Football · Honduras Liga de Ascenso · 03/10, 23:00

Prediction: FC Brasilia Rio Lindo vs Parrillas One

Team pages: Parrillas One

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.99Total

FC Brasilia Rio Lindo1.47

Parrillas One1.53

1X2

35% 27% 38%

FC Brasilia Rio Lindo Draw Parrillas One

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Brasilia Rio Lindo 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DDLWLWWDWW

Parrillas One 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LDLWWWDWDW

Head-to-head

FC Brasilia Rio Lindo 2–2–2 Parrillas One (6 last)

Parrillas One1-1FC Brasilia Rio Lindo
FC Brasilia Rio Lindo2-2Parrillas One
Parrillas One2-0FC Brasilia Rio Lindo
FC Brasilia Rio Lindo4-1Parrillas One
Parrillas One2-4FC Brasilia Rio Lindo
FC Brasilia Rio Lindo1-4Parrillas One

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Brasilia Rio Lindo 1534 · Parrillas One 1562

	FC Brasilia Rio Lindo	Draw	Parrillas One
Our model	35%	27%	38%
Market	35%	27%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 2.99 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Brasilia Rio Lindo	Parrillas One
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.9	2.3 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	– / –	0.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	//%	25/50/25%
Corners (HT / FT)	– / –	2 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	– / –	9 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

12.55

X3.25

22.38

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.98

2 (0)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.02

Under 2.251.77

Diff.: 1.3 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:50

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	2.38 → 2.38	Bet365 2.38

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
19:47 +3’	2.55	3.25	2.38

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Brasilia Rio Lindo 2–2–2 Parrillas One

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/03/26 Honduras Liga de Ascenso	Parrillas One	1-1 HT 0-0	FC Brasilia Rio Lindo
21/02/26 Honduras Liga de Ascenso	FC Brasilia Rio Lindo	2-2 HT 1-1	Parrillas One
21/09/25 Honduras Liga de Ascenso	Parrillas One	2-0 HT 1-0	FC Brasilia Rio Lindo
23/08/25 Honduras Liga de Ascenso	FC Brasilia Rio Lindo	4-1	Parrillas One
23/03/25 Honduras Liga de Ascenso	Parrillas One	2-4 HT 0-3	FC Brasilia Rio Lindo
16/02/25 Honduras Liga de Ascenso	FC Brasilia Rio Lindo	1-4 HT 0-2	Parrillas One

Standings · Honduras Liga de Ascenso · Liga de Ascenso 26/27, Apertura, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Parrillas One	7	5	2	0	22	4	17
2	Palestino FC Choloma	6	5	0	1	16	7	15
3	Pumas FC	6	4	2	0	16	9	14
4	FC Brasilia Rio Lindo	6	4	1	1	13	11	13
5	Deportes Savio	7	3	3	1	12	5	12
6	Honduras Progreso	7	2	1	4	14	17	7
7	Juventud Yorena	6	1	3	2	7	9	6
8	Espartano FC	7	1	2	4	5	11	5
9	CD Cuervos	6	1	2	3	10	17	5
10	Cruz Azul Opoa	6	1	0	5	8	13	3
11	CD Suyapa	6	0	0	6	4	24	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Brasilia Rio Lindo	Parrillas One
CD Cuervos	2-1 W	6-0 W
Deportes Savio	0-0 D	0-0 D
Espartano FC	4-2 W	2-0 W
Honduras Progreso	2-1 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 0 L	3 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Parrillas One (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Brasilia Rio Lindo

DDLWLWWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	CD Cuervos Honduras Liga de Ascenso	–	2-1	–	–	W
24/09	Cruz Azul Opoa Honduras Liga de Ascenso	–	3-2	–	–	W
20/09	Deportes Savio Honduras Liga de Ascenso	–	0-0	–	–	D
05/09	Espartano FC Honduras Liga de Ascenso	–	4-2	–	–	W
29/08	Honduras Progreso Honduras Liga de Ascenso	–	2-1	–	–	W
22/08	Palestino FC Choloma Honduras Liga de Ascenso	–	2-5	–	–	L
24/05	CD Hondupino Honduras Liga de Ascenso	–	2-1	–	–	W
17/05	CD Hondupino Honduras Liga de Ascenso	–	1-4	–	–	L
10/05	Estrella Roja Honduras Liga de Ascenso	–	2-2	–	–	D
02/05	Estrella Roja Honduras Liga de Ascenso	–	1-1	–	–	D

Parrillas One

LDLWWWDWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Honduras Progreso Honduras Liga de Ascenso	–	3-1	–	–	W
24/09	Deportes Savio Honduras Liga de Ascenso	0-0	0-0	5	12	D
20/09	CD Cuervos Honduras Liga de Ascenso	–	6-0	–	–	W
13/09	Pumas FC Honduras Liga de Ascenso	0-1	2-2	2	10	D
05/09	CD Suyapa Honduras Liga de Ascenso	2-0	6-0	2	9	W
30/08	Espartano FC Honduras Liga de Ascenso	–	2-0	–	–	W
23/08	Juventud Yorena Honduras Liga de Ascenso	–	3-1	–	–	W
28/03	Pumas FC Honduras Liga de Ascenso	–	0-2	–	–	L
22/03	FC Brasilia Rio Lindo Honduras Liga de Ascenso	0-0	1-1	6	7	D
15/03	Leones HT6 Honduras Liga de Ascenso	–	0-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Brasilia Rio Lindo vs Parrillas One?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Parrillas One win (38%). Probabilities: FC Brasilia Rio Lindo 35%, draw 27%, Parrillas One 38%.

How many goals are expected in FC Brasilia Rio Lindo vs Parrillas One?

The model expects 2.99 goals (FC Brasilia Rio Lindo 1.47 · Parrillas One 1.53), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Brasilia Rio Lindo vs Parrillas One?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.