Football · Germany 3. Liga · 10/10, 14:00

Prediction: Alemannia Aachen vs FC Viktoria Köln

Team pages: Alemannia Aachen · FC Viktoria Köln

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.19Total

Alemannia Aachen1.82

FC Viktoria Köln1.37

1X2

47% 25% 28%

Alemannia Aachen Draw FC Viktoria Köln

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Alemannia Aachen 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DWWWDLWDLW

FC Viktoria Köln 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WLDLWWLWWW

Head-to-head

Alemannia Aachen 3–1–2 FC Viktoria Köln (6 last)

FC Viktoria Köln0-3Alemannia Aachen
Alemannia Aachen0-3FC Viktoria Köln
FC Viktoria Köln3-1Alemannia Aachen
Alemannia Aachen1-0FC Viktoria Köln
Alemannia Aachen2-0FC Viktoria Köln
Alemannia Aachen0-0FC Viktoria Köln

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alemannia Aachen 1537 · FC Viktoria Köln 1563

	Alemannia Aachen	Draw	FC Viktoria Köln
Our model	47%	25%	28%
Market	47%	25%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 3.19 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Alemannia Aachen: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Alemannia Aachen	FC Viktoria Köln
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1	2.2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.7	0.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/0/40%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.8	2.3 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.4	5.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.50

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:00

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.2%

Time*	1	X	2
16:46 +13’	1.91	3.50	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Alemannia Aachen 3–1–2 FC Viktoria Köln

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Germany 3. Liga	FC Viktoria Köln	0-3 HT 0-3	Alemannia Aachen
13/12/25 Germany 3. Liga	Alemannia Aachen	0-3 HT 0-1	FC Viktoria Köln
14/02/25 Germany 3. Liga	FC Viktoria Köln	3-1 HT 1-1	Alemannia Aachen
15/09/24 Germany 3. Liga	Alemannia Aachen	1-0 HT 1-0	FC Viktoria Köln
14/02/24 Germany Landespokal	Alemannia Aachen	2-0 HT 1-0	FC Viktoria Köln
22/02/23 Germany Landespokal	Alemannia Aachen	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Viktoria Köln

Standings · Germany 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MSV Duisburg	7	6	0	1	19	7	18
2	FC Viktoria Köln	7	5	0	2	19	9	15
3	Rot-Weiss Essen	7	4	2	1	13	9	14
4	Saarbrucken	7	4	1	2	19	12	13
5	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II	7	4	1	2	14	8	13
6	Hansa Rostock	7	3	3	1	15	15	12
7	Alemannia Aachen	7	3	2	2	11	8	11
8	SC Preussen Munster	7	3	2	2	12	13	11
9	Waldhof Mannheim	7	3	1	3	11	10	10
10	Fortuna Dusseldorf	7	3	1	3	6	7	10
11	Verl	7	3	1	3	10	13	10
12	SC Fortuna Köln	7	2	3	2	8	8	9
13	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach	7	2	2	3	6	9	8
14	FC Ingolstadt	7	2	2	3	7	11	8
15	VfB Stuttgart II	7	2	1	4	12	15	7
16	Wurzburger Kickers	7	2	1	4	11	15	7
17	SV Meppen	7	2	0	5	8	15	6
18	Jahn Regensburg	7	1	2	4	13	17	5
19	Wehen SV	7	1	2	4	5	13	5
20	TSV Havelse	7	1	1	5	10	15	4

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Alemannia Aachen	FC Viktoria Köln
Jahn Regensburg	2-2 D	2-5 L
FC Ingolstadt	3-0 W	3-0 W
SV Meppen	0-3 L	3-1 W
Hansa Rostock	1-1 D	4-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Viktoria Köln (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alemannia Aachen

DWWWDLWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Fortuna Dusseldorf Germany 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	6	6	W
15/09	Wurzburger Kickers Germany 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	7	7	L
12/09	Jahn Regensburg Germany 3. Liga	2-1	2-2	4	8	D
04/09	FC Ingolstadt Germany 3. Liga	3-0	3-0	7	4	W
29/08	SV Meppen Germany 3. Liga	0-3	0-3	4	6	L
15/08	SC Fortuna Köln Germany 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	4	7	D
09/08	Verl Germany 3. Liga	0-1	4-1	1	2	W
16/05	TSV Havelse Germany 3. Liga	1-0	6-1	7	4	W
10/05	FC Viktoria Köln Germany 3. Liga	3-0	3-0	4	3	W
02/05	Hansa Rostock Germany 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	4	8	D

FC Viktoria Köln

WLDLWWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	FC Ingolstadt Germany 3. Liga	0-0	3-0	7	5	W
15/09	SV Meppen Germany 3. Liga	1-0	3-1	2	8	W
11/09	Hansa Rostock Germany 3. Liga	2-0	4-0	7	6	W
05/09	Rot-Weiss Essen Germany 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	6	4	L
30/08	SC Preussen Munster Germany 3. Liga	3-1	4-1	4	7	W
16/08	VfB Stuttgart II Germany 3. Liga	1-0	3-1	5	4	W
08/08	Jahn Regensburg Germany 3. Liga	0-2	2-5	5	6	L
16/05	MSV Duisburg Germany 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	3	4	D
10/05	Alemannia Aachen Germany 3. Liga	0-3	0-3	2	3	L
02/05	SSV Ulm 1846 Germany 3. Liga	0-0	2-0	8	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alemannia Aachen vs FC Viktoria Köln?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Alemannia Aachen win (47%). Probabilities: Alemannia Aachen 47%, draw 25%, FC Viktoria Köln 28%.

How many goals are expected in Alemannia Aachen vs FC Viktoria Köln?

The model expects 3.19 goals (Alemannia Aachen 1.82 · FC Viktoria Köln 1.37), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Alemannia Aachen vs FC Viktoria Köln?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.