Football · Czechia First League · 10/10, 15:00

Prediction: FK Teplice vs Sigma Olomouc

Team pages: FK Teplice · Sigma Olomouc

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.06Total

FK Teplice1.53

Sigma Olomouc1.53

1X2

36% 27% 36%

FK Teplice Draw Sigma Olomouc

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Teplice 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWWDLLWWLW

Sigma Olomouc 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WLDWWWLWWL

Head-to-head

FK Teplice 2–1–3 Sigma Olomouc (6 last)

FK Teplice1-3Sigma Olomouc
Sigma Olomouc0-0FK Teplice
FK Teplice1-0Sigma Olomouc
Sigma Olomouc2-1FK Teplice
FK Teplice2-0Sigma Olomouc
Sigma Olomouc2-1FK Teplice

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Teplice 1571 · Sigma Olomouc 1564

	FK Teplice	Draw	Sigma Olomouc
Our model	37%	26%	37%
Market	36%	28%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 3.06 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Sigma Olomouc: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Teplice	Sigma Olomouc
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.5	2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.9	1.1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	70/10/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.6	1.2 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0	2.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.55

X3.25

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
14:20 +5’	2.55	3.25	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Teplice 2–1–3 Sigma Olomouc

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/02/26 Czechia First League	FK Teplice	1-3 HT 0-3	Sigma Olomouc
20/09/25 Czechia First League	Sigma Olomouc	0-0 HT 0-0	FK Teplice
30/11/24 Czechia First League	FK Teplice	1-0 HT 0-0	Sigma Olomouc
03/08/24 Czechia First League	Sigma Olomouc	2-1 HT 1-1	FK Teplice
21/02/24 Czechia First League	FK Teplice	2-0 HT 1-0	Sigma Olomouc
13/08/23 Czechia First League	Sigma Olomouc	2-1 HT 0-0	FK Teplice

Standings · Czechia First League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Slavia Prague	9	7	2	0	25	6	23
2	Slovan Liberec	9	6	2	1	13	4	20
3	Mlada Boleslav	8	5	2	1	17	9	17
4	FC Brno	9	5	1	3	12	12	16
5	Sigma Olomouc	9	5	1	3	16	13	16
6	FK Teplice	9	5	1	3	17	15	16
7	Sparta Prague	9	5	0	4	18	12	15
8	FK Jablonec	9	4	2	3	11	9	14
9	Hradec Kralove	9	4	2	3	8	9	14
10	Viktoria Plzen	9	2	4	3	17	17	10
11	Banik Ostrava	9	3	1	5	7	17	10
12	Bohemians 1905	8	2	3	3	9	11	9
13	Pardubice	9	2	2	5	9	14	8
14	SK Artis Brno	9	1	2	6	7	18	5
15	Slovacko	9	0	4	5	7	16	4
16	FC Trinity Zlin	9	0	1	8	8	19	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Teplice	Sigma Olomouc
FK Jablonec	2-0 W	1-2 L
Sparta Prague	1-4 L	0-3 L
Viktoria Plzen	5-5 D	3-2 W
Bohemians 1905	3-1 W	3-0 W
Mlada Boleslav	2-0 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Teplice

WWWDLLWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Hradec Kralove Czechia First League	1-0	2-0	3	7	W
13/09	Slavia Prague Czechia First League	0-1	0-2	0	5	L
06/09	FC Trinity Zlin Czechia First League	1-0	3-1	6	3	W
30/08	FK Jablonec Czechia First League	0-0	2-0	6	3	W
23/08	FC Brno Czechia First League	0-1	0-2	4	2	L
15/08	Sparta Prague Czechia First League	1-3	1-4	–	–	L
08/08	Viktoria Plzen Czechia First League	3-4	5-5	–	–	D
01/08	Slovan Liberec Czechia First League	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
25/07	Bohemians 1905 Czechia First League	1-0	3-1	10	3	W
23/05	Mlada Boleslav Czechia First League	0-0	2-0	3	0	W

Sigma Olomouc

WLDWWWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Sparta Prague Czechia First League	0-1	0-3	3	2	L
13/09	Viktoria Plzen Czechia First League	2-1	3-2	2	4	W
05/09	Bohemians 1905 Czechia First League	2-0	3-0	5	1	W
29/08	Banik Ostrava Czechia First League	0-1	0-1	6	2	L
23/08	Pardubice Czechia First League	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
15/08	Slovacko Czechia First League	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
09/08	SK Artis Brno Czechia First League	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
02/08	Mlada Boleslav Czechia First League	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
26/07	FK Jablonec Czechia First League	1-0	1-2	0	3	L
23/05	MFK Karvina Czechia First League	2-0	4-0	6	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Teplice vs Sigma Olomouc?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Teplice win (36%). Probabilities: FK Teplice 36%, draw 27%, Sigma Olomouc 36%.

How many goals are expected in FK Teplice vs Sigma Olomouc?

The model expects 3.06 goals (FK Teplice 1.53 · Sigma Olomouc 1.53), with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Teplice vs Sigma Olomouc?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.