Football · Lithuania A Lyga Women · 03/10, 15:00
Prediction: Gintra Universitetas (W) vs FK Transinvest (W)
Team pages: Gintra Universitetas (W) · FK Transinvest (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.59Total
Gintra Universitetas (W)3.29
FK Transinvest (W)1.29
1X2
Gintra Universitetas (W)
Draw
FK Transinvest (W)
Markets
Over 4.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
3-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Gintra Universitetas (W)
8-2-0 (W-D-L)
FK Transinvest (W)
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Gintra Universitetas (W)
4–1–1
FK Transinvest (W)
(6 last)
- FK Transinvest (W)2-5Gintra Universitetas (W)
- Gintra Universitetas (W)2-0FK Transinvest (W)
- Gintra Universitetas (W)5-0FK Transinvest (W)
- FK Transinvest (W)0-2Gintra Universitetas (W)
- FK Transinvest (W)3-0Gintra Universitetas (W)
- FK Transinvest (W)0-0Gintra Universitetas (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gintra Universitetas (W) 1599 · FK Transinvest (W) 1419
| Gintra Universitetas (W) | Draw | FK Transinvest (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 75% | 14% | 11% |
| Market | 92% | 5% | 3% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.59 goals · Bet365 line 4.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gintra Universitetas (W) (rating 1599 vs 1419).
- H2H favours Gintra Universitetas (W): 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gintra Universitetas (W) | FK Transinvest (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.8 / 0.9 | 1.2 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 10/20/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 5.2 | 1.6 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 1.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gintra Universitetas (W) 4–1–1 FK Transinvest (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/26 Lithuania A Lyga Women | FK Transinvest (W) | 2-5 HT 1-2 | Gintra Universitetas (W) |
| 22/03/26 Lithuania A Lyga Women | Gintra Universitetas (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | FK Transinvest (W) |
| 11/10/25 Lithuania First League Women | Gintra Universitetas (W) | 5-0 HT 2-0 | FK Transinvest (W) |
| 23/08/25 Lithuania A Lyga Women | FK Transinvest (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Gintra Universitetas (W) |
| 13/04/25 Lithuania A Lyga Women | FK Transinvest (W) | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Gintra Universitetas (W) |
| 05/10/24 Lithuania A Lyga Women | FK Transinvest (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Gintra Universitetas (W) |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gintra Universitetas (W) | FK Transinvest (W) |
|---|---|---|
| FA Siauliai (W) | 4-0 W | 0-1 L |
| MFA Zalgiris (W) | 3-1 W | 1-4 L |
| FK Banga (W) | 7-3 W | 1-2 L |
| FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W) | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 0 L | 0 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Gintra Universitetas (W) (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gintra Universitetas (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | FA Siauliai (W) Lithuania A Lyga Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 23/09 | MFA Zalgiris (W) Lithuania A Lyga Women |
1-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 09/09 | FK Banga (W) Lithuania A Lyga Women |
3-2 | 7-3 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W) Lithuania A Lyga Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 14/06 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W) Lithuania A Lyga Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 31/05 | MFA Zalgiris (W) Lithuania A Lyga Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 31/05 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W) Lithuania A Lyga Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 24/05 | FK Transinvest (W) Lithuania A Lyga Women |
2-1 | 5-2 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | FC Hegelmann (W) Lithuania A Lyga Women |
2-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 28/03 | MFA Zalgiris (W) Lithuania A Lyga Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
FK Transinvest (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Kauno Rajono FA (W) Lithuania A Lyga Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 05/09 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W) Lithuania A Lyga Women |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 31/08 | MFA Zalgiris (W) Lithuania A Lyga Women |
0-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 31/08 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W) Lithuania A Lyga Women |
0-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 15/08 | FA Siauliai (W) Lithuania A Lyga Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 24/06 | Kauno Rajono FA (W) Lithuania A Lyga Women |
3-0 | 6-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 18/06 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W) Lithuania A Lyga Women |
0-1 | 0-5 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 14/06 | MFA Zalgiris (W) Lithuania A Lyga Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | FA Siauliai (W) Lithuania A Lyga Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 27/05 | FK Banga (W) Lithuania A Lyga Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gintra Universitetas (W) vs FK Transinvest (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Gintra Universitetas (W) win (85%). Probabilities: Gintra Universitetas (W) 85%, draw 9%, FK Transinvest (W) 7%.
How many goals are expected in Gintra Universitetas (W) vs FK Transinvest (W)?
The model expects 4.59 goals (Gintra Universitetas (W) 3.29 · FK Transinvest (W) 1.29), with a 50% chance of over 4.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Gintra Universitetas (W) vs FK Transinvest (W)?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.