Football · Poland IV Liga · 03/10, 11:00

Prediction: Mazur Karczew vs Blonianka Blonie

Team pages: Mazur Karczew · Blonianka Blonie

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.41Total
Mazur Karczew1.93
Blonianka Blonie1.49
1X2
47% 24% 29%
Mazur Karczew Draw Blonianka Blonie
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Mazur Karczew 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
LDLDWWDWDL
Blonianka Blonie 2-0-8 (W-D-L)
LWLLLLLWLL
Head-to-head
Mazur Karczew 0–1–0 Blonianka Blonie (1 last)
  • Blonianka Blonie2-2Mazur Karczew
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mazur Karczew 1504 · Blonianka Blonie 1440
Mazur KarczewDrawBlonianka Blonie
Our model47%24%29%
Market47%24%29%
Estimated total (ours) 3.41 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mazur Karczew (rating 1504 vs 1440).
  • Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Mazur KarczewBlonianka Blonie
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 2.11.3 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 1.20.7 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 3.63.1 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.5 / 0.24.2 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Mazur Karczew 0–1–0 Blonianka Blonie

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DateHomeScoreAway
14/06/24
Poland IV Liga
Blonianka Blonie2-2
HT 1-0
Mazur Karczew

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMazur KarczewBlonianka Blonie
Hutnik Warsaw 2-4 L 1-4 L
MKS Makowianka 0-0 D 3-0 W
KS Mszczonowianka 2-1 W 1-2 L
MKS Piaseczno 3-3 D 0-1 L
Talent Warsaw 3-2 W 1-5 L
KTS Weszlo 2-1 W 2-3 L
Record vs common 3 W 2 D 1 L 1 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Mazur Karczew (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mazur Karczew

LDLDWWDWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/09 Hutnik Warsaw
Poland IV Liga
1-1 2-4 34 L
21/08 MKS Makowianka
Poland IV Liga
0-0 0-0 37 D
30/05 KS Mszczonowianka
Poland IV Liga
1-1 2-1 42 W
23/05 MKS Piaseczno
Poland IV Liga
2-3 3-3 33 D
13/05 Talent Warsaw
Poland IV Liga
1-0 3-2 58 W
09/05 KTS Weszlo
Poland IV Liga
1-1 2-1 17 W
21/03 Hutnik Warsaw
Poland IV Liga
1-1 2-2 42 D
25/10 MKS Makowianka
Poland IV Liga
0-2 0-3 45 L
19/10 Talent Warsaw
Poland IV Liga
1-0 2-2 73 D
11/10 KTS Weszlo
Poland IV Liga
0-3 1-3 26 L

Blonianka Blonie

LWLLLLLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 Bron Radom
Poland IV Liga
0-0 0-1 124 L
05/09 MKS Piaseczno
Poland IV Liga
0-1 0-1 115 L
22/08 Oskar Przysucha
Poland IV Liga
2-0 4-0 47 W
08/08 Hutnik Warsaw
Poland IV Liga
0-1 1-4 65 L
05/06 Talent Warsaw
Poland IV Liga
1-3 1-5 01 L
16/05 Legionovia Legionowo
Poland IV Liga
0-0 0-1 115 L
25/04 Oskar Przysucha
Poland IV Liga
1-2 1-3 24 L
15/03 KS Mszczonowianka
Poland IV Liga
1-1 1-2 34 L
22/11 MKS Makowianka
Poland IV Liga
2-0 3-0 45 W
08/11 KTS Weszlo
Poland IV Liga
0-1 2-3 15 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mazur Karczew vs Blonianka Blonie?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Mazur Karczew win (47%). Probabilities: Mazur Karczew 47%, draw 24%, Blonianka Blonie 29%.

How many goals are expected in Mazur Karczew vs Blonianka Blonie?

The model expects 3.41 goals (Mazur Karczew 1.93 · Blonianka Blonie 1.49), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Mazur Karczew vs Blonianka Blonie?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.