Football · Uruguay Segunda · 05/10, 15:00

Prediction: Colon FC vs Club Oriental

Team pages: Colon FC · Club Oriental

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.06Total

Colon FC0.99

Club Oriental1.07

1X2

32% 32% 36%

Colon FC Draw Club Oriental

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 66% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Colon FC 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLWWDWWLDL

Club Oriental 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WLLDWWWLWW

Head-to-head

Colon FC 0–3–3 Club Oriental (6 last)

Club Oriental1-1Colon FC
Club Oriental0-0Colon FC
Colon FC0-0Club Oriental
Club Oriental1-0Colon FC
Colon FC0-1Club Oriental
Colon FC0-1Club Oriental

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Colon FC 1470 · Club Oriental 1519

	Colon FC	Draw	Club Oriental
Our model	31%	33%	36%
Market	33%	30%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 2.06 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Club Oriental (rating 1470 vs 1519).
H2H favours Club Oriental: 3-3-0.
High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Colon FC	Club Oriental
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.4	1.4 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	0.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 6.5	1.9 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.5	5.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.70

X2.90

22.38

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.02

2 (0)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.02

Under 2.251.77

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
X	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
2	2.38 → 2.38	Bet365 2.38

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 13.6%

Time*	1	X	2
17:46 +3’	2.70	2.90	2.38

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Colon FC 0–3–3 Club Oriental

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
28/06/26 Uruguay Segunda	Club Oriental	1-1 HT 1-0	Colon FC
23/03/26 Uruguay Segunda	Club Oriental	0-0 HT 0-0	Colon FC
04/10/25 Uruguay Segunda	Colon FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Club Oriental
13/07/25 Uruguay Segunda	Club Oriental	1-0 HT 0-0	Colon FC
23/03/25 Uruguay Segunda	Colon FC	0-1 HT 0-1	Club Oriental
30/09/24 Uruguay Segunda	Colon FC	0-1 HT 0-1	Club Oriental

Standings · Uruguay Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Group B

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Club Oriental	6	4	1	1	8	5	13
2	Plaza Colonia	6	3	3	0	9	2	12
3	Colon FC	6	2	3	1	8	5	9
4	Rentistas	6	2	3	1	6	5	9
5	Miramar Misiones	6	1	2	3	3	7	5
6	Paysandu FC	6	1	1	4	4	7	4
7	CA River Plate	6	1	1	4	6	13	4

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Colon FC	Club Oriental
Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1-1 D	3-2 W
Rentistas	0-1 L	2-0 W
Miramar Misiones	1-0 W	1-3 L
Tacuarembo	1-0 W	1-0 W
Plaza Colonia	1-1 D	2-0 W
La Luz	2-1 W	2-0 W
Cerrito	1-0 W	1-1 D
CA Atenas	1-4 L	0-1 L
Paysandu FC	2-3 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 3 L	5 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Club Oriental (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Colon FC

LLWWDWWLDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	CA River Plate Uruguay Segunda	0-1	0-3	9	8	L
19/09	Atletico Fenix Montevideo Uruguay Segunda	1-0	1-1	3	4	D
13/09	Rentistas Uruguay Segunda	0-0	0-1	9	7	L
06/09	Miramar Misiones Uruguay Segunda	0-0	1-0	5	6	W
29/08	Tacuarembo Uruguay Segunda	1-0	1-0	9	5	W
22/08	Plaza Colonia Uruguay Segunda	0-1	1-1	13	5	D
17/08	La Luz Uruguay Segunda	2-0	2-1	0	2	W
08/08	Cerrito Uruguay Segunda	0-0	1-0	4	7	W
03/08	CA Atenas Uruguay Segunda	1-2	1-4	6	5	L
25/07	Paysandu FC Uruguay Segunda	1-1	2-3	7	3	L

Club Oriental

WLLDWWWLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Atletico Fenix Montevideo Uruguay Segunda	1-0	3-2	2	13	W
20/09	Rentistas Uruguay Segunda	0-0	2-0	6	5	W
12/09	Miramar Misiones Uruguay Segunda	1-1	1-3	7	8	L
06/09	Tacuarembo Uruguay Segunda	0-0	1-0	10	3	W
31/08	Plaza Colonia Uruguay Segunda	1-0	2-0	3	2	W
23/08	La Luz Uruguay Segunda	1-0	2-0	2	6	W
14/08	Cerrito Uruguay Segunda	0-0	1-1	4	1	D
09/08	CA Atenas Uruguay Segunda	0-0	0-1	0	5	L
04/08	Paysandu FC Uruguay Segunda	0-2	1-2	10	9	L
19/07	Huracan DPA Uruguay Segunda	0-0	1-0	6	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Colon FC vs Club Oriental?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Club Oriental win (36%). Probabilities: Colon FC 32%, draw 32%, Club Oriental 36%.

How many goals are expected in Colon FC vs Club Oriental?

The model expects 2.06 goals (Colon FC 0.99 · Club Oriental 1.07), with a 56% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Colon FC vs Club Oriental?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.