Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 03/11, 20:45

Prediction: Dulwich vs Cray Wanderers

Team pages: Dulwich · Cray Wanderers

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.08Total

Dulwich1.54

Cray Wanderers1.54

1X2

37% 25% 37%

Dulwich Draw Cray Wanderers

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Dulwich 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WWWLLDLDWL

Cray Wanderers 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DDLWWLDWLW

Head-to-head

Dulwich 1–2–3 Cray Wanderers (6 last)

Dulwich1-1Cray Wanderers
Cray Wanderers4-2Dulwich
Cray Wanderers1-0Dulwich
Dulwich2-1Cray Wanderers
Dulwich2-6Cray Wanderers
Cray Wanderers1-1Dulwich

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dulwich 1460 · Cray Wanderers 1574

	Dulwich	Draw	Cray Wanderers
Our model	37%	26%	37%
Market	38%	25%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 3.08 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cray Wanderers (rating 1460 vs 1574).
H2H favours Cray Wanderers: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Dulwich	Cray Wanderers
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2	2.3 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1	1.3 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	17/17/67%	33/0/67%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.4	2.3 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.8 / 0	3.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.38

X3.60

22.38

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.38 → 2.38	Bet365 2.38
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.38 → 2.38	Bet365 2.38

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
17:47 +2’	2.38	3.60	2.38

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Dulwich 1–2–3 Cray Wanderers

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/10/25 England Isthmian Premier Division	Dulwich	1-1 HT 1-1	Cray Wanderers
30/09/25 England Isthmian Premier Division	Cray Wanderers	4-2	Dulwich
01/01/25 England Isthmian Premier Division	Cray Wanderers	1-0	Dulwich
26/08/24 England Ryman Premier Division	Dulwich	2-1 HT 1-1	Cray Wanderers
27/04/24 England Ryman Premier Division	Dulwich	2-6 HT 1-2	Cray Wanderers
25/11/23 England Isthmian Premier Division	Cray Wanderers	1-1 HT 0-0	Dulwich

Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Enfield Town	14	11	1	2	43	16	34
2	Welling	15	11	0	4	31	15	33
3	Eastbourne Borough	13	9	1	3	25	12	28
4	Lewes	14	8	3	3	22	16	27
5	Dartford	14	8	0	6	22	21	24
6	St Albans	11	7	2	2	24	15	23
7	Ramsgate	14	7	1	6	29	19	22
8	Carshalton Ath	16	7	1	8	23	32	22
9	Chatham Town	14	7	0	7	27	23	21
10	Wingate & Finchley	13	6	3	4	26	25	21
11	Dulwich	15	6	3	6	25	26	21
12	Burgess Hill Town	14	5	5	4	24	26	20
13	Leatherhead	12	5	3	4	25	20	18
14	AFC Whyteleafe	15	5	3	7	26	27	18
15	Cheshunt	15	4	6	5	17	23	18
16	Aveley	14	5	2	7	24	24	17
17	Maldon Tiptree FC	17	5	2	10	23	39	17
18	Cray Wanderers	10	4	3	3	23	15	15
19	Brentwood Town	13	5	0	8	23	25	15
20	Three Bridges	14	2	3	9	24	39	9
21	Stanway Rovers	14	2	1	11	14	39	7
22	Whitehawk	15	1	3	11	14	37	6

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dulwich	Cray Wanderers
Maldon Tiptree FC	1-1 D	5-1 W
Carshalton Ath	2-2 D	1-2 L
Enfield Town	0-3 L	2-3 L
Brentwood Town	2-1 W	4-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Cray Wanderers (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dulwich

WWWLLDLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	AFC Whyteleafe England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	2-4	3	4	L
27/10	Whitehawk England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-1	–	–	W
24/10	Maldon Tiptree FC England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-1	–	–	D
20/10	Chatham Town England Isthmian Premier Division	0-2	0-4	4	0	L
17/10	Carshalton Ath England Isthmian Premier Division	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
13/10	Burgess Hill Town England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	0-2	3	2	L
10/10	Enfield Town England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	0-3	4	0	L
29/09	Aveley England Isthmian Premier Division	1-0	2-0	3	3	W
12/09	Brentwood Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-1	–	–	W
31/08	Leatherhead England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-2	–	–	W

Cray Wanderers

DDLWWLDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Brentwood Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	4-1	–	–	W
10/10	Lewes England Isthmian Premier Division	1-2	1-2	8	4	L
29/09	Maldon Tiptree FC England Isthmian Premier Division	3-0	5-1	4	4	W
15/09	St Albans England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	3-3	7	3	D
12/09	Enfield Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-3	–	–	L
31/08	Welling England Isthmian Premier Division	–	4-1	–	–	W
22/08	Eastbourne Borough England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-1	–	–	W
15/08	Carshalton Ath England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-2	–	–	L
11/08	Cheshunt England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-0	–	–	D
08/08	Wingate & Finchley England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-1	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dulwich vs Cray Wanderers?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Dulwich win (37%). Probabilities: Dulwich 37%, draw 25%, Cray Wanderers 37%.

How many goals are expected in Dulwich vs Cray Wanderers?

The model expects 3.08 goals (Dulwich 1.54 · Cray Wanderers 1.54), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Dulwich vs Cray Wanderers?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.