Football · Panama Liga Prom · 02/10, 16:00

Prediction: CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves vs Herrera FC Reserves

Team pages: CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves · Herrera FC Reserves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.86Total

CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves2.93

Herrera FC Reserves0.93

1X2

81% 12% 7%

CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves Draw Herrera FC Reserves

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

2-0 9%

Recent form · 10 last

CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

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Herrera FC Reserves 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves 3–2–1 Herrera FC Reserves (6 last)

Herrera FC Reserves1-1CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves13-0Herrera FC Reserves
Herrera FC Reserves0-2CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves7-0Herrera FC Reserves
Herrera FC Reserves1-1CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves2-3Herrera FC Reserves

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves 1562 · Herrera FC Reserves 1418

	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves	Draw	Herrera FC Reserves
Our model	77%	14%	8%
Market	84%	10%	5%

Estimated total (ours) 3.86 goals · Bet365 line 4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves (rating 1562 vs 1418).
H2H favours CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 11.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves	Herrera FC Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.3	1.5 / 2.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.7 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	29/43/29%	29/29/43%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.4	1.6 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6 / 0.4	5.9 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.10

X9.00

217.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.75)1.88

2 (+2.75)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 41.90

Under 41.90

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.10 → 1.10	Bet365 1.10
X	9.00 → 9.00	Bet365 9.00
2	17.00 → 17.00	Bet365 17.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.9%

Time*	1	X	2
18:08 +8’	1.10	9.00	17.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves 3–2–1 Herrera FC Reserves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/03/26 Panama Liga Prom	Herrera FC Reserves	1-1	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
06/09/25 Panama Liga Prom	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves	13-0 HT 7-0	Herrera FC Reserves
22/02/25 Panama Liga Prom	Herrera FC Reserves	0-2 HT 0-0	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
07/09/24 Panama Liga Prom	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves	7-0 HT 3-0	Herrera FC Reserves
25/02/24 Panama Liga Prom	Herrera FC Reserves	1-1 HT 0-0	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
10/09/23 Panama Liga Prom	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves	2-3 HT 1-3	Herrera FC Reserves

Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, West-South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Aguilas de la U	10	9	0	1	34	6	27
2	Udelas FC	10	8	0	2	24	10	24
3	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves	10	6	3	1	21	13	21
4	SD Atletico Nacional	11	7	0	4	24	23	21
5	San Francisco Reserves	10	5	1	4	18	17	16
6	Union Cocle Reserves	10	2	3	5	11	17	9

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves	Herrera FC Reserves
Rayados de Chiriqui	2-0 W	0-1 L
Bocas	1-1 D	3-1 W
Veraguas United Reserves	4-2 W	2-4 L
CD Universitario Reserves	1-2 L	1-3 L
La Familia FC	3-2 W	5-1 W
SD Atletico Nacional	4-2 W	2-3 L
Union Cocle Reserves	1-1 D	1-4 L
San Francisco Reserves	2-2 D	0-1 L
Aguilas de la U	1-0 W	0-6 L
Udelas FC	2-1 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	6 W 3 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 8 L

Better against common opponents: CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves (8 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Rayados de Chiriqui Panama Liga Prom	0-0	2-0	7	10	W
18/09	Bocas Panama Liga Prom	–	1-1	–	–	D
11/09	Veraguas United Reserves Panama Liga Prom	–	4-2	–	–	W
05/09	CD Universitario Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-1	1-2	4	8	L
29/08	La Familia FC Panama Liga Prom	2-0	3-2	4	9	W
22/08	SD Atletico Nacional Panama Liga Prom	–	4-2	–	–	W
12/08	Union Cocle Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-0	1-1	7	3	D
07/08	San Francisco Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-1	2-2	3	6	D
01/08	Aguilas de la U Panama Liga Prom	0-0	1-0	6	2	W
25/07	Udelas FC Panama Liga Prom	0-1	2-1	7	7	W

Herrera FC Reserves

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	SD Atletico Nacional Panama Liga Prom	–	2-3	–	–	L
19/09	San Francisco Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-1	9	6	L
12/09	Udelas FC Panama Liga Prom	–	1-3	–	–	L
05/09	Aguilas de la U Panama Liga Prom	–	0-6	–	–	L
26/08	Union Cocle Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-3	1-4	5	8	L
21/08	Veraguas United Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-2	2-4	6	4	L
16/08	La Familia FC Panama Liga Prom	1-0	5-1	4	6	W
08/08	Bocas Panama Liga Prom	2-0	3-1	1	8	W
02/08	CD Universitario Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-1	1-3	1	6	L
25/07	Rayados de Chiriqui Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-1	6	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves vs Herrera FC Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves win (81%). Probabilities: CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves 81%, draw 12%, Herrera FC Reserves 7%.

How many goals are expected in CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves vs Herrera FC Reserves?

The model expects 3.86 goals (CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves 2.93 · Herrera FC Reserves 0.93), with a 53% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves vs Herrera FC Reserves?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.