Football · Mozambique Mocambola · 09/10, 15:00

Prediction: AD Pemba vs Chingale de Tete

Team pages: Chingale de Tete

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.54Total
AD Pemba0.98
Chingale de Tete0.56
1X2
45% 34% 21%
AD Pemba Draw Chingale de Tete
Markets
Under 1.5 goals 53% Not both to score 57%
Most likely score
0-0 23%
Recent form · 10 last
AD Pemba 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
LDLLLWWWLL
Chingale de Tete 1-4-5 (W-D-L)
DDLDLDLLLW
Head-to-head
AD Pemba 0–1–0 Chingale de Tete (1 last)
  • Chingale de Tete0-0AD Pemba
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AD Pemba 1462 · Chingale de Tete 1450
AD PembaDrawChingale de Tete
Our model44%37%19%
Market47%31%22%
Estimated total (ours) 1.54 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

AD PembaChingale de Tete
Goals for / against (FT)0.5 / 1.20.3 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.80.2 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/20/60%10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)0 / 1.52 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4 / 02.5 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · AD Pemba 0–1–0 Chingale de Tete

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DateHomeScoreAway
28/06/26
Mozambique Mocambola
Chingale de Tete0-0
HT 0-0
AD Pemba

Standings · Mozambique Mocambola

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Black Bulls 191351 28944
2 Costa Do Sol 191144 261237
3 Ferroviario Beira 18972 221134
4 Ferroviario Maputo 19757 141126
5 Ferroviario Lichinga 16745 141325
6 Ferroviario de Nampula 15735 172124
7 UD Songo 16583 171523
8 Vilankulo FC 17485 191620
9 Clube Ferroviário de Nacala 15546 81119
10 AD Pemba 15528 91617
11 Baía de Pemba F.C 16376 71116
12 LD Sofala 18369 71915
13 CD Maxaquene 181710 82010
14 Chingale de Tete 171610 4159

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAD PembaChingale de Tete
Vilankulo FC 0-1 L 0-0 D
Ferroviario Lichinga 0-1 L 0-1 L
CD Maxaquene 1-0 W 1-0 W
Costa Do Sol 0-2 L 0-1 L
Ferroviario Maputo 0-2 L 0-1 L
Black Bulls 0-2 L 1-2 L
Ferroviario Beira 1-1 D 1-1 D
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 5 L 1 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Chingale de Tete (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AD Pemba

LDLLLWWWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/09 Vilankulo FC
Mozambique Mocambola
0-1 0-1 –– L
30/08 Ferroviario Lichinga
Mozambique Mocambola
0-0 0-1 –– L
26/08 Ferroviario de Nampula
Mozambique Mocambola
1-0 2-0 –– W
21/08 Clube Ferroviário de Nacala
Mozambique Mocambola
1-0 1-0 –– W
18/08 CD Maxaquene
Mozambique Mocambola
0-0 1-0 –– W
15/08 Costa Do Sol
Mozambique Mocambola
0-2 0-2 –– L
09/08 Ferroviario Maputo
Mozambique Mocambola
0-1 0-2 13 L
05/08 Black Bulls
Mozambique Mocambola
0-2 0-2 25 L
28/07 Ferroviario Beira
Mozambique Mocambola
0-1 1-1 –– D
01/07 UD Songo
Mozambique Mocambola
0-1 0-3 –– L

Chingale de Tete

DDLDLDLLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/09 CD Maxaquene
Mozambique Mocambola
1-0 1-0 –– W
16/09 Costa Do Sol
Mozambique Mocambola
0-0 0-1 –– L
02/09 Black Bulls
Mozambique Mocambola
1-2 1-2 23 L
30/08 Ferroviario Maputo
Mozambique Mocambola
0-0 0-1 72 L
23/08 Ferroviario Beira
Mozambique Mocambola
0-0 1-1 –– D
20/08 LD Sofala
Mozambique Mocambola
0-1 0-1 –– L
13/08 Vilankulo FC
Mozambique Mocambola
0-0 0-0 –– D
10/08 Ferroviario Lichinga
Mozambique Mocambola
0-0 0-1 –– L
01/07 Baía de Pemba F.C
Mozambique Mocambola
0-0 0-0 –– D
28/06 AD Pemba
Mozambique Mocambola
0-0 0-0 –– D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AD Pemba vs Chingale de Tete?

According to our model, the most likely result is a AD Pemba win (45%). Probabilities: AD Pemba 45%, draw 34%, Chingale de Tete 21%.

How many goals are expected in AD Pemba vs Chingale de Tete?

The model expects 1.54 goals (AD Pemba 0.98 · Chingale de Tete 0.56), with a 54% chance of under 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in AD Pemba vs Chingale de Tete?

The model gives a 57% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.