Football · China Super League Women · 14/11, 07:00
Prediction: Changchun Dazhong (W) vs Shandong (W)
Team pages: Changchun Dazhong (W) · Shandong (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.05Total
Changchun Dazhong (W)1.14
Shandong (W)0.9
1X2
Changchun Dazhong (W)
Draw
Shandong (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 66%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Changchun Dazhong (W)
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Shandong (W)
1-6-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Changchun Dazhong (W)
4–1–1
Shandong (W)
(6 last)
- Changchun Dazhong (W)1-1Shandong (W)
- Changchun Dazhong (W)4-2Shandong (W)
- Shandong (W)2-0Changchun Dazhong (W)
- Changchun Dazhong (W)1-0Shandong (W)
- Shandong (W)1-2Changchun Dazhong (W)
- Changchun Dazhong (W)3-0Shandong (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Changchun Dazhong (W) 1484 · Shandong (W) 1472
| Changchun Dazhong (W) | Draw | Shandong (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 33% | 27% |
| Market | 41% | 30% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.05 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Changchun Dazhong (W): 4-1-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Changchun Dazhong (W) | Shandong (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.3 | 0.5 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 22/44/33% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.1 | 2.3 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.1 / 0 | 1.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Changchun Dazhong (W) 4–1–1 Shandong (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06/26 China Super League Women | Changchun Dazhong (W) | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Shandong (W) |
| 24/08/25 China Super League Women | Changchun Dazhong (W) | 4-2 HT 1-0 | Shandong (W) |
| 23/03/25 China Super League Women | Shandong (W) | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Changchun Dazhong (W) |
| 28/07/24 China Super League Women | Changchun Dazhong (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Shandong (W) |
| 31/03/24 China Super League Women | Shandong (W) | 1-2 | Changchun Dazhong (W) |
| 05/11/23 China Super League Women | Changchun Dazhong (W) | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Shandong (W) |
Standings · China Super League Women · Chinese Super League, Women 2026, Relegation Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Changchun Dazhong (W) | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 17 | 16 |
| 2 | Guangdong (W) | 14 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 14 |
| 3 | Shaanxi Zhidan (W) | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 12 |
| 4 | Sichuan Jiannanchun Women | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 22 | 11 |
| 5 | Shandong (W) | 14 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 10 |
| 6 | Guangxi Pingguo (W) | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 22 | 10 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Changchun Dazhong (W) | Shandong (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Guangdong (W) | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Guangxi Pingguo (W) | 3-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Sichuan Jiannanchun Women | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) | 0-1 L | 0-3 L |
| Beijing (W) | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 4 L | 1 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Shandong (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Changchun Dazhong (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Guangdong (W) China Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 1 | D |
| 17/10 | Guangxi Pingguo (W) China Super League Women |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/10 | Shaanxi Zhidan (W) China Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 19/07 | Sichuan Jiannanchun Women China Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 14/07 | Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 05/07 | Guangdong (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 28/06 | Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 24/06 | Shandong (W) China Super League Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 19/06 | Beijing (W) China Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 14/06 | Shaanxi Zhidan (W) China Super League Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
Shandong (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Guangxi Pingguo (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 18/10 | Sichuan Jiannanchun Women China Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 10/10 | Guangdong (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 19/07 | Beijing (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 15/07 | Wuhan Jiangda (W) China Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 04/07 | Guangxi Pingguo (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 28/06 | Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) China Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 24/06 | Changchun Dazhong (W) China Super League Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 20/06 | Guangdong (W) China Super League Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | D |
| 13/06 | Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) China Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Changchun Dazhong (W) vs Shandong (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Changchun Dazhong (W) win (41%). Probabilities: Changchun Dazhong (W) 41%, draw 32%, Shandong (W) 28%.
How many goals are expected in Changchun Dazhong (W) vs Shandong (W)?
The model expects 2.05 goals (Changchun Dazhong (W) 1.14 · Shandong (W) 0.9), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Changchun Dazhong (W) vs Shandong (W)?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.