
7	OC Safi	3	1	2	0	2	1	5
8	Mouloudia Oujda	3	1	1	1	5	5	4
9	Stade Marocain Du Rabat	3	1	0	2	2	3	3
10	Olympique Khouribga	3	1	0	2	5	3	3
11	Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir	3	1	0	2	2	2	3
12	Union Sportive Boujaad	3	0	2	1	1	4	2
13	SC Chabab Mohammedia	3	0	1	2	1	4	1
14	Chabab Atlas Khénifra	3	0	1	2	2	7	1
15	KAC Kenitra	3	0	1	2	1	3	1
16	JS Soualem	3	0	1	2	0	3	1

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Stade Marocain Du Rabat	Chabab Atlas Khénifra
Ittihad Khemisset	0-1 L	1-2 L
Widad Temara	0-1 L	1-1 D
SC Chabab Mohammedia	1-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 2 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Stade Marocain Du Rabat

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir Morocco GNF 2	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
03/10	Ittihad Khemisset Morocco GNF 2	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
27/09	JS Massira Morocco GNF 2	–	1-2	–	–	L
05/07	MAT Tetouan Morocco GNF 2	–	0-1	–	–	L
27/06	Widad Temara Morocco GNF 2	0-0	0-1	4	9	L
20/06	SC Chabab Mohammedia Morocco GNF 2	1-0	1-0	1	5	W
14/06	JS Massira Morocco GNF 2	0-0	1-0	3	6	W
06/06	Union Sportive Boujaad Morocco GNF 2	1-0	1-0	2	5	W
24/05	WAF Widad Fes Morocco GNF 2	1-0	2-0	4	3	W
10/05	Racing de Casablanca Morocco GNF 2	0-0	1-0	3	7	W

Chabab Atlas Khénifra

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	SC Chabab Mohammedia Morocco GNF 2	0-0	1-1	4	6	D
03/10	Olympique Khouribga Morocco GNF 2	0-2	0-4	1	5	L
27/09	Ittihad Khemisset Morocco GNF 2	–	1-2	–	–	L
05/07	US Amal Tiznit Morocco GNF 2	–	0-1	–	–	L
27/06	USM Oujda Morocco GNF 2	0-0	1-1	1	6	D
20/06	KAC Kenitra Morocco GNF 2	1-0	2-1	3	8	W
07/06	SC Chabab Mohammedia Morocco GNF 2	1-0	1-0	4	7	W
24/05	Widad Temara Morocco GNF 2	0-0	1-1	4	5	D
09/05	JS Soualem Morocco GNF 2	1-0	1-0	6	6	W
02/05	Mouloudia Oujda Morocco GNF 2	1-0	4-0	3	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stade Marocain Du Rabat vs Chabab Atlas Khénifra?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Stade Marocain Du Rabat win (40%). Probabilities: Stade Marocain Du Rabat 40%, draw 35%, Chabab Atlas Khénifra 25%.

How many goals are expected in Stade Marocain Du Rabat vs Chabab Atlas Khénifra?

The model expects 1.66 goals (Stade Marocain Du Rabat 0.96 · Chabab Atlas Khénifra 0.7), with a 55% chance of under 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Stade Marocain Du Rabat vs Chabab Atlas Khénifra?

The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.