Football · Germany 3. Liga · 10/10, 14:00

Prediction: FC Ingolstadt vs Wehen SV

Team pages: FC Ingolstadt · Wehen SV

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.05Total

FC Ingolstadt1.57

Wehen SV1.48

1X2

39% 26% 35%

FC Ingolstadt Draw Wehen SV

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Ingolstadt 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWWDDWLWLL

Wehen SV 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLLDDLWL

Head-to-head

FC Ingolstadt 1–1–4 Wehen SV (6 last)

Wehen SV2-1FC Ingolstadt
FC Ingolstadt0-0Wehen SV
FC Ingolstadt2-3Wehen SV
Wehen SV2-5FC Ingolstadt
Wehen SV4-1FC Ingolstadt
FC Ingolstadt2-3Wehen SV

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Ingolstadt 1462 · Wehen SV 1438

	FC Ingolstadt	Draw	Wehen SV
Our model	39%	26%	35%
Market	39%	26%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 3.05 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Wehen SV: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Ingolstadt	Wehen SV
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.8	1 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.9	0.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.4	1.3 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.3	4.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.40

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.80

2 (0)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:00

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
16:55 +5’	2.30	3.40	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Ingolstadt 1–1–4 Wehen SV

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
28/02/26 Germany 3. Liga	Wehen SV	2-1 HT 1-0	FC Ingolstadt
20/09/25 Germany 3. Liga	FC Ingolstadt	0-0 HT 0-0	Wehen SV
10/05/25 Germany 3. Liga	FC Ingolstadt	2-3 HT 2-1	Wehen SV
14/12/24 Germany 3. Liga	Wehen SV	2-5 HT 0-2	FC Ingolstadt
04/03/23 Germany 3. Liga	Wehen SV	4-1 HT 2-1	FC Ingolstadt
27/08/22 Germany 3. Liga	FC Ingolstadt	2-3 HT 2-1	Wehen SV

Standings · Germany 3. Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MSV Duisburg	7	6	0	1	19	7	18
2	FC Viktoria Köln	7	5	0	2	19	9	15
3	Rot-Weiss Essen	7	4	2	1	13	9	14
4	Saarbrucken	7	4	1	2	19	12	13
5	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II	7	4	1	2	14	8	13
6	Hansa Rostock	7	3	3	1	15	15	12
7	Alemannia Aachen	7	3	2	2	11	8	11
8	SC Preussen Munster	7	3	2	2	12	13	11
9	Waldhof Mannheim	7	3	1	3	11	10	10
10	Fortuna Dusseldorf	7	3	1	3	6	7	10
11	Verl	7	3	1	3	10	13	10
12	SC Fortuna Köln	7	2	3	2	8	8	9
13	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach	7	2	2	3	6	9	8
14	FC Ingolstadt	7	2	2	3	7	11	8
15	VfB Stuttgart II	7	2	1	4	12	15	7
16	Wurzburger Kickers	7	2	1	4	11	15	7
17	SV Meppen	7	2	0	5	8	15	6
18	Jahn Regensburg	7	1	2	4	13	17	5
19	Wehen SV	7	1	2	4	5	13	5
20	TSV Havelse	7	1	1	5	10	15	4

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Ingolstadt	Wehen SV
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II	1-2 L	2-0 W
SC Preussen Munster	1-1 D	1-3 L
Wurzburger Kickers	2-2 D	0-4 L
Waldhof Mannheim	5-1 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FC Ingolstadt (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Ingolstadt

LWWDDWLWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	FC Viktoria Köln Germany 3. Liga	0-0	0-3	5	5	L
16/09	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II Germany 3. Liga	1-1	1-2	4	2	L
12/09	Saarbrucken Germany 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	2	5	W
04/09	Alemannia Aachen Germany 3. Liga	0-3	0-3	1	4	L
29/08	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach Germany 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	2	2	W
15/08	SC Preussen Munster Germany 3. Liga	1-1	1-1	4	2	D
08/08	Wurzburger Kickers Germany 3. Liga	2-2	2-2	4	3	D
16/05	Waldhof Mannheim Germany 3. Liga	2-0	5-1	7	2	W
09/05	1860 Munich Germany 3. Liga	0-1	2-1	4	2	W
03/05	Erzgebirge Aue Germany 3. Liga	3-1	3-5	1	4	L

Wehen SV

LLWLLDDLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	MSV Duisburg Germany 3. Liga	1-3	1-4	1	3	L
16/09	SC Fortuna Köln Germany 3. Liga	2-0	2-0	1	7	W
13/09	Waldhof Mannheim Germany 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	7	7	L
05/09	Hansa Rostock Germany 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	3	7	D
29/08	Rot-Weiss Essen Germany 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
14/08	Wurzburger Kickers Germany 3. Liga	0-2	0-4	5	6	L
08/08	SC Preussen Munster Germany 3. Liga	1-1	1-3	7	7	L
16/05	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II Germany 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	7	2	W
09/05	Cottbus Germany 3. Liga	1-1	1-2	2	3	L
03/05	VfL Osnabruck Germany 3. Liga	1-0	2-3	3	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Ingolstadt vs Wehen SV?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Ingolstadt win (39%). Probabilities: FC Ingolstadt 39%, draw 26%, Wehen SV 35%.

How many goals are expected in FC Ingolstadt vs Wehen SV?

The model expects 3.05 goals (FC Ingolstadt 1.57 · Wehen SV 1.48), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Ingolstadt vs Wehen SV?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.