Prediction: Colombia vs Peru
Team pages: Peru
- Colombia0-0Peru
- Peru1-1Colombia
- Colombia0-1Peru
- Colombia3-2Peru
- Colombia1-2Peru
- Peru0-3Colombia
| Colombia | Draw | Peru | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 25% | 14% |
| Market | 63% | 21% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Colombia (rating 1546 vs 1463).
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Colombia | Peru | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 0.9 | 1.1 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 4.6 | 2.4 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.1 | 4.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Colombia 2–2–2 Peru
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06/25 South America - World Cup Qualifying | Colombia | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Peru |
| 07/09/24 South America - World Cup Qualifying | Peru | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Colombia |
| 28/01/22 South America - World Cup Qualifying | Colombia | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Peru |
| 10/07/21 Copa America | Colombia | 3-2 HT 0-1 | Peru |
| 21/06/21 Copa America | Colombia | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Peru |
| 04/06/21 South America - World Cup Qualifying | Peru | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Colombia |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Colombia | Peru |
|---|---|---|
| Mexico | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Canada | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 0 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Colombia (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Colombia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Paraguay International Match |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 27/09 | Mexico International Match |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 08/06 | Jordan International Match |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 02/06 | Costa Rica International Match |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 29/03 | France International Match |
0-2 | 1-3 | 9 | 8 | L |
| 27/03 | Croatia International Match |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 19/11 | Australia International Match |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 16/11 | New Zealand International Match |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 15/10 | Canada International Match |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 12/10 | Mexico International Match |
1-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
Peru
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Canada International Match |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 30/09 | Mexico International Match |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 26/09 | USA International Match |
1-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 09/06 | Spain International Match |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 06/06 | Haiti International Match |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 31/03 | Honduras International Match |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 28/03 | Senegal International Match |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 21/12 | Bolivia International Match |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/11 | Chile International Match |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 12/11 | Russia International Match |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Colombia vs Peru?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Colombia win (62%). Probabilities: Colombia 62%, draw 23%, Peru 15%.
How many goals are expected in Colombia vs Peru?
The model expects 2.49 goals (Colombia 1.76 · Peru 0.73), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Colombia vs Peru?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.