Football · India Bangalore Super Division · 30/09, 10:00

Prediction: MEG vs Kodagu FC

Team pages: MEG · Kodagu FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.59Total

MEG1.49

Kodagu FC2.1

1X2

26% 23% 51%

MEG Draw Kodagu FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

MEG 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

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Kodagu FC 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

MEG 2–2–1 Kodagu FC (5 last)

MEG1-0Kodagu FC
Kodagu FC5-1MEG
MEG1-1Kodagu FC
MEG1-0Kodagu FC
MEG2-2Kodagu FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MEG 1536 · Kodagu FC 1599

	MEG	Draw	Kodagu FC
Our model	26%	23%	51%
Market	26%	23%	51%

Estimated total (ours) 3.59 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kodagu FC (rating 1536 vs 1599).
H2H favours MEG: 2-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MEG	Kodagu FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.9	2.8 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.7	1.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	80/20/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 3.9	2.5 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.1	3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.40

X3.90

21.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.98

2 (-0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.88

Under 3.251.93

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 09:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.90 → 3.40▲	Bet365 3.40
X	3.70 → 3.90▲	Bet365 3.90
2	1.95 → 1.75▼	Bet365 1.75

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.2%

Time*	1	X	2
18:07 +3’	2.90	3.70	1.95
09:02 +2’	3.40▲	3.90▲	1.75▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · MEG 2–2–1 Kodagu FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/10/25 India Bangalore Super Division	MEG	1-0 HT 0-0	Kodagu FC
04/02/25 India Bangalore Super Division	Kodagu FC	5-1 HT 2-0	MEG
06/10/23 India Bangalore Super Division	MEG	1-1 HT 0-0	Kodagu FC
04/11/22 India Bangalore Super Division	MEG	1-0 HT 1-0	Kodagu FC
09/12/21 India Bangalore Super Division	MEG	2-2 HT 0-2	Kodagu FC

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MEG	Kodagu FC
Rebels FC	2-1 W	6-0 W
HAL SC Bangalore	4-3 W	4-1 W
FC Agniputhra	0-6 L	2-1 W
Bangalore City FC	2-2 D	2-0 W
ASC	1-1 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 1 L	4 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Kodagu FC (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MEG

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Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/09	SC Bengaluru India Bangalore Super Division	2-1	2-1	5	7	W
17/09	Rebels FC India Bangalore Super Division	0-0	2-1	6	3	W
12/09	HAL SC Bangalore India Bangalore Super Division	2-0	4-3	4	5	W
06/11	Parikrma FC India Bangalore Super Division	1-1	2-3	13	6	L
03/11	FC Agniputhra India Bangalore Super Division	0-3	0-6	1	3	L
28/10	Bangalore City FC India Bangalore Super Division	2-1	2-2	1	6	D
23/10	ASC India Bangalore Super Division	0-0	1-1	1	2	D
17/10	Rebels FC India Bangalore Super Division	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
13/10	HAL SC Bangalore India Bangalore Super Division	2-1	4-2	3	2	W
08/10	Kodagu FC India Bangalore Super Division	0-0	1-0	1	7	W

Kodagu FC

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Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/09	Bangalore City FC India Bangalore Super Division	1-0	2-0	3	3	W
21/09	ASC India Bangalore Super Division	1-0	1-1	9	4	D
16/09	FC Agniputhra India Bangalore Super Division	1-1	2-1	3	4	W
11/09	FC Real Bengaluru India Bangalore Super Division	3-0	3-2	1	6	W
10/11	FC Agniputhra India Bangalore Super Division	2-1	3-2	10	2	W
05/11	Bangalore City FC India Bangalore Super Division	2-0	3-0	8	0	W
30/10	ASC India Bangalore Super Division	1-0	4-1	7	4	W
27/10	Rebels FC India Bangalore Super Division	2-0	6-0	3	1	W
22/10	HAL SC Bangalore India Bangalore Super Division	3-1	4-1	4	0	W
08/10	MEG India Bangalore Super Division	0-0	0-1	3	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MEG vs Kodagu FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Kodagu FC win (51%). Probabilities: MEG 26%, draw 23%, Kodagu FC 51%.

How many goals are expected in MEG vs Kodagu FC?

The model expects 3.59 goals (MEG 1.49 · Kodagu FC 2.1), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in MEG vs Kodagu FC?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.