Football · Jordan League · 16/10, 18:30

Prediction: Al-Baqa'a vs Al Salt

Team pages: Al-Baqa'a · Al Salt

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.73Total

Al-Baqa'a1.22

Al Salt1.5

1X2

30% 28% 43%

Al-Baqa'a Draw Al Salt

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Al-Baqa'a 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DLWLLLWDLW

Al Salt 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LWLWDDWDLL

Head-to-head

Al-Baqa'a 1–1–4 Al Salt (6 last)

Al-Baqa'a1-3Al Salt
Al Salt1-3Al-Baqa'a
Al-Baqa'a1-1Al Salt
Al-Baqa'a1-5Al Salt
Al-Baqa'a0-1Al Salt
Al Salt2-0Al-Baqa'a

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Al-Baqa'a 1489 · Al Salt 1474

	Al-Baqa'a	Draw	Al Salt
Our model	30%	28%	42%
Market	30%	28%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 2.73 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Al Salt: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Al-Baqa'a	Al Salt
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 2	0.9 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.8	0.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.5	1.7 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.3	4.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.00

X3.25

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.93

2 (-0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 06:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 3.00▲	Bet365 3.00
X	3.20 → 3.25▲	Bet365 3.25
2	2.30 → 2.10▼	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
02:48 +20’	2.70	3.20	2.30
06:03 +3’	3.00▲	3.25▲	2.10▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Al-Baqa'a 1–1–4 Al Salt

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Jordan League	Al-Baqa'a	1-3 HT 0-3	Al Salt
04/02/26 Jordan League	Al Salt	1-3 HT 1-2	Al-Baqa'a
30/08/25 Jordan Shield Cup	Al-Baqa'a	1-1 HT 0-1	Al Salt
18/08/25 Jordan League	Al-Baqa'a	1-5 HT 0-0	Al Salt
15/10/21 Jordan League	Al-Baqa'a	0-1 HT 0-1	Al Salt
09/07/21 Jordan League	Al Salt	2-0 HT 2-0	Al-Baqa'a

Standings · Jordan League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Al-Faisaly Amman	4	3	1	0	7	0	10
2	Ramtha SC	4	2	2	0	3	1	8
3	Al-Baqa'a	4	2	1	1	4	4	7
4	Al-Jazeera	4	1	2	1	6	2	5
5	Al-Wehdat	4	1	2	1	1	1	5
6	Al Hussein SC	4	1	2	1	7	9	5
7	Doqarah FC	4	1	1	2	2	3	4
8	Al Salt	4	1	1	2	3	4	4
9	Shabab AL Ordon	4	0	3	1	5	8	3
10	Al-Arabi Irbid	4	0	1	3	2	8	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Al-Baqa'a	Al Salt
Al-Faisaly Amman	0-4 L	0-1 L
Al Hussein SC	0-0 D	0-5 L
Doqarah FC	1-0 W	0-2 L
Al-Jazeera	2-1 W	1-1 D
Al-Wehdat	1-5 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	0 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Al-Baqa'a (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Al-Baqa'a

DLWLLLWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/10	Shabab AL Ordon Jordan League	1-0	3-0	6	4	W
20/09	Al-Faisaly Amman Jordan League	0-1	0-4	2	4	L
11/09	Al Hussein SC Jordan League	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
03/09	Doqarah FC Jordan League	1-0	1-0	3	2	W
07/05	Ramtha SC Jordan League	1-2	2-5	4	2	L
04/05	Al Ahli Amman Jordan League	0-0	1-2	2	3	L
26/04	Al Salt Jordan League	0-3	1-3	5	6	L
16/04	Al-Jazeera Jordan League	0-1	2-1	8	1	W
09/04	Al-Wehdat Jordan League	0-1	1-5	5	5	L
03/04	Shabab AL Ordon Jordan League	0-0	0-0	7	4	D

Al Salt

LWLWDDWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Al-Faisaly Amman Jordan League	0-0	0-1	3	5	L
17/09	Doqarah FC Jordan League	0-1	0-2	6	2	L
12/09	Al-Wehdat Jordan League	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
05/09	Al-Arabi Irbid Jordan League	1-0	3-1	6	3	W
07/05	Al-Jazeera Jordan League	0-0	1-1	0	8	D
03/05	Al-Wehdat Jordan League	0-1	1-1	2	5	D
26/04	Al-Baqa'a Jordan League	3-0	3-1	4	6	W
17/04	Al-Faisaly Amman Jordan League	0-0	0-1	6	6	L
09/04	Sama Al Sarhan Jordan League	1-0	1-0	3	2	W
04/04	Al Hussein SC Jordan League	0-2	0-5	6	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Al-Baqa'a vs Al Salt?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Al Salt win (43%). Probabilities: Al-Baqa'a 30%, draw 28%, Al Salt 43%.

How many goals are expected in Al-Baqa'a vs Al Salt?

The model expects 2.73 goals (Al-Baqa'a 1.22 · Al Salt 1.5), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Al-Baqa'a vs Al Salt?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.