Football · Kenya Premier League · 03/10, 13:00
Prediction: Shabana FC vs Administration Police FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.55Total
Shabana FC0.79
Administration Police FC0.77
1X2
Shabana FC
Draw
Administration Police FC
Markets
Under 1.5 goals 53%
Not both to score 56%
Most likely score
0-0 22%
Recent form · 10 last
Shabana FC
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Administration Police FC
4-6-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Shabana FC
2–2–2
Administration Police FC
(6 last)
- Shabana FC0-0Administration Police FC
- Administration Police FC0-1Shabana FC
- Administration Police FC1-0Shabana FC
- Shabana FC1-0Administration Police FC
- Shabana FC0-2Administration Police FC
- Shabana FC2-2Administration Police FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Shabana FC 1484 · Administration Police FC 1541
| Shabana FC | Draw | Administration Police FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 39% | 30% |
| Market | 34% | 32% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.55 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 72%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Administration Police FC (rating 1484 vs 1541).
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Shabana FC | Administration Police FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 0.9 | 1.1 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.5 | 0.8 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 33/67/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.7 | 2.2 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0 | 3.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Shabana FC 2–2–2 Administration Police FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Kenya Premier League | Shabana FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Administration Police FC |
| 30/11/25 Kenya Premier League | Administration Police FC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Shabana FC |
| 15/06/25 Kenya Premier League | Administration Police FC | 1-0 | Shabana FC |
| 10/11/24 Kenya Premier League | Shabana FC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Administration Police FC |
| 30/07/21 Kenya Super League | Shabana FC | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Administration Police FC |
| 08/02/20 Kenya Super League | Shabana FC | 2-2 HT 2-2 | Administration Police FC |
Standings · Kenya Premier League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3K FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | AFC Leopards | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | APS Bomet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bandari FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Gor Mahia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | KCB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Administration Police FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Mara Sugar FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Mathare United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Migori Youth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Mombasa United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Muranga Seal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nairobi United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Posta Rangers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Shabana FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Tusker | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ulinzi Stars | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Shabana FC | Administration Police FC |
|---|---|---|
| KCB | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Kakamega Homeboyz | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Nairobi United | 0-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Muranga Seal | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Gor Mahia | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 3 L | 2 W 3 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Administration Police FC (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shabana FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05 | KCB Kenya Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 24/05 | Sofapaka FC Kenya Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 17/05 | Bidco United Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 13/05 | Mara Sugar FC Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | Ulinzi Stars Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 25/04 | Administration Police FC Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 18/04 | Kakamega Homeboyz Kenya Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 05/04 | Nairobi United Kenya Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 29/03 | Muranga Seal Kenya Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 21/03 | Gor Mahia Kenya Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
Administration Police FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05 | Kakamega Homeboyz Kenya Premier League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 27/05 | Kariobangi Sharks Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 24/05 | Nairobi United Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 10/05 | Gor Mahia Kenya Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 06/05 | Muranga Seal Kenya Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | Shabana FC Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 18/04 | AFC Leopards Kenya Premier League |
3-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 14/04 | Mathare United Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 03/04 | Tusker Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 21/03 | KCB Kenya Premier League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shabana FC vs Administration Police FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a draw (35%). Probabilities: Shabana FC 33%, draw 35%, Administration Police FC 32%.
How many goals are expected in Shabana FC vs Administration Police FC?
The model expects 1.55 goals (Shabana FC 0.79 · Administration Police FC 0.77), with a 55% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Shabana FC vs Administration Police FC?
The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.