Football · Honduras Liga de Ascenso · 03/10, 23:00
Prediction: Tela FC vs Estrella FC Santos Guardiola
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.6Total
Tela FC1.52
Estrella FC Santos Guardiola1.08
1X2
Tela FC
Draw
Estrella FC Santos Guardiola
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Tela FC
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Estrella FC Santos Guardiola
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tela FC
3–1–0
Estrella FC Santos Guardiola
(4 last)
- Tela FC1-1Estrella FC Santos Guardiola
- Estrella FC Santos Guardiola1-2Tela FC
- Tela FC3-1Estrella FC Santos Guardiola
- Estrella FC Santos Guardiola1-2Tela FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tela FC 1470 · Estrella FC Santos Guardiola 1472
| Tela FC | Draw | Estrella FC Santos Guardiola | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 28% | 26% |
| Market | 48% | 25% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.6 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Tela FC: 3-1-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tela FC | Estrella FC Santos Guardiola | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.7 | 1.2 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | – / – | – / – |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | //% | //% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / – | – / – |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | – / – | – / – |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tela FC 3–1–0 Estrella FC Santos Guardiola
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/26 Honduras Liga de Ascenso | Tela FC | 1-1 | Estrella FC Santos Guardiola |
| 07/02/26 Honduras Liga de Ascenso | Estrella FC Santos Guardiola | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Tela FC |
| 25/09/25 Honduras Liga de Ascenso | Tela FC | 3-1 | Estrella FC Santos Guardiola |
| 27/08/25 Honduras Liga de Ascenso | Estrella FC Santos Guardiola | 1-2 | Tela FC |
Standings · Honduras Liga de Ascenso · Liga de Ascenso 26/27, Apertura, Group C
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Vida | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 16 |
| 2 | CD Victoria | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | FC Santa Rosa La Masica | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | 12 |
| 4 | Estrella FC Santos Guardiola | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 9 |
| 5 | Tela FC | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 8 |
| 6 | Municipal san Esteban | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| 7 | CD Social Sol | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 7 |
| 8 | Roma FC de Sonaguera | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
| 9 | CA Boca Juniors Tocoa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 5 |
| 10 | CD Real Sociedad | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 4 |
| 11 | Juventus FC Roatan | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 4 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tela FC | Estrella FC Santos Guardiola |
|---|---|---|
| Municipal san Esteban | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Juventus FC Roatan | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Roma FC de Sonaguera | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| CD Real Sociedad | 4-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Honduras Progreso | 1-3 L | 2-1 W |
| CD Vida | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| FC Santa Rosa La Masica | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 4 L | 2 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Estrella FC Santos Guardiola (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tela FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Municipal san Esteban Honduras Liga de Ascenso |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 19/09 | CA Boca Juniors Tocoa Honduras Liga de Ascenso |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 13/09 | CD Victoria Honduras Liga de Ascenso |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 06/09 | Juventus FC Roatan Honduras Liga de Ascenso |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 29/08 | Roma FC de Sonaguera Honduras Liga de Ascenso |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 22/08 | CD Real Sociedad Honduras Liga de Ascenso |
– | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 28/03 | Honduras Progreso Honduras Liga de Ascenso |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 26/03 | CD Vida Honduras Liga de Ascenso |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 15/03 | FC Santa Rosa La Masica Honduras Liga de Ascenso |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 08/03 | Estrella FC Santos Guardiola Honduras Liga de Ascenso |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Estrella FC Santos Guardiola
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Roma FC de Sonaguera Honduras Liga de Ascenso |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 23/09 | CD Social Sol Honduras Liga de Ascenso |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 20/09 | Municipal san Esteban Honduras Liga de Ascenso |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 14/09 | CD Real Sociedad Honduras Liga de Ascenso |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 06/09 | CD Vida Honduras Liga de Ascenso |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 31/08 | FC Santa Rosa La Masica Honduras Liga de Ascenso |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 24/08 | Juventus FC Roatan Honduras Liga de Ascenso |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 28/03 | FC Santa Rosa La Masica Honduras Liga de Ascenso |
– | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 25/03 | Honduras Progreso Honduras Liga de Ascenso |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 22/03 | CD Vida Honduras Liga de Ascenso |
– | 1-4 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tela FC vs Estrella FC Santos Guardiola?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Tela FC win (47%). Probabilities: Tela FC 47%, draw 26%, Estrella FC Santos Guardiola 27%.
How many goals are expected in Tela FC vs Estrella FC Santos Guardiola?
The model expects 2.6 goals (Tela FC 1.52 · Estrella FC Santos Guardiola 1.08), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Tela FC vs Estrella FC Santos Guardiola?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.