Football · South Africa League Women · 03/10, 09:00
Prediction: UWC (W) vs University of Pretoria (W)
Team pages: UWC (W) · University of Pretoria (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.24Total
UWC (W)1.43
University of Pretoria (W)0.81
1X2
UWC (W)
Draw
University of Pretoria (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
UWC (W)
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
University of Pretoria (W)
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
UWC (W)
1–3–1
University of Pretoria (W)
(5 last)
- University of Pretoria (W)2-0UWC (W)
- University of Pretoria (W)0-0UWC (W)
- UWC (W)0-0University of Pretoria (W)
- University of Pretoria (W)0-0UWC (W)
- University of Pretoria (W)0-3UWC (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · UWC (W) 1543 · University of Pretoria (W) 1517
| UWC (W) | Draw | University of Pretoria (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 29% | 20% |
| Market | 52% | 27% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.24 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| UWC (W) | University of Pretoria (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.9 | 1.5 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5 | 1.4 / 2.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.1 | 2.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · UWC (W) 1–3–1 University of Pretoria (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06/26 South Africa League Women | University of Pretoria (W) | 2-0 HT 0-0 | UWC (W) |
| 05/10/25 South Africa League Women | University of Pretoria (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | UWC (W) |
| 31/05/25 South Africa League Women | UWC (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | University of Pretoria (W) |
| 15/09/24 South Africa League Women | University of Pretoria (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | UWC (W) |
| 15/11/23 South Africa League Women | University of Pretoria (W) | 0-3 HT 0-2 | UWC (W) |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | UWC (W) | University of Pretoria (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Stellenbosch FC (W) | 3-0 W | 4-0 W |
| TS Galaxy (W) | 3-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Richmond United (W) | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Diepkloof FC (W) | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Copper Belts FC (W) | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Mamelodi Sundowns (W) | 0-4 L | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 1 L | 3 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
UWC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Stellenbosch FC (W) South Africa League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | TS Galaxy (W) South Africa League Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | Richmond United (W) South Africa League Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 23/08 | Diepkloof FC (W) South Africa League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 12/07 | Copper Belts FC (W) South Africa League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | Mamelodi Sundowns (W) South Africa League Women |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 27/06 | University of Pretoria (W) South Africa League Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 20/06 | Stellenbosch FC (W) South Africa League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | TS Galaxy (W) South Africa League Women |
0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 12/11 | JVW FC (W) South Africa League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
University of Pretoria (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Mamelodi Sundowns (W) South Africa League Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 12/09 | Stellenbosch FC (W) South Africa League Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | TS Galaxy (W) South Africa League Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 23/08 | Richmond United (W) South Africa League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 10/07 | Diepkloof FC (W) South Africa League Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 03/07 | Copper Belts FC (W) South Africa League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 27/06 | UWC (W) South Africa League Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 19/06 | Mamelodi Sundowns (W) South Africa League Women |
0-3 | 0-4 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | Stellenbosch FC (W) South Africa League Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 19/11 | TS Galaxy (W) South Africa League Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in UWC (W) vs University of Pretoria (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a UWC (W) win (51%). Probabilities: UWC (W) 51%, draw 28%, University of Pretoria (W) 21%.
How many goals are expected in UWC (W) vs University of Pretoria (W)?
The model expects 2.24 goals (UWC (W) 1.43 · University of Pretoria (W) 0.81), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in UWC (W) vs University of Pretoria (W)?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.