Football · Nicaragua Apertura · 02/10, 23:00

Prediction: HYH Export Sebaco FC vs Matagalpa FC

Team pages: HYH Export Sebaco FC · Matagalpa FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.47Total

HYH Export Sebaco FC1.41

Matagalpa FC1.06

1X2

44% 29% 27%

HYH Export Sebaco FC Draw Matagalpa FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

HYH Export Sebaco FC 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Matagalpa FC 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

HYH Export Sebaco FC 2–1–3 Matagalpa FC (6 last)

Matagalpa FC0-3HYH Export Sebaco FC
Matagalpa FC2-1HYH Export Sebaco FC
HYH Export Sebaco FC0-1Matagalpa FC
HYH Export Sebaco FC2-0Matagalpa FC
HYH Export Sebaco FC0-0Matagalpa FC
Matagalpa FC3-2HYH Export Sebaco FC

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Matagalpa FC: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	HYH Export Sebaco FC	Matagalpa FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.8	0.5 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1	0.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.3	1.5 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.5	3.7 / 1.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.81

Under 2.51.96

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:58

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.08 → 2.08	Pinn 2.08
X	3.27 → 3.27	Pinn 3.27
2	3.13 → 3.13	Pinn 3.13

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
14:42 +16’	2.08	3.27	3.13

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · HYH Export Sebaco FC 2–1–3 Matagalpa FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/07/26 Nicaragua Apertura	Matagalpa FC	0-3 HT 0-2	HYH Export Sebaco FC
26/02/26 Nicaragua Clausura	Matagalpa FC	2-1 HT 0-1	HYH Export Sebaco FC
19/01/26 Nicaragua Clausura	HYH Export Sebaco FC	0-1 HT 0-0	Matagalpa FC
27/11/25 Nicaragua Play-Offs	HYH Export Sebaco FC	2-0 HT 0-0	Matagalpa FC
21/09/25 Nicaragua Apertura	HYH Export Sebaco FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Matagalpa FC
17/07/25 Nicaragua Apertura	Matagalpa FC	3-2 HT 1-1	HYH Export Sebaco FC

Standings · Nicaragua Apertura

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Managua FC	9	7	2	0	27	9	23
2	Diriangen	9	6	3	0	18	7	21
3	Real Esteli	9	5	3	1	17	6	18
4	UNAN Managua	9	5	2	2	11	7	17
5	San Marcos FC	9	3	2	4	9	12	11
6	HYH Export Sebaco FC	9	3	2	4	9	17	11
7	Matagalpa FC	9	3	0	6	4	16	9
8	CD Walter Ferretti	9	2	1	6	12	16	7
9	Rancho Santana FC	9	1	2	6	7	14	5
10	Jalapa	9	1	1	7	4	14	4

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HYH Export Sebaco FC	Matagalpa FC
Diriangen	0-1 L	0-3 L
UNAN Managua	1-3 L	1-0 W
CD Walter Ferretti	1-1 D	1-4 L
Real Esteli	0-5 L	0-2 L
Managua FC	1-6 L	0-3 L
Jalapa	1-0 W	1-0 W
Rancho Santana FC	1-0 W	0-1 L
San Marcos FC	1-1 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 4 L	3 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Matagalpa FC (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HYH Export Sebaco FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/09	Diriangen Nicaragua Apertura	0-1	0-1	7	5	L
06/09	UNAN Managua Nicaragua Apertura	0-1	1-3	3	6	L
02/09	CD Walter Ferretti Nicaragua Apertura	1-0	1-1	3	6	D
30/08	Real Esteli Nicaragua Apertura	0-2	0-5	3	5	L
23/08	Managua FC Nicaragua Apertura	0-5	1-6	2	4	L
09/08	Jalapa Nicaragua Apertura	0-0	1-0	4	11	W
02/08	Rancho Santana FC Nicaragua Apertura	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
25/07	San Marcos FC Nicaragua Apertura	1-1	1-1	1	6	D
19/07	Matagalpa FC Nicaragua Apertura	2-0	3-0	3	2	W
23/11	UNAN Managua Nicaragua Apertura	1-0	3-1	–	–	W

Matagalpa FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/09	Diriangen Nicaragua Apertura	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
04/09	UNAN Managua Nicaragua Apertura	0-0	1-0	1	4	W
30/08	Rancho Santana FC Nicaragua Apertura	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
23/08	Jalapa Nicaragua Apertura	0-0	1-0	8	2	W
16/08	San Marcos FC Nicaragua Apertura	1-0	1-0	1	12	W
10/08	Managua FC Nicaragua Apertura	0-2	0-3	6	3	L
03/08	CD Walter Ferretti Nicaragua Apertura	0-1	1-4	4	3	L
26/07	Real Esteli Nicaragua Apertura	0-0	0-2	4	8	L
19/07	HYH Export Sebaco FC Nicaragua Apertura	0-2	0-3	11	2	L
23/11	Real Esteli Nicaragua Apertura	1-0	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HYH Export Sebaco FC vs Matagalpa FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a HYH Export Sebaco FC win (44%). Probabilities: HYH Export Sebaco FC 44%, draw 29%, Matagalpa FC 27%.

How many goals are expected in HYH Export Sebaco FC vs Matagalpa FC?

The model expects 2.47 goals (HYH Export Sebaco FC 1.41 · Matagalpa FC 1.06), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in HYH Export Sebaco FC vs Matagalpa FC?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.