Football · Honduras Liga de Ascenso · 03/10, 03:00

Prediction: Real Tegus vs Meluca FC

Team pages: Real Tegus · Meluca FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.47Total
Real Tegus1.49
Meluca FC0.98
1X2
48% 28% 24%
Real Tegus Draw Meluca FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Real Tegus 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
DLLLWDDWDL
Meluca FC 2-5-3 (W-D-L)
DDWLDLLDDW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Real Tegus 1471 · Meluca FC 1485
Real TegusDrawMeluca FC
Our model48%29%24%
Market48%27%25%
Estimated total (ours) 2.47 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 15.3 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 12.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Real TegusMeluca FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 20.9 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.70 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/100/0%0/100/0%
Corners (HT / FT)2.7 / 5.37 / 10
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)7.3 / 0.75 / 0

Standings · Honduras Liga de Ascenso · Liga de Ascenso 26/27, Apertura, Group A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 CD Hondupino 7700 17521
2 CD FAS San Lorenzo 7421 13914
3 Arsenal FC de Roatan 7412 15713
4 Real Tegus 7232 10119
5 CD Cedeno 7232 459
6 CD San Rafael 7304 11149
7 Affi Academia 7223 898
8 INFOP FC 7223 10128
9 CD Piratas 7223 6108
10 Meluca FC 7133 476
11 Eagles Sport 7124 585
12 Gimnastico de Tegucigalpa 7124 8145

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentReal TegusMeluca FC
CD FAS San Lorenzo 2-3 L 1-1 D
Gimnastico de Tegucigalpa 2-2 D 2-2 D
Affi Academia 2-1 W 1-2 L
CD Cedeno 0-0 D 0-0 D
CD San Rafael 2-1 W 0-1 L
Eagles Sport 0-2 L 1-0 W
CD Piratas 1-4 L 0-0 D
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 3 L 1 W 4 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Meluca FC (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Real Tegus

DLLLWDDWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/09 CD FAS San Lorenzo
Honduras Liga de Ascenso
1-1 2-3 86 L
24/09 Gimnastico de Tegucigalpa
Honduras Liga de Ascenso
1-1 2-2 313 D
19/09 Affi Academia
Honduras Liga de Ascenso
– 2-1 –– W
13/09 INFOP FC
Honduras Liga de Ascenso
– 2-2 –– D
06/09 CD Cedeno
Honduras Liga de Ascenso
– 0-0 –– D
29/08 CD San Rafael
Honduras Liga de Ascenso
– 2-1 –– W
23/08 Eagles Sport
Honduras Liga de Ascenso
– 0-2 –– L
28/03 CD Piratas
Honduras Liga de Ascenso
– 1-4 –– L
25/03 CA Independiente Siguatepeque
Honduras Liga de Ascenso
– 0-4 –– L
21/03 Affi Academia
Honduras Liga de Ascenso
0-0 1-1 55 D

Meluca FC

DDWLDLLDDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/09 Eagles Sport
Honduras Liga de Ascenso
– 1-0 –– W
24/09 CD FAS San Lorenzo
Honduras Liga de Ascenso
– 1-1 –– D
20/09 CD Piratas
Honduras Liga de Ascenso
– 0-0 –– D
12/09 Affi Academia
Honduras Liga de Ascenso
– 1-2 –– L
06/09 CD Hondupino
Honduras Liga de Ascenso
– 1-3 –– L
30/08 CD Cedeno
Honduras Liga de Ascenso
– 0-0 –– D
23/08 CD San Rafael
Honduras Liga de Ascenso
– 0-1 –– L
28/03 CD Hondupino
Honduras Liga de Ascenso
– 3-1 –– W
26/03 CD San Rafael
Honduras Liga de Ascenso
– 0-0 –– D
22/03 Gimnastico de Tegucigalpa
Honduras Liga de Ascenso
0-0 2-2 105 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Real Tegus vs Meluca FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Real Tegus win (48%). Probabilities: Real Tegus 48%, draw 28%, Meluca FC 24%.

How many goals are expected in Real Tegus vs Meluca FC?

The model expects 2.47 goals (Real Tegus 1.49 · Meluca FC 0.98), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Real Tegus vs Meluca FC?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.