Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 13/10, 20:45

Prediction: Chatham Town vs Welling

Team pages: Chatham Town · Welling

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.06Total

Chatham Town1.69

Welling1.37

1X2

44% 25% 30%

Chatham Town Draw Welling

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Chatham Town 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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Welling 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Chatham Town 3–1–1 Welling (5 last)

Chatham Town3-1Welling
Welling0-1Chatham Town
Welling0-1Chatham Town
Chatham Town0-0Welling
Chatham Town1-6Welling

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chatham Town 1540 · Welling 1530

	Chatham Town	Draw	Welling
Our model	44%	26%	30%
Market	45%	25%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 3.06 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Chatham Town: 3-1-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Chatham Town	Welling
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.6	1.8 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 0	1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/100/0%	67/33/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 2	4.7 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0	2.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.60

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.82

2 (+0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:40

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.3%

Time*	1	X	2
17:37 +3’	2.00	3.60	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Chatham Town 3–1–1 Welling

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/02/26 England Isthmian Premier Division	Chatham Town	3-1	Welling
25/11/25 England Isthmian Premier Division	Welling	0-1 HT 0-0	Chatham Town
14/09/24 England FA Cup Qualification	Welling	0-1	Chatham Town
24/07/21 Club Friendly List	Chatham Town	0-0 HT 0-0	Welling
03/10/16 Kent Senior Cup	Chatham Town	1-6 HT 1-4	Welling

Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Enfield Town	10	8	0	2	28	12	24
2	Welling	11	8	0	3	20	10	24
3	Dartford	11	8	0	3	18	12	24
4	Lewes	11	7	1	3	17	12	22
5	Carshalton Ath	12	7	0	5	18	20	21
6	Ramsgate	11	6	1	4	27	15	19
7	Eastbourne Borough	10	6	1	3	19	11	19
8	St Albans	9	5	2	2	18	13	17
9	Dulwich	9	5	1	3	18	12	16
10	Chatham Town	9	5	0	4	19	13	15
11	Leatherhead	10	4	3	3	18	17	15
12	Burgess Hill Town	9	3	5	1	16	11	14
13	Cheshunt	11	3	5	3	11	14	14
14	Cray Wanderers	9	3	3	3	19	14	12
15	Aveley	11	3	2	6	18	19	11
16	Wingate & Finchley	9	3	2	4	14	20	11
17	Brentwood Town	10	3	0	7	15	19	9
18	AFC Whyteleafe	11	2	3	6	13	21	9
19	Maldon Tiptree FC	12	3	0	9	15	33	9
20	Three Bridges	10	2	2	6	19	29	8
21	Whitehawk	11	1	2	8	11	26	5
22	Stanway Rovers	10	1	1	8	8	26	4

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Chatham Town	Welling
Eastbourne Borough	1-2 L	0-1 L
Dartford	0-1 L	3-0 W
Wingate & Finchley	2-3 L	4-1 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Welling (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Chatham Town

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Brentwood Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-0	–	–	W
26/09	Berkhamsted England FA Trophy	–	1-3	–	–	L
15/09	Eastbourne Borough England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-2	–	–	L
12/09	Lewes England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-2	–	–	W
31/08	Dartford England Isthmian Premier Division	0-0	0-1	2	2	L
29/08	Wingate & Finchley England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-3	–	–	L
22/08	Whitehawk England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-0	–	–	W
15/08	Three Bridges England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-1	–	–	W
11/08	Dulwich England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-1	–	–	W
08/08	St Albans England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-3	–	–	L

Welling

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Eastbourne Borough England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-1	–	–	L
06/10	Maldon Tiptree FC England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-0	–	–	W
03/10	AFC Whyteleafe England Isthmian Premier Division	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
15/09	Cheshunt England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-0	–	–	W
12/09	Wingate & Finchley England Isthmian Premier Division	1-1	4-1	10	2	W
31/08	Cray Wanderers England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-4	–	–	L
29/08	Ramsgate England Isthmian Premier Division	1-0	1-0	4	2	W
22/08	Dartford England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-0	–	–	W
15/08	Stanway Rovers England Isthmian Premier Division	–	4-0	–	–	W
11/08	Leatherhead England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-4	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chatham Town vs Welling?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Chatham Town win (44%). Probabilities: Chatham Town 44%, draw 25%, Welling 30%.

How many goals are expected in Chatham Town vs Welling?

The model expects 3.06 goals (Chatham Town 1.69 · Welling 1.37), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Chatham Town vs Welling?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.