Football · Denmark Division 2 Women · 03/10, 10:45

Prediction: Fredensborg (W) vs BSF (W)

Team pages: Fredensborg (W) · BSF (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.49Total

Fredensborg (W)1.78

BSF (W)1.72

1X2

39% 24% 37%

Fredensborg (W) Draw BSF (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Fredensborg (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWDWLWLDWL

BSF (W) 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWDWWWLWLD

Head-to-head

Fredensborg (W) 2–1–3 BSF (W) (6 last)

BSF (W)1-2Fredensborg (W)
Fredensborg (W)0-3BSF (W)
BSF (W)4-2Fredensborg (W)
BSF (W)1-1Fredensborg (W)
Fredensborg (W)1-3BSF (W)
BSF (W)0-4Fredensborg (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fredensborg (W) 1494 · BSF (W) 1527

	Fredensborg (W)	Draw	BSF (W)
Our model	39%	24%	37%
Market	40%	23%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 3.49 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours BSF (W): 3-1-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Fredensborg (W)	BSF (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.7	2.3 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.9	1.2 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4.5	2.4 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.8 / 0	0.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.80

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.82

2 (0)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 02:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.25▲	Pinn 2.50 ★
X	3.90 → 3.80▼	Bet365 3.80
2	2.55 → 2.40▼	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 12.4% Pinnacle margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
14:57 +11’	2.15	3.90	2.55
17:58 +6’	2.00▼	3.90	2.75▲
02:09 +2’	2.25▲	3.80▼	2.40▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:48 +20’	2.59	3.40	2.25
23:04 +26’	2.50▼	3.40	2.32▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Fredensborg (W) 2–1–3 BSF (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/08/26 Denmark Division 2 Women	BSF (W)	1-2 HT 0-0	Fredensborg (W)
06/06/26 Denmark Division 2 Women	Fredensborg (W)	0-3 HT 0-2	BSF (W)
29/03/26 Denmark Division 2 Women	BSF (W)	4-2 HT 2-1	Fredensborg (W)
01/11/25 Denmark Division 2 Women	BSF (W)	1-1 HT 0-0	Fredensborg (W)
06/09/25 Denmark Division 2 Women	Fredensborg (W)	1-3 HT 1-2	BSF (W)
12/04/25 Denmark Division 2 Women	BSF (W)	0-4 HT 0-3	Fredensborg (W)

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Fredensborg (W)	BSF (W)
Odense BK II (W)	2-3 L	2-3 L
BK Fremad Valby (W)	2-2 D	0-0 D
Svogerslev BK (W)	5-0 W	2-2 D
B73 Slagelse (W)	4-0 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Fredensborg (W) (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fredensborg (W)

LWDWLWLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Odense BK II (W) Denmark Division 2 Women	1-3	2-3	5	0	L
29/08	BSF (W) Denmark Division 2 Women	0-0	2-1	1	2	W
22/08	BK Fremad Valby (W) Denmark Division 2 Women	0-1	2-2	7	0	D
06/06	BSF (W) Denmark Division 2 Women	0-2	0-3	1	2	L
24/05	Svogerslev BK (W) Denmark Division 2 Women	3-0	5-0	9	0	W
10/05	Odense BK II (W) Denmark Division 2 Women	0-0	1-2	4	0	L
02/05	Svogerslev BK (W) Denmark Division 2 Women	1-0	3-1	6	1	W
25/04	BK Fremad Valby (W) Denmark Division 2 Women	0-0	0-0	3	1	D
19/04	B73 Slagelse (W) Denmark Division 2 Women	2-0	4-0	6	2	W
11/04	Odense BK II (W) Denmark Division 2 Women	0-3	1-5	3	0	L

BSF (W)

LWDWWWLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	BK Fremad Valby (W) Denmark Division 2 Women	0-0	0-0	9	0	D
29/08	Fredensborg (W) Denmark Division 2 Women	0-0	1-2	7	2	L
06/06	Fredensborg (W) Denmark Division 2 Women	2-0	3-0	2	2	W
31/05	Odense BK II (W) Denmark Division 2 Women	0-2	2-3	6	1	L
23/05	B73 Slagelse (W) Denmark Division 2 Women	1-0	2-0	6	1	W
02/05	BK Fremad Valby (W) Denmark Division 2 Women	2-0	2-0	1	0	W
25/04	Odense BK II (W) Denmark Division 2 Women	3-1	7-1	3	0	W
19/04	Svogerslev BK (W) Denmark Division 2 Women	2-0	2-2	11	2	D
29/03	Fredensborg (W) Denmark Division 2 Women	2-1	4-2	4	1	W
15/11	Sundby BK (W) Denmark Division 2 Women	0-1	0-4	4	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fredensborg (W) vs BSF (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Fredensborg (W) win (39%). Probabilities: Fredensborg (W) 39%, draw 24%, BSF (W) 37%.

How many goals are expected in Fredensborg (W) vs BSF (W)?

The model expects 3.49 goals (Fredensborg (W) 1.78 · BSF (W) 1.72), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Fredensborg (W) vs BSF (W)?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.