Football · Kosovo Division 1 · 03/10, 14:00

Prediction: Rilindja 1974 vs Istogu

Team pages: Rilindja 1974 · Istogu

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.88Total

Rilindja 19741.69

Istogu1.19

1X2

48% 27% 25%

Rilindja 1974 Draw Istogu

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Rilindja 1974 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLLLDWDWWW

Istogu 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLDLWLWLLD

Head-to-head

Rilindja 1974 1–2–3 Istogu (6 last)

Rilindja 19740-0Istogu
Istogu0-0Rilindja 1974
Istogu2-4Rilindja 1974
Rilindja 19741-2Istogu
Rilindja 19740-2Istogu
Istogu3-1Rilindja 1974

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rilindja 1974 1518 · Istogu 1450

	Rilindja 1974	Draw	Istogu
Our model	48%	26%	26%
Market	47%	28%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 2.88 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rilindja 1974 (rating 1518 vs 1450).
H2H favours Istogu: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 13.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Rilindja 1974	Istogu
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 2	1.4 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	100/0/0%	25/50/25%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4	1.5 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	7 / 0	6.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.25

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.93

Under 2.251.88

Diff.: 1.5 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.9%

Time*	1	X	2
15:19 +7’	1.91	3.25	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Rilindja 1974 1–2–3 Istogu

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/03/26 Kosovo Division 1	Rilindja 1974	0-0	Istogu
20/09/25 Kosovo Division 1	Istogu	0-0	Rilindja 1974
14/07/25 Europe Friendlies	Istogu	2-4 HT 2-1	Rilindja 1974
20/04/25 Kosovo Division 1	Rilindja 1974	1-2	Istogu
25/02/25 Kosovo Division 1	Rilindja 1974	0-2	Istogu
28/09/24 Kosovo Division 1	Istogu	3-1	Rilindja 1974

Standings · Kosovo Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Liria	7	5	1	1	9	4	16
2	KF Dinamo Ferizaj	7	4	3	0	14	4	15
3	KF Prishtina e Re	7	5	0	2	14	8	15
4	Rilindja 1974	7	4	2	1	11	6	14
5	Trepca 89	7	3	4	0	8	4	13
6	FC Suhareka	7	3	2	2	15	10	11
7	Vellaznimi Gjakova	7	3	1	3	9	14	10
8	KF Ferizaj	7	2	3	2	9	5	9
9	KF 2 Korriku	7	2	2	3	5	5	8
10	KF Besa Peje	7	2	2	3	6	7	8
11	KF Kika	7	1	5	1	4	6	8
12	KF Trepca Mitrovice	7	2	2	3	6	12	8
13	KF Ramiz Sadiku	7	1	4	2	9	11	7
14	Istogu	7	2	1	4	5	12	7
15	KF Vjosa	7	1	3	3	8	8	6
16	KF Lepenci	7	0	4	3	4	9	4
17	KF FC Mitrovica	7	0	4	3	5	11	4
18	KF Tefik Canga	7	0	3	4	6	11	3

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Rilindja 1974	Istogu
KF Vjosa	2-1 W	1-1 D
Trepca 89	1-1 D	1-2 L
KF Ferizaj	1-1 D	0-2 L
FC Suhareka	1-3 L	0-5 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 1 L	0 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Rilindja 1974 (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rilindja 1974

LLLLDWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	KF Lepenci Kosovo Division 1	–	2-0	–	–	W
19/09	KF Vjosa Kosovo Division 1	–	2-1	–	–	W
11/09	KF Kika Kosovo Division 1	1-0	3-0	4	7	W
05/09	Trepca 89 Kosovo Division 1	–	1-1	–	–	D
30/08	KF Trepca Mitrovice Kosovo Division 1	–	2-1	–	–	W
22/08	KF Ferizaj Kosovo Division 1	–	1-1	–	–	D
16/08	KF Dinamo Ferizaj Kosovo Division 1	–	0-2	–	–	L
23/05	Trepca 89 Kosovo Division 1	–	1-7	–	–	L
16/05	KF Dinamo Ferizaj Kosovo Division 1	–	3-4	–	–	L
09/05	FC Suhareka Kosovo Division 1	–	1-3	–	–	L

Istogu

LLDLWLWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	KF Vjosa Kosovo Division 1	1-0	1-1	3	3	D
19/09	Trepca 89 Kosovo Division 1	–	1-2	–	–	L
13/09	KF Ferizaj Kosovo Division 1	0-0	0-2	3	7	L
05/09	FK Liria Kosovo Division 1	–	1-0	–	–	W
30/08	KF Prishtina e Re Kosovo Division 1	0-0	0-1	2	11	L
22/08	KF Besa Peje Kosovo Division 1	–	2-1	–	–	W
15/08	FC Suhareka Kosovo Division 1	–	0-5	–	–	L
22/05	FC Prizreni Kosovo Division 1	1-2	3-3	4	7	D
16/05	Trepca 89 Kosovo Division 1	–	2-3	–	–	L
09/05	KF 2 Korriku Kosovo Division 1	–	4-7	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rilindja 1974 vs Istogu?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Rilindja 1974 win (48%). Probabilities: Rilindja 1974 48%, draw 27%, Istogu 25%.

How many goals are expected in Rilindja 1974 vs Istogu?

The model expects 2.88 goals (Rilindja 1974 1.69 · Istogu 1.19), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Rilindja 1974 vs Istogu?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.