Football · Japan L2 League Women · 04/10, 06:00
Prediction: Kibi University (W) vs FC Yamato Sylphid (W)
Team pages: Kibi University (W) · FC Yamato Sylphid (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.77Total
Kibi University (W)2.03
FC Yamato Sylphid (W)0.74
1X2
Kibi University (W)
Draw
FC Yamato Sylphid (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
2-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Kibi University (W)
9-1-0 (W-D-L)
FC Yamato Sylphid (W)
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Kibi University (W)
4–1–1
FC Yamato Sylphid (W)
(6 last)
- FC Yamato Sylphid (W)0-5Kibi University (W)
- Kibi University (W)3-0FC Yamato Sylphid (W)
- FC Yamato Sylphid (W)2-8Kibi University (W)
- FC Yamato Sylphid (W)2-2Kibi University (W)
- Kibi University (W)1-0FC Yamato Sylphid (W)
- FC Yamato Sylphid (W)1-0Kibi University (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kibi University (W) 1622 · FC Yamato Sylphid (W) 1442
| Kibi University (W) | Draw | FC Yamato Sylphid (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 22% | 12% |
| Market | 67% | 21% | 12% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.77 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kibi University (W) (rating 1622 vs 1442).
- H2H favours Kibi University (W): 4-1-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kibi University (W) | FC Yamato Sylphid (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.7 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.7 / 0.1 | 0.1 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/30/0% | 0/40/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 2.5 | 2 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.5 / 0 | 0.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kibi University (W) 4–1–1 FC Yamato Sylphid (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/26 Japan L2 League Women | FC Yamato Sylphid (W) | 0-5 HT 0-3 | Kibi University (W) |
| 25/05/25 Japan L2 League Women | Kibi University (W) | 3-0 HT 2-0 | FC Yamato Sylphid (W) |
| 30/03/25 Japan L2 League Women | FC Yamato Sylphid (W) | 2-8 HT 1-3 | Kibi University (W) |
| 09/06/24 Japan L2 League Women | FC Yamato Sylphid (W) | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Kibi University (W) |
| 14/04/24 Japan L2 League Women | Kibi University (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FC Yamato Sylphid (W) |
| 01/10/22 Japan L2 League Women | FC Yamato Sylphid (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Kibi University (W) |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Kibi University (W) | FC Yamato Sylphid (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Veertien Mie (W) | 4-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Speranza Takatsuki (W) | 3-2 W | 0-1 L |
| Renofa Yamaguchi (W) | 3-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Diavorosso Hiroshima (W) | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Kibi University (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kibi University (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Diosa Izumo (W) Japan L2 League Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 30/08 | Veertien Mie (W) Japan L2 League Women |
4-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 28/06 | Gunma FC White Star (W) Japan L2 League Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 1 | W |
| 21/06 | Speranza Takatsuki (W) Japan L2 League Women |
1-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 14/06 | Renofa Yamaguchi (W) Japan L2 League Women |
3-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 07/06 | Diavorosso Hiroshima (W) Japan L2 League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 24/05 | FC Yamato Sylphid (W) Japan L2 League Women |
3-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 03/05 | Veertien Mie (W) Japan L2 League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | Gunma FC White Star (W) Japan L2 League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 18/04 | Speranza Takatsuki (W) Japan L2 League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
FC Yamato Sylphid (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Diavorosso Hiroshima (W) Japan L2 League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 30/08 | Nankatsu SC (W) Japan L2 League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 27/06 | Speranza Takatsuki (W) Japan L2 League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 14/06 | SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W) Japan L2 League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 06/06 | Veertien Mie (W) Japan L2 League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 24/05 | Kibi University (W) Japan L2 League Women |
0-3 | 0-5 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 17/05 | Diavorosso Hiroshima (W) Japan L2 League Women |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 10/05 | JFA Academy (W) Japan L2 League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 03/05 | Nankatsu SC (W) Japan L2 League Women |
1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 19/04 | Renofa Yamaguchi (W) Japan L2 League Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kibi University (W) vs FC Yamato Sylphid (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Kibi University (W) win (67%). Probabilities: Kibi University (W) 67%, draw 21%, FC Yamato Sylphid (W) 12%.
How many goals are expected in Kibi University (W) vs FC Yamato Sylphid (W)?
The model expects 2.77 goals (Kibi University (W) 2.03 · FC Yamato Sylphid (W) 0.74), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Kibi University (W) vs FC Yamato Sylphid (W)?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.